Affectionate-Subsidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.06K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

1,572

Trades

3,789

lifetime

Volume

$34.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-09

last 09-06 06:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 45% -$1,008

Other

7% 34% -$49

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:25 UTC	4	$293	342	342	+0	Up	+$179	06-04 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	11	$288	363	335	+29	Up	+$158	04-29 08:25
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 18?	10	$252	390	390	+0	Yes	+$50	06-18 14:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	5	$240	133	132	+2	Up	+$22	04-26 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:50 UTC	4	$231	196	196	+0	Up	+$31	06-04 20:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 03:40 UTC	4	$224	296	296	+0	Down	+$24	06-04 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:00 UTC	4	$222	947	132	+815	Up	+$8	06-04 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$222	113	113	+0	Up	+$2	04-27 19:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:25 UTC	5	$221	312	184	+128	Down	-$79	06-04 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$209	111	110	+1	Down	+$10	04-27 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:35 UTC	4	$185	1,048	100	+948	Down	-$17	06-04 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	5	$176	143	143	+0	Down	+$106	05-01 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$173	130	125	+6	Up	+$79	04-26 20:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:10 UTC	3	$173	219	91	+128	Down	-$27	06-04 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$169	282	266	+16	Up	+$65	04-26 14:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:45 UTC	3	$166	265	125	+140	Down	+$52	06-04 20:48
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?	7	$162	270	270	+0	Yes	+$51	06-23 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?	3	$161	147	147	+0	Yes	+$131	06-25 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	5	$160	116	111	+5	Down	+$64	04-26 16:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 21:05 UTC	4	$153	206	69	+137	Up	-$70	06-04 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	6	$149	155	103	+52	Up	+$19	09-03 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:20 UTC	4	$149	804	120	+684	Down	+$21	06-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	8	$148	141	141	+0	Down	+$88	04-29 07:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 20:15 UTC	2	$148	122	122	+0	Down	+$48	06-04 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	6	$144	176	166	+9	Up	+$63	04-26 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$141	90	89	+1	Up	-$19	04-27 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 14:30 UTC	6	$141	343	96	+246	Up	-$13	06-25 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$140	170	0	+170	Up	+$30	04-27 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$139	152	152	+0	Up	+$19	06-03 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-03 20:15 UTC	8	$136	105	96	+9	Down	+$32	06-03 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-06 06:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb0065d…
09-06 06:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x8e1a86…
09-06 06:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xed23d1…
09-06 06:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6f6ab8…
09-06 06:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x723d2c…
09-06 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x23e257…
09-06 06:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x02626f…
09-06 06:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x355780…
09-06 06:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0xff5c6f…
09-06 06:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x5c34c9…
09-06 06:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	27	17¢	$5	0x94ffa9…
09-06 06:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x9ba158…
09-06 02:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x957bb0…
09-06 02:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x1256bb…
09-06 02:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x5562ac…
09-06 02:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x2d9884…
09-06 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x4f45b9…
09-06 01:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xe5cd7c…
09-06 01:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	68¢	$10	0x7d6dc6…
09-06 01:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xf21d3b…
09-06 01:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	70¢	$8	0xcb54c3…
09-06 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xeaf564…
09-06 01:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x76a014…
09-06 01:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb28fb7…
09-06 01:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb304fd…
09-06 01:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x4afdce…
09-06 01:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8762e7…
09-06 01:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x54261a…
09-06 01:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x391d9b…
09-06 01:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xcf86c6…
09-06 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x313e97…
09-06 01:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x42a928…
09-06 01:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x2de2dd…
09-06 01:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x902d2c…
09-05 16:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x37c5e2…
09-05 16:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	80¢	$19	0xf35503…
09-05 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xdceed5…
09-05 16:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdb6703…
09-05 16:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3c112e…
09-05 16:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x21069b…
09-05 16:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7f8e48…
09-05 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x40e123…
09-05 16:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd9df4d…
09-05 15:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0c9868…
09-05 15:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xcc11ac…
09-05 15:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6d4579…
09-05 15:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	15	77¢	$11	0x301451…
09-05 15:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	78¢	$9	0x6be07e…
09-05 15:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4cb514…
09-05 15:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe019ac…
09-05 15:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8165d6…
09-05 15:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xf049eb…
09-05 15:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xeacecd…
09-05 15:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x52551e…
09-05 15:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0x7d01d6…
09-05 15:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcc0f86…
09-05 15:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x75d1f1…
09-05 15:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x4aa106…
09-05 15:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x0913d1…
09-05 15:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf57801…
09-05 15:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xe731d0…
09-05 15:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x695a01…
09-05 15:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0x2c747f…
09-05 15:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	28	1¢	$0	0x107ae9…
09-05 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9e917d…
09-05 15:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xa8482f…
09-05 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc1bcff…
09-05 15:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x86ce7f…
09-05 15:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x064819…
09-05 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x612fff…
09-05 15:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x68d1cd…
09-05 14:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x7ed73c…
09-05 14:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x28c337…
09-05 14:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbf400c…
09-05 14:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf0f1f5…
09-05 14:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x113ce9…
09-05 14:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x1005a3…
09-05 13:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9a51bb…
09-05 13:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x4c0f1f…
09-05 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa430b6…
09-05 12:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xdf8c28…
09-05 12:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x71a5be…
09-05 12:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x06b340…
09-05 11:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1df535…
09-05 11:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe91a4d…
09-05 11:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x492798…
09-05 11:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x2417b5…
09-05 11:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x05ab3a…
09-05 11:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x44c137…
09-05 11:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb72319…
09-05 11:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe16f30…
09-05 11:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xbb82c2…
09-05 11:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xb8b8f0…
09-05 11:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xca9545…
09-05 11:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x433fcb…
09-05 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x94aff9…
09-05 10:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x92d136…
09-05 10:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xae6ef4…
09-05 09:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x76c21c…
09-05 08:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x625596…