Frigid-Reverse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.0%

Resolved

164

Trades

47,349

lifetime

Volume

$181.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-06 22:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 24% $-188

Other

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 525 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 11 8am et	597	$1.4K	2,842	0	+2,842	open	—	02-11 13:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 9am et	467	$1.0K	2,081	0	+2,081	open	—	02-11 14:55
bitcoin up or down february 10 11am et	430	$923	1,822	0	+1,822	open	—	02-10 16:54
bitcoin up or down february 12 12am et	375	$905	1,795	0	+1,795	open	—	02-12 05:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 7am et	307	$722	1,443	0	+1,443	open	—	02-11 12:59
bitcoin up or down february 12 1am et	270	$720	1,418	0	+1,418	open	—	02-12 06:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 1pm et	361	$699	1,412	0	+1,412	open	—	02-11 18:45
bitcoin up or down february 17 2pm et	251	$675	1,338	0	+1,338	open	—	02-17 19:48
bitcoin up or down february 17 10am et	197	$664	1,251	80	+1,171	open	—	02-17 15:46
bitcoin up or down february 17 3pm et	205	$625	1,188	0	+1,188	open	—	02-17 20:48
btc updown 5m 1771609800	104	$522	997	0	+997	open	—	02-20 17:52
bitcoin up or down february 12 2am et	203	$507	973	0	+973	open	—	02-12 07:58
bitcoin up or down february 11 10pm et	173	$479	953	0	+953	open	—	02-12 03:54
btc updown 15m 1768598100	175	$474	925	0	+925	open	—	01-16 21:30
bitcoin up or down february 11 4pm et	191	$469	938	0	+938	open	—	02-11 21:47
bitcoin up or down february 11 4am et	205	$464	936	0	+936	open	—	02-11 09:58
btc updown 15m 1768599900	124	$438	878	0	+878	open	—	01-16 21:59
bitcoin up or down february 17 12pm et	147	$438	864	0	+864	open	—	02-17 17:54
bitcoin up or down february 10 2pm et	191	$419	836	0	+836	open	—	02-10 19:56
btc updown 15m 1768599000	101	$414	773	0	+773	open	—	01-16 21:44
bitcoin up or down january 17 7pm et	194	$414	811	0	+811	open	—	01-18 00:59
bitcoin up or down february 11 2pm et	201	$409	816	0	+816	open	—	02-11 19:51
btc updown 15m 1768605300	96	$407	742	0	+742	open	—	01-16 23:29
bitcoin up or down january 17 6pm et	193	$407	814	0	+814	open	—	01-17 23:59
btc updown 15m 1768603500	101	$403	760	0	+760	open	—	01-16 22:59
btc updown 5m 1771603500	95	$395	799	0	+799	open	—	02-20 16:10
btc updown 15m 1768586400	191	$384	763	0	+763	open	—	01-16 18:15
btc updown 5m 1771631700	104	$376	742	0	+742	open	—	02-20 23:59
bitcoin up or down february 14 4pm et	170	$373	745	0	+745	open	—	02-14 21:35
bitcoin up or down january 17 9pm et	185	$370	714	0	+714	open	—	01-18 02:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 22:26:03	will trump say radical left during friday roundtable 20260805211427294	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x972516…
08-06 11:50:09	will trump say obama during friday roundtable 20260805211427292	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x10e590…
08-06 05:04:56	will trump say transgender during friday roundtable 20260805211427287	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xb000eb…
08-03 22:11:47	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x88c0ef…
08-02 00:24:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8fbcc4…
08-02 00:14:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x63d3b5…
08-01 23:36:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x981fd5…
07-31 18:11:57	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xb70f5d…
07-30 13:28:12	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x43b7de…
07-29 18:49:24	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xb78d2a…
07-29 18:48:00	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x797f4f…
07-29 18:47:47	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xeda743…
07-29 18:21:47	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x32b508…
07-29 18:07:00	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd83184…
07-29 18:07:00	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2cc805…
07-29 18:01:06	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd61b69…
07-29 18:01:05	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x56c2b1…
07-29 18:01:03	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x9747b8…
07-29 18:01:02	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd9d565…
07-29 18:00:56	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x432010…
07-29 16:00:18	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xd85b7e…
07-29 16:00:18	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb9b090…
07-29 15:35:02	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x357e4b…
07-29 15:34:02	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0bcfc4…
07-29 13:38:54	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xdf6a17…
07-29 13:38:51	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9ff084…
07-29 13:34:15	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xdd2160…
07-29 13:33:05	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7df6c1…
07-29 13:33:03	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x9fed99…
07-29 13:32:54	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4e166a…
07-29 13:32:51	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x6ce1c4…
07-29 13:22:32	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x0143c6…
07-29 13:19:18	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x8cc6b6…
07-29 13:18:26	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x976261…
