Worried-Effort — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

103

Trades

638

lifetime

Volume

$4.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-08 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 55% $-36

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 230 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	8	$177	152	152	+0	open	—	05-02 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	5	$172	308	108	+200	open	—	05-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$133	169	88	+81	open	—	05-02 03:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$92	147	59	+88	open	—	05-02 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	5	$91	212	181	+30	open	—	05-02 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	3	$88	95	70	+25	open	—	05-02 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$83	64	60	+4	open	—	05-02 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	6	$61	110	73	+37	open	—	05-02 03:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	3	$57	722	21	+701	open	—	05-02 02:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	3	$54	433	33	+400	open	—	05-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$54	72	65	+7	open	—	05-02 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$53	71	44	+27	open	—	05-02 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$51	69	69	+0	open	—	05-03 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$50	100	0	+100	open	—	05-02 00:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$49	58	58	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	6	$48	71	0	+71	open	—	05-02 03:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	6	$47	42	42	+0	open	—	05-02 11:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	4	$45	43	43	+0	open	—	05-02 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$44	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 13:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$44	65	65	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 17:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$43	35	35	+0	open	—	05-03 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$41	34	34	+0	open	—	05-03 13:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$39	526	26	+500	open	—	05-02 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$39	38	38	+0	open	—	05-03 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$39	33	33	+0	open	—	05-03 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$37	27	27	+0	open	—	05-03 13:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$37	116	71	+45	open	—	05-02 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$37	52	26	+27	open	—	05-02 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$36	77	0	+77	open	—	05-02 02:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 14:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x0d8aa5…
05-08 14:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3b7435…
05-08 14:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x29dfb0…
05-08 14:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7095a7…
05-08 14:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	72¢	$11	0x741d1b…
05-08 14:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x03e2a1…
05-08 14:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x7f0909…
05-08 14:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x56e458…
05-08 14:34:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0xb5350e…
05-08 14:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9cd28d…
05-08 14:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0x03882c…
05-08 14:31:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0x5de7f0…
05-08 14:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9cf2cc…
05-08 14:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x50aa3c…
05-08 14:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xc1ecb0…
05-08 14:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc6b85a…
05-08 14:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	65	2¢	$1	0x01d809…
05-08 14:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xffd746…
05-08 14:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x30cd52…
05-08 14:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5a7c38…
05-08 14:09:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xd4ae42…
05-08 14:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfbec42…
05-08 14:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf7f23f…
05-08 14:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x31a64b…
05-08 14:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89ab77…
05-08 13:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd1787d…
05-07 18:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xb5cd09…
05-07 18:53:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x2057e3…
05-07 18:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	29	56¢	$16	0x1a50ae…
05-07 18:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x2c029c…
05-07 18:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9ad4c8…
05-07 18:48:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x807a3f…
05-07 18:47:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0xc4c52b…
05-07 18:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x151df9…
05-07 18:45:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	31	56¢	$17	0xc08000…
05-07 18:45:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	31	33¢	$10	0xe3cbd9…
05-07 18:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x37d794…
05-07 18:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x574ab2…
05-07 18:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x1259af…
05-07 18:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xf35695…
05-07 18:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x480327…
05-07 18:25:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xcf0649…
05-07 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1049b1…
05-07 18:19:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x07f2be…
05-07 18:17:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x206ddf…
05-07 18:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x0251cc…
05-07 18:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x147b00…
05-07 18:13:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x48d171…
05-07 18:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x462281…
05-07 18:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x19c444…
05-07 18:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdbaae7…
05-07 18:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x632c66…
05-07 18:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x225f20…
05-07 18:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	19¢	$2	0x7d4d3d…
05-07 18:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x49040d…
05-07 18:07:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	37¢	$2	0x3d1b45…
05-07 18:07:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xfe6805…
05-07 18:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xee58a8…
05-07 18:06:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9975dd…
05-07 18:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0xd77692…
05-07 18:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x8ea5fa…
05-07 18:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xcca0e8…
05-07 18:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x14dc92…
05-07 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xe81af6…
05-07 18:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x7b6051…
05-07 18:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4cd016…
05-07 17:56:34	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x0c6aea…
05-07 17:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x43fd39…
05-07 17:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x777099…
05-07 17:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0xe6c15b…
05-07 17:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x03694f…
05-07 17:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x334e9f…
05-07 17:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x09ca79…
05-07 17:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	61	36¢	$22	0xf9c288…
05-07 17:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	61	28¢	$17	0x0ffacd…
05-07 17:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0xbfca5f…
05-07 17:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x66cda3…
05-07 17:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x5e96f2…
05-07 17:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3c5cf7…
05-07 09:10:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x1fafb1…
05-07 09:10:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x37986a…
05-07 08:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xab9a46…
05-07 08:47:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8258f1…
05-07 08:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xabcf9a…
05-07 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x8532e1…
05-07 08:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x8e115e…
05-06 22:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x39f99c…
05-06 22:51:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc6ddda…
05-06 22:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x598142…
05-06 22:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf9320c…
05-06 16:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x136da5…
05-06 16:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x315ab2…
05-06 16:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x5a7aff…
05-06 16:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x73b1e2…
05-06 16:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x64954c…
05-06 16:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x5d6b54…
05-06 16:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xf5daf3…
05-06 16:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x079e93…
05-06 11:09:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0xcd8bf1…
05-06 11:08:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xa24df1…