Frigid-Reverse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.69K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

65.5%

Resolved

16,502

Trades

47,992

lifetime

Volume

$185.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$91

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-24 16:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 174 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 85% -$1,675

Other

2% 91% +$2

Politics

0% 60% -$6

Tech

0% 83% -$4

Sports

0% 50% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+50	$50	100¢	$50	$0	09-06 16:33
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	08-20 12:52
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	$0	09-06 16:32
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	No	+5	$3	20¢	$1	-$2	08-05 04:01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	+15	$1	4¢	$1	$0	09-06 16:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 11 8am et	597	$1.4K	2,842	0	+2,842	Up	-$30	02-11 13:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 9am et	467	$1.0K	2,081	0	+2,081	Down	-$5	02-11 14:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	430	$923	1,822	0	+1,822	Up	-$5	02-10 16:54
bitcoin up or down february 12 12am et	375	$905	1,795	0	+1,795	Up	-$12	02-12 05:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	307	$722	1,443	0	+1,443	Up	-$1	02-11 12:59
bitcoin up or down february 12 1am et	270	$720	1,418	0	+1,418	Down	-$7	02-12 06:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 1pm et	361	$699	1,412	0	+1,412	Up	+$5	02-11 18:45
bitcoin up or down february 17 2pm et	251	$675	1,338	0	+1,338	Down	+$0	02-17 19:48
bitcoin up or down february 17 10am et	197	$664	1,251	80	+1,171	Up	-$13	02-17 15:46
bitcoin up or down february 17 3pm et	205	$625	1,188	0	+1,188	Down	-$42	02-17 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 17:50 UTC	104	$522	997	0	+997	Up	-$178	02-20 17:52
bitcoin up or down february 12 2am et	203	$507	973	0	+973	Up	-$11	02-12 07:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 10pm et	173	$479	953	0	+953	Up	-$10	02-12 03:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 21:15 UTC	175	$474	925	0	+925	Up	-$9	01-16 21:30
bitcoin up or down february 11 4pm et	191	$469	938	0	+938	Up	-$4	02-11 21:47
bitcoin up or down february 11 4am et	205	$464	936	0	+936	Down	-$1	02-11 09:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 21:45 UTC	124	$438	878	0	+878	Down	-$10	01-16 21:59
bitcoin up or down february 17 12pm et	147	$438	864	0	+864	Down	-$10	02-17 17:54
bitcoin up or down february 10 2pm et	191	$419	836	0	+836	Up	-$3	02-10 19:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 21:30 UTC	101	$414	773	0	+773	Up	-$11	01-16 21:44
bitcoin up or down january 17 7pm et	194	$414	811	0	+811	Down	-$13	01-18 00:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	201	$409	816	0	+816	Up	+$5	02-11 19:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 23:15 UTC	96	$407	742	0	+742	Up	-$27	01-16 23:29
bitcoin up or down january 17 6pm et	193	$407	814	0	+814	Down	-$1	01-17 23:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 22:45 UTC	101	$403	760	0	+760	Up	-$10	01-16 22:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 16:05 UTC	95	$395	799	0	+799	Up	+$16	02-20 16:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 18:00 UTC	191	$384	763	0	+763	Down	-$9	01-16 18:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 23:55 UTC	104	$376	742	0	+742	Up	-$4	02-20 23:59
bitcoin up or down february 14 4pm et	170	$373	745	0	+745	Down	-$5	02-14 21:35
bitcoin up or down january 17 9pm et	185	$370	714	0	+714	Up	-$15	01-18 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xe885f9…
10-24 16:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xcb2149…
10-24 05:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xafc79d…
10-23 20:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3a28fc…
09-27 09:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbba5a2…
09-27 07:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x50e108…
09-26 18:47:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x74978b…
09-26 08:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xdb7738…
09-26 04:21:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x14150e…
09-26 01:23:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x594293…
09-26 01:23:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbc8097…
09-25 20:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x029d8c…
09-25 20:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xb1e289…
09-25 19:55:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe28901…
09-25 18:41:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x32f2e2…
09-25 15:45:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xfea6a4…
09-14 12:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8dc14a…
09-12 13:24:04	Will Trump say "Valueless" this week?	No	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xed9a2a…
09-10 11:32:19	Will Trump say "Stock" or "Record" during remarks at the Pentagon?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb95c99…
09-10 09:46:33	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1d50aa…
09-10 06:22:31	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6cbe81…
09-09 19:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x28735c…
09-09 17:11:04	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1e6ba2…
09-09 15:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xaf9c80…
09-09 13:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4627cb…
09-09 06:35:07	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc10712…
09-09 06:26:45	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xed998a…
