Calculating-Tour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.56K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.3%

Resolved

841

Trades

2,229

lifetime

Volume

$25.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 08-24 02:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Other

53% 73% -$661

Crypto

43% 46% -$900

Politics

3% 0% -$5

Sports

1% 75% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 14 10am et	37	$1.9K	2,088	2,115	-27	Up	-$529	01-14 15:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 08:30 UTC	27	$852	1,308	0	+1,308	Down	+$27	01-11 08:43
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	141	$812	767	759	+9	Yes	-$5	01-20 09:17
bitcoin up or down january 12 7am et	31	$809	1,200	0	+1,200	Up	+$17	01-12 12:54
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 40 41f	6	$764	800	0	+800	No	+$36	02-13 20:49
bitcoin up or down january 11 5am et	42	$594	1,020	0	+1,020	Down	+$89	01-11 10:59
bitcoin up or down january 14 11am et	1	$581	1,104	0	+1,104	Up	-$581	01-14 15:57
bitcoin up or down january 12 4am et	36	$563	1,006	0	+1,006	Down	+$92	01-12 09:59
bitcoin up or down january 12 9am et	29	$537	910	0	+910	Up	+$18	01-12 14:56
bitcoin up or down january 10 3pm et	8	$500	603	0	+603	Down	+$35	01-10 20:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 09:45 UTC	31	$471	801	0	+801	Down	+$47	01-11 09:59
highest temperature in nyc on february 4 2026 32 33f	7	$400	410	0	+410	Yes	+$0	02-04 21:06
highest temperature in dallas on february 10 2026 70 71f	4	$395	410	0	+410	No	+$15	02-10 10:12
ethereum up or down january 10 10am et	24	$368	751	0	+751	Up	+$17	01-10 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 7?	13	$335	417	0	+417	No	+$82	07-07 20:00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	5	$334	413	0	+413	Yes	-$334	07-01 23:40
highest temperature in toronto on january 29 neg 11c	7	$333	227	146	+81	No	+$11	01-29 20:09
highest temperature in toronto on january 24 neg 11c	14	$314	301	301	+0	Yes	-$208	01-24 21:32
highest temperature in buenos aires on january 30 32c	19	$303	336	0	+336	No	+$34	01-31 00:23
xrp up or down january 10 3pm et	6	$300	421	0	+421	Down	+$11	01-10 20:53
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 14 2026 31c	5	$291	300	0	+300	No	+$9	02-14 10:47
highest temperature in miami on february 2 59forbelow	12	$281	294	0	+294	Yes	+$13	02-02 21:00
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 4 2026 33c	10	$276	300	0	+300	No	+$24	02-04 11:49
highest temperature in ankara on february 16 2026 18c	6	$273	283	0	+283	No	+$10	02-16 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 5?	12	$265	313	0	+313	No	+$48	07-04 22:26
highest temperature in seattle on february 1 52forhigher	13	$263	308	0	+308	Yes	+$45	02-01 18:57
highest temperature in seattle on february 1 50 51f	20	$235	285	0	+285	No	+$50	02-01 16:39
highest temperature in dallas on january 27 40 41f	19	$229	326	0	+326	Yes	+$71	01-27 21:10
highest temperature in buenos aires on february 16 2026 34c	5	$225	239	0	+239	No	+$15	02-16 17:07
bitcoin up or down january 10 10am et	30	$222	416	0	+416	Up	+$19	01-10 15:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 02:21:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 37°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x59e199…
08-23 02:23:19	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 23?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x65472d…
08-23 01:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x94f2ab…
08-22 17:23:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xf10baf…
08-22 16:24:33	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 23?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf7e807…
08-21 22:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x8d1619…
08-21 20:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 23?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0fa90c…
08-21 16:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1a8c59…
08-21 10:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x19af7b…
08-21 08:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd61b8f…
08-21 06:50:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x25fc1b…
08-21 04:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on August 21?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x760ea0…
08-21 02:50:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x95894e…
08-20 16:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x10d8b1…
08-20 12:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf48cb1…
08-20 08:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3ac60e…
08-17 20:02:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 17?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5ce39b…
08-16 19:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x431221…
08-16 04:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x0677c9…
08-15 20:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdd097c…
08-15 16:19:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x47dc9a…
08-15 09:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2a4604…
08-15 04:19:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdf495b…
08-15 01:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc5a861…
08-14 20:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on August 15?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf3ef99…
08-14 01:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbe0d0a…
08-14 01:16:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x8547f4…
08-13 18:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on August 14?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xba22a8…
08-13 18:03:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 13?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7befcd…
08-11 19:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on August 11?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xfc7633…
08-10 19:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 11?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd82360…
08-09 16:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 10?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9e9168…
08-08 04:16:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x3abafe…
08-07 07:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x630132…
08-07 04:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x56ff6f…
08-07 03:21:22	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xc4f2b1…
08-07 02:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x7657d6…
08-06 20:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x9774c2…
08-06 16:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 7?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x2d706b…
08-06 08:50:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1c313e…
08-06 06:50:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x504fbd…
08-03 19:17:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xb0dbab…
08-03 11:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 3?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xecb84f…
08-03 07:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x36074f…
08-03 06:50:02	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 3?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xcd185a…
08-03 06:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcea00c…
08-03 00:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6614a4…
08-02 10:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe13ed3…
08-02 09:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on August 2?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd2a324…
08-02 06:50:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 2?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xd6933f…
07-28 15:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 28?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd61f29…
07-28 09:56:25	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 28?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x897a53…
07-28 04:17:57	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 28?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xfeb7f7…
07-26 21:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 26?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xafb872…
07-26 19:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on July 26?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd9b489…
07-26 17:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x394d5e…
07-26 09:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 26?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x54018b…
07-24 21:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x3fd30b…
07-23 23:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7f9c57…
07-23 20:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 24?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x1960ad…
07-23 19:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 24?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x8e9424…
07-23 09:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 23?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x679445…
07-23 06:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 23?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbda68e…
07-21 07:48:22	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 21?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1f568a…
07-21 03:48:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x490a40…
07-20 19:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x7de157…
07-20 00:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb641fc…
07-19 17:45:13	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 19?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x4b5c1f…
07-19 00:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 19?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x622094…
07-14 14:24:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	23	89¢	$20	0x6d178a…
07-14 14:18:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x49314e…
07-14 14:17:59	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xdfc429…
07-14 14:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xa0bf95…
07-14 14:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb58e3c…
07-14 14:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0xd5ba46…
07-14 14:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x825e88…
07-14 14:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	37	89¢	$33	0x626a40…
07-14 14:10:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x861b82…
07-14 14:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x1247fb…
07-14 14:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf4b843…
07-14 10:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5c875c…
07-14 08:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x3633a3…
07-14 07:17:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on July 14?	No	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x96a2d8…
07-14 03:18:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x940a94…
07-14 02:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x6df18c…
07-13 16:17:08	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 13?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x040067…
07-13 15:02:59	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on July 13?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd01593…
07-13 11:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xd86e86…
07-13 11:17:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x2b0620…
07-13 10:45:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xabd90b…
07-13 05:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 13?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x32edab…
07-13 03:16:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 13?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x99a7d1…
07-12 23:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 13?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xafbf49…
07-12 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 13?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x02892d…
07-12 10:18:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 12?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x361d1c…
07-11 17:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 11?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xf6066f…
07-11 16:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 12?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xfa95f5…
07-10 17:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 10?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xbfef60…
07-09 16:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 10?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x13c19c…
07-08 18:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on July 9?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xc17db3…