Fluffy-Margarine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$135

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.9%

Resolved

Trades

631

lifetime

Volume

$2.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-17 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-135

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776764700	8	$140	111	111	+0	open	—	04-21 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	9	$77	87	87	+0	Down	+$7	05-06 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	10	$60	46	46	+0	open	—	04-29 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$59	44	44	+0	open	—	05-01 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$50	57	57	+0	open	—	05-01 15:37
btc updown 5m 1776872700	12	$48	131	0	+131	open	—	04-22 15:47
btc updown 5m 1777035900	6	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$40	29	29	+0	Up	+$10	05-05 14:27
btc updown 5m 1776873300	3	$40	138	0	+138	open	—	04-22 15:58
btc updown 5m 1776960000	3	$39	30	30	+0	open	—	04-23 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	4	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$6	05-06 13:37
btc updown 5m 1776835500	5	$31	95	0	+95	open	—	04-22 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$30	74	0	+74	Down	$-30	05-05 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$30	71	0	+71	Up	$-30	05-06 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	4	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	05-01 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	5	$28	26	26	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	6	$28	19	19	+0	Up	+$10	05-06 14:07
btc updown 5m 1777036800	2	$27	100	0	+100	open	—	04-24 13:21
btc updown 5m 1776835800	5	$27	86	0	+86	open	—	04-22 05:33
btc updown 5m 1776415800	8	$26	25	24	+1	open	—	04-17 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	5	$25	21	21	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 10:26
btc updown 5m 1777035300	4	$25	136	0	+136	open	—	04-24 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$24	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	05-06 14:00
btc updown 5m 1776416100	7	$23	22	17	+5	open	—	04-17 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$23	23	23	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 14:10
btc updown 5m 1777026900	6	$22	80	0	+80	open	—	04-24 10:36
btc updown 5m 1776420000	2	$21	20	19	+1	open	—	04-17 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$20	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	8	$20	42	0	+42	Down	$-20	05-07 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	4	$19	30	0	+30	Down	$-19	05-06 13:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 15:05:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x036737…
05-17 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xb93f4c…
05-10 16:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xb8e7dc…
05-10 16:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x83c670…
05-10 16:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x843486…
05-10 15:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0xfefdcc…
05-10 15:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xe87d54…
05-10 15:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x515aec…
05-10 15:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x117da6…
05-10 15:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd13557…
05-10 15:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xcd9648…
05-10 15:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1cded5…
05-10 12:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb73c96…
05-09 19:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x1d7f8e…
05-09 19:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	37¢	$9	0x377755…
05-09 19:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x20759f…
05-09 18:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0x16f5dc…
05-09 18:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xc7aea2…
05-09 18:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	37¢	$8	0xbaaa9b…
05-09 18:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x9fd79c…
05-09 18:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x60039d…
05-09 18:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xac9def…
05-09 18:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x561cf9…
05-09 18:22:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xd4149b…
05-09 18:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcb6026…
05-09 18:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xdd973c…
05-09 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xe73f06…
05-09 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xdf562f…
05-09 18:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	22	54¢	$12	0x6c8a59…
05-09 18:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	37¢	$8	0x4a9e4b…
05-09 18:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x63b6a2…
05-09 18:10:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x725502…
05-09 18:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe62425…
05-09 18:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xee06e2…
05-09 18:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe54118…
05-09 18:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x567bab…
05-09 17:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	37¢	$6	0x7ad25d…
05-09 17:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x447aa5…
05-09 17:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x981607…
05-09 17:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x590550…
05-09 16:36:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xd54abd…
05-09 16:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb1171b…
05-09 16:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc61aa0…
05-09 16:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xc2670e…
05-09 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x89e211…
05-09 12:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xc66dfb…
05-09 12:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x278100…
05-09 11:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe6df55…
05-09 11:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xf2b02c…
05-09 11:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x185e60…
05-09 11:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0ea2af…
05-09 11:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf6e429…
05-09 08:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xecf433…
05-09 08:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x943441…
05-09 07:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd5bc2e…
05-09 07:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x8ba102…
05-09 07:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x251c8e…
05-09 07:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcb9ca9…
05-09 07:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x53fadd…
05-09 07:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x9b43b5…
05-09 06:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x5cd2ff…
05-09 05:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd75418…
05-09 05:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x883fe2…
05-09 05:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	74¢	$3	0xe26987…
05-09 05:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3afc4f…
05-08 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xfe1868…
05-08 17:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xb7ec8a…
05-08 17:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x83d6ad…
05-08 17:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x3b122d…
05-08 17:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x01decb…
05-08 17:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6931c3…
05-08 17:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd79d59…
05-08 17:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3ec3a8…
05-08 17:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb3a847…
05-08 16:29:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xbb37ba…
05-08 16:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xbb16fa…
05-08 16:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5c1ffb…
05-08 16:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x2b382b…
05-08 16:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb529a5…
05-08 16:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x17126d…
05-08 16:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe6b82c…
05-08 16:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8ead17…
05-08 15:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x91a21e…
05-08 15:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x03203b…
05-08 15:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x2a8b9f…
05-08 15:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd68ef8…
05-08 15:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb646dc…
05-08 14:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe3749d…
05-08 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfa481a…
05-08 14:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7ef7aa…
05-08 14:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1b1e8c…
05-08 14:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0d3f17…
05-08 14:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	76¢	$19	0x3d2ab8…
05-08 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x158bfa…
05-08 14:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9b732b…
05-08 14:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x57222a…
05-08 14:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xd6e83b…
05-08 14:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x5bcd8d…
05-08 14:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x3a09ef…
05-08 14:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x96f131…