07-29 13:12:50	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x2c8329…
07-29 13:05:24	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x8bab74…
07-29 13:01:03	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x645323…
07-29 13:01:03	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x509d8d…
07-29 13:01:03	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x39c7c5…
07-29 12:26:54	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x3fb9f9…
07-29 12:18:14	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd45fbf…
07-29 11:40:56	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x496a5d…
07-29 11:40:54	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xc114dc…
07-29 11:00:45	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xac3197…
07-29 11:00:44	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x385987…
07-29 10:05:09	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x321d76…
07-29 10:02:35	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe7d603…
07-29 10:00:29	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdd023b…
07-29 09:40:02	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xfaaace…
07-29 09:26:57	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0x59c101…
07-29 08:50:38	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x52375a…
07-29 08:50:21	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x272d5b…
07-28 23:10:02	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x57b9a9…
07-28 22:42:07	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xd7e1ea…
07-28 22:41:44	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf63dfc…
07-28 22:01:02	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xdb8d10…
07-28 21:54:41	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8a6200…
07-28 21:54:40	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xcc8fc9…
07-28 21:54:40	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xa190c4…
07-28 21:00:23	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x2b6d20…
07-28 20:11:01	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x7ea7e4…
07-28 20:06:43	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$5	0x2ae54b…
07-28 20:06:41	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0xd0d983…
07-28 20:06:37	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x353b81…
07-28 20:00:20	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x288dee…
07-28 19:40:53	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x558a28…
07-28 19:39:59	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xa6f1a3…
07-28 19:00:28	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x85eb1f…
07-28 18:58:11	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x622bff…
07-28 18:47:26	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xa0f0c8…
07-28 18:24:10	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x5e8a8f…
07-28 16:05:20	bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xab8a2f…
07-28 15:41:58	will trump say trump derangement syndrome during cabinet meeting 20260727172357447	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x74bf5c…
07-28 10:21:46	will trump say six seven during cabinet meeting 20260727172357452	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x2466fd…
07-28 07:36:42	will trump say transparent during cabinet meeting 20260727172357442	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x191676…
07-26 23:55:03	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1000e2…
07-26 12:44:49	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x2f647d…
07-26 10:13:16	will trump say stock market during michigan remarks 20260724162420372	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdb949f…
07-25 19:55:00	will trump say stop calling me during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556640	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc095f9…
07-25 17:22:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x04b628…
07-25 03:54:34	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x549f77…
07-16 02:47:17	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x76a3ff…
07-16 01:17:59	solana up or down july 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x451c64…
07-16 01:17:58	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x4b5a5d…
07-16 01:17:55	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x0648af…
07-16 01:13:20	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x231aaf…
07-16 00:20:50	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xcdd5f8…
07-16 00:13:43	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xe27c85…
07-16 00:12:44	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x0ed1a8…
07-16 00:12:17	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd04805…
07-16 00:12:17	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x293ef2…
07-16 00:08:10	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb6e0c6…
07-15 23:35:05	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x6ae401…
07-15 23:30:20	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa637e0…
07-15 23:26:34	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x405cde…
07-15 23:22:52	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9687f3…
07-15 23:16:07	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd036c8…
07-15 23:16:05	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xce27ec…
07-15 23:02:44	solana up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x89f3a5…
07-15 23:01:50	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x02d258…