Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$232

Unrealized P&L

-$58

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

648

Trades

1,061

lifetime

Volume

$17.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$137

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-06

last 11-04 03:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 129 days

Categories

Other

84% 70% -$166

Tech

9% 55% -$121

Politics

4% 64% +$60

Crypto

1% 25% +$5

Sports

1% 75% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	+64	$30	83¢	$53	+$23	09-19 12:24
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	+52	$30	94¢	$48	+$18	09-24 18:30
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	+175	$98	12¢	$21	-$77	11-03 13:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+30	$10	30¢	$9	-$1	08-07 12:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+183	$27	3¢	$5	-$22	09-01 09:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	13	$501	300	270	+30	Yes	-$23	09-05 21:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	10	$471	240	240	+0	No	+$8	09-23 18:01
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 27?	1	$300	303	0	+303	No	+$3	07-26 21:53
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	5	$261	152	152	+0	No	+$31	09-19 12:34
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	5	$242	320	137	+183	open	—	09-01 09:55
Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?	15	$222	493	460	+33	Yes	+$94	06-30 07:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?	4	$209	111	111	+0	No	+$9	06-13 21:53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	2	$200	101	101	+0	No	+$1	06-29 18:04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 17?	1	$200	201	0	+201	Yes	+$1	08-17 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 98-99°F on July 8?	1	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	07-08 19:20
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	6	$179	158	158	+0	No	+$37	08-17 13:49
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	3	$169	179	179	+0	Yes	+$69	08-19 15:44
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$158	250	160	+90	Yes	+$5	09-02 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 106°F or higher on July 1?	1	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	07-01 12:50
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or below on July 25?	2	$149	151	0	+151	No	+$3	07-25 11:59
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	3	$144	174	0	+174	No	-$20	06-22 21:50
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	1	$120	156	0	+156	Yes	+$36	09-25 12:09
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 10?	2	$120	122	0	+122	Yes	+$2	06-10 15:38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 12?	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$1	07-12 12:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	5	$110	74	74	+0	No	+$30	06-19 21:32
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	13	$106	80	80	+0	Yes	+$35	07-19 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 13?	4	$103	105	0	+105	No	+$2	07-13 09:10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	2	$102	191	16	+175	open	—	11-03 13:22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	09-20 21:25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on August 6?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	08-05 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on August 12?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	08-12 12:19
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 4?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	08-04 10:24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on June 17?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	06-17 09:38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 13?	2	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	07-13 13:10
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 12?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	07-12 12:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 03:27:40	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	7	43¢	$3	0x295cb0…
11-04 03:06:30	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	13	43¢	$5	0x93c338…
11-04 02:17:58	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xd054c4…
11-03 20:37:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xefe6e3…
11-03 13:22:22	Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	16¢	$2	0x3a5c04…
11-03 13:11:30	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x4b9317…
10-30 21:28:21	Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x778688…
10-30 18:23:45	Will "Wildwood" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 9m?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe7434f…
10-30 18:22:27	Will "You Can See Everything" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between $12M and $14M?	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x005901…
10-29 20:41:45	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xa4d52b…
10-24 17:21:57	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x3fee60…
10-24 12:07:51	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xbdd13f…
10-24 12:02:24	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0x12c162…
10-24 09:52:32	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	SELL	9	80¢	$7	0x9a8d47…
10-23 20:45:18	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc1f6d4…
10-23 20:44:48	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 18m?	No	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0x9ca855…
10-23 18:03:47	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on October 25?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x48314f…
10-23 14:16:09	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 24?	No	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb08c1e…
10-23 14:00:33	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be at least $21M?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x8caeca…
10-23 13:56:32	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	BUY	19	76¢	$15	0x434aad…
10-23 13:51:06	Will "Wildwood" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 16m?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x06a87d…
10-23 13:46:14	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x058b84…
10-22 17:14:21	Over $3B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x98b4f0…
10-16 15:06:55	Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0xe1c030…
10-16 15:01:04	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 16?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x730306…
10-16 13:53:27	Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 36m?	No	BUY	29	95¢	$28	0x9a4e94…
10-09 18:34:17	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xa96528…
10-09 18:34:17	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4d3c91…
10-09 18:08:14	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 9?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x047c24…
10-09 17:54:56	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 9?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x57c006…
10-09 17:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x9aaba9…
10-08 21:40:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?	No	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x89f823…
10-08 21:18:33	Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 33m?	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xc80ca5…
10-08 09:38:29	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	85	15¢	$13	0x176c2f…
10-08 09:36:00	Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x3f4d1a…
10-07 21:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x7bed83…
10-07 21:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?	No	SELL	23	89¢	$21	0x3870c1…
10-07 20:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x5a33f8…
10-07 12:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa7e943…
10-07 12:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 7?	No	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x325722…
10-06 17:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x017e88…
10-06 16:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xf9dee4…
10-06 13:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 8?	No	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xd605bf…
10-06 13:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 6?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x93ce20…
10-05 22:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 6?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x8e1a3d…
10-05 21:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 7?	No	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x9bed48…
10-05 21:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 7?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x762d31…
10-04 23:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x810c2a…
10-04 21:13:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xf6e52a…
10-04 18:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x6ea600…
10-04 17:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 5?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xa61097…
10-04 17:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 6?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x86fbe8…
10-04 16:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6?	No	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x4c11f6…
10-03 18:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 5?	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x59b8dc…
10-03 18:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 5?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x9c7b63…
10-03 18:15:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on October 5?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xbb8488…
10-02 17:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xc08fe5…
10-02 17:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xf9246c…
10-02 04:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 2?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xeb227d…
10-01 20:15:35	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb124f1…
10-01 20:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 3?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xaecec6…
10-01 12:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 1?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x93fabf…
09-30 16:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 2?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2453dd…
09-30 16:12:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 2?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6fabcd…
09-30 13:34:15	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6e4c39…
09-30 13:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 2?	No	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x09842f…
09-30 13:23:30	Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?	No	BUY	256	27¢	$70	0x88e5fc…
09-30 13:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30?	No	BUY	9	84¢	$7	0x93bd2c…
09-29 19:27:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 30?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xf64605…
09-29 19:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 1?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd86cea…
09-29 19:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdc1863…
09-29 19:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on October 1?	No	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x295156…
09-29 14:36:11	will the next sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026	No	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x4fc769…
09-29 12:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on September 29?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x9b85f9…
09-29 12:05:26	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 1?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x909ad6…
09-28 19:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 30?	No	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xf60649…
09-28 18:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x3f234a…
09-28 18:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xe4cc00…
09-28 18:10:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 30?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa2b671…
09-28 18:06:03	Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xc950cf…
09-28 12:20:05	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9d3229…
09-28 12:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 30?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x05e4b5…
09-28 12:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x1f248c…
09-27 17:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x94ce5b…
09-27 17:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on September 29?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x938f36…
09-27 17:39:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on September 29?	No	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe62c3d…
09-27 17:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 29?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x2963d1…
09-26 16:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x754e43…
09-26 16:16:48	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 28?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x940cd4…
09-26 16:15:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on September 28?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xaaa725…
09-26 16:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x04c979…
09-26 16:12:51	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xdf6046…
09-26 16:07:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 28?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xaab6f5…
09-25 18:32:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 27?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xe21bd8…
09-25 18:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 27?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xdc2124…
09-25 12:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x78b758…
09-25 12:23:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 26?	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x26528d…
09-25 12:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 25?	No	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x9ebd51…
09-25 12:11:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x4243cc…
09-25 12:09:12	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by october 31	Yes	BUY	156	77¢	$120	0xfd9e50…