Candid-Campaign — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$745

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.1%

Resolved

376

Trades

619

lifetime

Volume

$5.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 10-26 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

42% 87% +$302

Politics

37% 89% +$441

Crypto

21% 99% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the indian national congress inc win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	32	$1.3K	277,547	277,547	+0	No	+$298	04-26 15:41
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	39	$882	294,444	294,444	+0	No	+$294	06-25 06:29
will la u win the third most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	28	$537	45,327	45,327	+0	No	+$91	04-07 06:58
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 480 499	12	$124	62	62	+0	No	$0	02-23 06:53
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 540 559	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:29
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 580plus	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:26
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 520 539	4	$120	60	60	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:30
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 560 579	4	$100	50	50	+0	No	$0	02-27 06:28
Will Fumitake Fujita be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	43	$84	42,000	42,000	+0	No	+$0	02-11 03:21
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 440 459	8	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	02-26 04:47
will cr win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$67	16,849	16,849	+0	No	+$34	03-12 04:46
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	2	$57	30	30	+0	No	+$3	03-09 09:45
Will CZ post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-15 09:58
will miracjl win the most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	6	$53	17,616	17,616	+0	No	+$18	03-15 12:37
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 540 559	4	$40	20	20	+0	No	$0	02-20 10:04
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 460 479	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-19 10:20
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-03 06:33
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 100 119	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-04 05:01
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-17 08:24
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 0 39	2	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-30 05:41
will lng cng be the next president of vietnam	18	$18	9,000	9,000	+0	No	+$0	02-12 08:02
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	5	$17	25	25	+0	Yes	+$6	03-02 16:46
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	4	$16	10	10	+0	No	-$2	04-27 13:45
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	4	$15	10	10	+0	No	+$3	03-31 07:52
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	$0	10-09 20:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	3	$14	10	5	+5	No	-$1	10-09 20:37
elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 0 39	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-31 14:29
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 190 214	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-15 13:14
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-23 02:25
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 440 459	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-19 10:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:05:51	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc57a0b…
10-26 21:05:44	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2ecd3…
10-26 21:05:38	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x476f7b…
10-26 21:05:30	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf72320…
10-26 21:05:23	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc3a5f…
10-20 22:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6ad46a…
10-20 22:14:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b5c9f…
10-20 22:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd0207d…
10-20 22:14:23	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xece6b3…
10-20 22:13:38	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc6ea73…
10-20 22:13:20	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xece895…
10-20 22:13:12	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x870c10…
10-20 22:13:03	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a191f…
10-20 22:12:56	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc24742…
10-20 22:12:48	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e773f…
10-20 22:12:41	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc61df…
10-20 22:12:33	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd860f9…
10-17 01:26:38	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x193cd8…
10-17 01:26:29	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c7186…
10-17 01:26:09	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x613671…
10-17 01:25:33	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9a23c…
10-17 01:25:18	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa28360…
10-17 01:25:12	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcc4574…
10-17 01:25:06	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b7393…
10-17 01:24:56	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6f0283…
10-17 01:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xabbae3…
10-17 01:24:06	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9aa16b…
10-17 01:23:59	elon musk of tweets october 17 october 19 2026 240plus	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc26bf1…
10-17 01:23:44	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c3e6b…
10-14 10:30:44	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x58dd19…
10-14 10:30:28	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaac850…
10-14 10:30:19	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbd1dce…
10-14 10:30:10	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x86abad…
10-14 10:30:02	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa6b698…
10-14 10:29:53	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa72a5b…
10-14 10:29:46	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7daead…
10-14 10:29:37	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x475fb9…
10-12 19:23:23	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bcb51…
10-12 19:22:59	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba6e1f…
10-12 19:22:47	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef5d21…
10-12 19:22:30	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7801a7…
10-11 03:39:20	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba6492…
10-11 03:38:51	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8993d…
10-11 03:38:44	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1adbe0…
10-11 03:38:38	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9db1bb…
10-11 03:38:23	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd98587…
10-09 20:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb480b4…
10-09 20:38:01	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaaa8d6…
10-09 20:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd0d72b…
10-09 20:37:20	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4ce52e…
10-09 20:37:08	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x46e4a9…
10-08 21:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe8b2cd…
10-08 21:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x3fa1f2…
10-08 21:57:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x7a7a7d…
10-08 21:56:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x6bd065…
10-07 16:06:52	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x41105e…
10-07 16:06:47	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x177e4c…
10-07 15:59:47	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf763f9…
10-07 15:59:34	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f28d7…
10-07 15:58:50	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xccd22c…
10-07 15:58:38	Will CZ post 200+ posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x904631…
10-07 15:57:20	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3de2a6…
10-07 15:56:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x784e54…
10-07 15:56:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1ea2be…
10-04 07:32:22	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc8db3c…
10-04 07:32:11	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd71020…
10-04 07:31:59	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2b5df3…
10-04 07:31:50	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xafeeca…
10-04 07:31:41	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xefca90…
09-29 05:48:30	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5299f9…
09-29 05:48:00	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5eb07b…
09-29 05:47:35	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc7e40a…
09-29 05:47:29	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ad938…
09-29 05:46:59	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1dd25…
09-29 05:46:23	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac1066…
09-29 05:46:15	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb0ba5…
09-29 05:46:05	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61cc78…
09-29 05:45:56	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe4c258…
09-21 17:43:27	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe89c7d…
09-21 17:42:21	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31a763…
09-21 17:42:01	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x54dda4…
09-21 17:41:49	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa9b31f…
09-18 03:20:04	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd01a3e…
09-18 03:19:54	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1cba76…
09-18 03:19:39	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x052eb0…
09-18 03:19:27	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc6ebd4…
09-18 03:19:16	Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa4fa46…
09-18 03:19:04	Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d7271…
09-06 09:24:52	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34bdba…
09-06 09:24:40	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x47f682…
09-06 09:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3bebff…
09-02 06:51:28	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4063ac…
09-02 06:51:16	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9535ae…
09-02 06:51:04	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3abf6d…
09-02 06:50:52	Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x55f5db…
09-02 06:50:40	Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb70ff1…
09-02 06:50:16	Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35efa3…
09-02 06:50:06	Will CZ post 120-139 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9fb308…
09-02 06:49:55	Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa485d4…
09-02 06:49:40	Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb233f4…