09-09 06:00:33	Will Trump say "Democrat" or "Dumocrat" or "Dumbocrat" 25+ times during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x089afb…
09-09 06:00:15	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x62018d…
09-09 05:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x17a1d8…
09-09 05:30:40	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xec0b57…
09-09 04:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8f2d56…
09-09 04:45:06	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x119f7a…
09-09 04:31:45	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x407e47…
09-09 04:22:30	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeab593…
09-09 04:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xa47c4c…
09-09 04:18:21	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4fcd66…
09-09 03:47:57	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xca1281…
09-09 03:35:03	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x09ebf4…
09-09 03:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd11426…
09-09 02:46:18	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x16386d…
09-09 01:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x1fd4c5…
09-09 00:58:24	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe448c0…
09-08 22:00:57	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x8710df…
09-08 21:51:21	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x236ad1…
09-08 21:17:43	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa20f70…
09-08 21:07:45	Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xc50c9a…
09-08 21:06:36	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd3eab3…
09-08 20:53:39	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc81df7…
09-08 20:40:43	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbc6963…
09-08 20:21:00	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x38ff92…
09-08 20:11:54	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7b0074…
09-08 20:00:39	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x494952…
09-08 19:50:03	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x73a352…
09-08 19:31:22	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xdaace8…
09-08 18:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x333931…
09-08 18:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x803c34…
09-08 18:31:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x28b549…
09-08 18:15:12	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xe4be79…
09-08 17:56:24	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	17¢	$3	0x11f58c…
09-08 16:50:33	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xc3f844…
09-08 16:40:13	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb42b79…
09-08 16:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$15	0x6e2d8e…
09-08 16:10:55	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xc519c8…
09-08 16:10:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x873f6b…
09-08 16:00:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xa8c4cd…
09-08 15:55:48	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x5575e4…
09-08 15:50:36	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc8b430…
09-08 15:32:10	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xf72d86…
09-08 14:48:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x585bcb…
09-08 14:47:42	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3578d9…
09-08 14:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x91470b…
09-08 14:27:07	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x151f73…
09-08 14:20:06	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0xb44096…
09-08 14:06:18	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xc39c3f…
09-08 14:00:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0x4c04da…
09-08 13:55:28	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7af29a…
09-08 13:50:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xa0790d…
09-08 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	17¢	$5	0x88f379…
09-08 13:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x4ce115…
09-08 13:45:12	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0x08b9ad…
09-08 13:40:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x241ed3…
09-08 13:35:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdbcf46…
09-08 13:35:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x087b59…
09-08 13:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$10	0x8784dd…
09-08 13:25:42	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x16ced7…
09-08 13:06:01	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0xb1dcb1…
09-08 13:05:40	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xedb893…
09-08 12:47:21	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xd431e0…
09-08 11:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x2faca3…
09-08 11:10:40	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x54b7cb…
09-08 10:28:46	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0xd0f472…
09-08 10:20:22	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x1d7919…
09-08 10:08:09	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x314457…
09-08 10:01:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x5d711d…
09-08 09:36:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xde0a97…
09-08 09:33:00	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	95¢	$16	0x471530…
09-08 09:22:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x507adb…
09-08 08:31:13	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x048c8f…
09-08 08:16:45	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x6cda2f…