Realized P&L
-$24.2K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
320
Trades
8,108
lifetime
Volume
$6.07M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$748
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 04-24 23:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
49%
66%
-$10,933
Politics
36%
63%
-$61,746
Sports
16%
76%
+$48,270
Tech
0%
100%
+$164
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-24).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 297 | $722.4K | 512,945 | 237,703 | +275,242 | Yes | +$5,327 | 01-28 16:05 |
| maduro out by january 31 2026 318 | 48 | $388.9K | 390,871 | 2,755 | +388,116 | Yes | +$228 | 01-03 10:54 |
| will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting | 68 | $284.6K | 202,451 | 112,000 | +90,451 | Yes | +$1,027 | 03-16 16:58 |
| will there be another us government shutdown by january 31 | 285 | $234.4K | 183,449 | 101,343 | +82,106 | Yes | -$2,194 | 01-31 07:29 |
| will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 240 | $200.9K | 97,969 | 112,151 | -14,181 | No | +$952 | 01-22 02:56 |
| will han duck soo be sentenced to 05 years in prison | 15 | $179.1K | 185,860 | 0 | +185,860 | No | +$6,790 | 01-21 05:11 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 36 | $148.9K | 76,543 | 80,028 | -3,484 | No | -$1,275 | 02-07 09:37 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 154 | $127.6K | 69,287 | 68,149 | +1,138 | No | +$5,089 | 04-24 23:17 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 66 | $119.9K | 60,511 | 60,511 | +0 | Yes | +$61 | 04-16 16:08 |
| will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025 | 4 | $106.6K | 20,493 | 86,345 | -65,851 | Yes | -$142 | 01-03 10:16 |
| ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07 | 155 | $102.2K | 76,648 | 36,000 | +40,648 | Caio Borralho | +$10,360 | 03-08 04:26 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 96 | $98.6K | 53,000 | 53,000 | +0 | No | +$5,340 | 03-29 00:54 |
| ufc cur1 jos52 2026 04 11 | 57 | $95.6K | 60,124 | 44,582 | +15,542 | Josh Hokit | +$1,296 | 04-12 03:05 |
| will a white spoon win season 2 of culinary class wars | 178 | $90.5K | 96,676 | 0 | +96,676 | Yes | +$6,194 | 01-13 07:56 |
| ufc ant12 ser2 2026 02 21 | 18 | $89.3K | 47,183 | 47,000 | +183 | Spivac | +$4,690 | 02-22 03:02 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 166 | $84.0K | 45,223 | 45,100 | +122 | Yes | -$1,100 | 02-26 15:56 |
| will henrique gouveia e melo win the 2026 portugal presidential election | 44 | $82.2K | 39,719 | 45,719 | -6,000 | No | -$125 | 01-21 14:04 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 40 | $81.7K | 41,262 | 41,262 | +0 | No | +$657 | 04-02 04:23 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | 76 | $81.4K | 32,500 | 50,253 | -17,753 | Yes | -$337 | 04-24 23:17 |
| will khamenei leave iran by friday | 38 | $80.4K | 83,219 | 1,237 | +81,982 | No | +$413 | 01-10 04:35 |
| will kim keon hee be sentenced to prison by march 31 | 27 | $79.3K | 76,712 | 29,080 | +47,632 | Yes | -$18,326 | 01-28 16:10 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 93 | $78.0K | 74,249 | 61,935 | +12,314 | Yes | -$13,141 | 02-28 07:30 |
| will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643 | 129 | $75.1K | 56,016 | 59,685 | -3,668 | No | -$6,416 | 01-25 13:35 |
| us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931 | 87 | $67.1K | 34,720 | 34,720 | +0 | No | +$357 | 02-13 23:54 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 49 | $53.6K | 53,431 | 1,000 | +52,431 | No | +$836 | 01-24 05:06 |
| us anti cartel operation on foreign soil by december 31 | 2 | $53.5K | 53,576 | 0 | +53,576 | Yes | +$57 | 01-01 23:09 |
| us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664 | 4 | $51.8K | 52,000 | 0 | +52,000 | No | +$164 | 02-11 22:42 |
| ufc jos60 rob21 2026 04 04 | 41 | $51.3K | 27,481 | 27,500 | -19 | Jose Delano | +$3,623 | 04-05 00:39 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 41 | $50.6K | 59,256 | 8,087 | +51,169 | No | +$668 | 01-17 02:46 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 176 | $50.2K | 72,126 | 47,105 | +25,021 | Yes | +$4,986 | 02-27 09:32 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||