Ragged-Mochi — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,220

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-03 09:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

78% 96% +$0

Sports

18% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 09:17:38	cs2 lg6 nip 2026 07 03 game2	NIP	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa77851…
07-02 20:59:11	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5eaafa…
07-01 18:49:32	will england reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120779	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc7d41…
07-01 18:03:10	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 corners total 10pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdedb4e…
07-01 05:09:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42d025…
07-01 05:04:53	itf purcell charlto 2026 07 01	Joshua Charlton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9559c5…
07-01 04:01:04	Chirayu Rana divorced?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4168c…
07-01 04:00:46	grok 4pt4 released by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xee3c75…
07-01 02:18:35	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7c6a31…
06-30 19:16:41	will the next claude sonnet model be released by july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8bd043…
06-30 18:00:59	will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c5755…
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1182af…
06-30 04:26:01	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5265fc…
06-30 04:16:10	will morocco reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120744	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa76a20…
06-30 00:35:02	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xccba18…
06-29 19:22:26	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa40914…
06-29 19:15:50	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd46005…
06-29 19:11:22	will japan reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149730	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd35479…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc91a96…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xad7449…
06-28 19:03:35	mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe2aacc…
06-28 19:03:35	mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a2c64…
06-28 19:03:35	mar1 asf uts 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x070082…
06-28 15:15:58	codmw tex lat1 2026 06 28	Los Angeles Thieves	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9590fa…
06-28 13:10:53	cs2 mana1 subtop 2026 06 28 map handicap away 1pt5	Subtop De France	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e4483…
06-28 08:45:04	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x389dc5…
06-28 04:01:08	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1f752…
06-28 03:01:26	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ac769…
06-28 01:40:20	mlb col min 2026 06 27 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x042bc4…
06-28 01:32:04	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c16ab…
06-27 20:38:19	Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5bd594…
06-27 18:05:47	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf56624…
06-27 17:49:50	cricmaharaja mys gul 2026 06 27	Gulbarga Mystics	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x45e47b…
06-27 16:43:59	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c3662…
06-27 12:00:43	kbo han ssg 2026 06 27	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca61e6…
06-27 02:04:23	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2377ff…
06-26 21:10:16	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 goals desire doue gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1b9bb4…
06-26 21:04:35	fifwc sen irq 2026 06 26 spread away 4pt5	Senegal	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x80efc1…
06-26 19:04:32	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x70c743…
06-26 11:53:59	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbfdfa…
06-25 22:21:11	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca46d6…
06-25 22:16:14	will ivory coast be an advancing group stage third place team at the 2026 world cup 20260612150003075	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfda047…
06-25 02:00:25	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x87dfcf…
06-25 01:49:28	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x33cec9…
06-25 00:07:17	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7b607c…
06-25 00:04:47	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9f04d5…
06-25 00:03:32	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total home 0pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32b9e7…
06-24 20:58:25	itf lemaitr mladen 2026 06 23	Tiphanie Lemaitre	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe3a15f…
06-24 16:57:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k by december 31 2026 from june 8 887	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x965bad…
06-24 16:22:46	wta riera crawley 2026 06 24	Fiona Crawley	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbe0815…
06-24 12:29:47	kbo sam lg 2026 06 24	LG Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf003f8…
06-24 01:00:04	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeb1c3b…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc54795…
06-23 19:02:43	fifwc prt uzb 2026 06 23 btts second half	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x121c2a…
06-23 18:25:10	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc190e6…
06-23 17:01:55	crint nam3 nga2 2026 06 23	Namibia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18b2d2…
06-22 19:05:40	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x73f154…
06-21 18:01:34	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2823d6…
06-20 22:09:07	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf76f76…
06-20 21:07:25	wnba sea phx 2026 06 20 total 160pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb18e84…
06-20 20:06:40	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5038cf…
06-20 19:13:19	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd28d09…
06-20 05:14:16	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf68bda…
06-20 02:55:20	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15987c…
06-20 02:39:20	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb69f2…
06-20 01:49:02	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbebfa0…
06-19 15:45:32	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd0182e…
06-19 13:51:53	r6siege allgam tyloo 2026 06 19	TYLOO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe82754…
06-19 00:12:38	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e8d55…
06-18 22:59:28	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf8a9ab…
06-18 14:15:59	cs2 jjh pha 2026 06 18 game2	Phantom	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf84918…
06-17 22:06:01	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 corners total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x09ead5…
06-17 19:25:28	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 goals cristiano ronaldo gte3	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x714260…
06-17 19:17:59	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ef9b5…
06-17 19:04:16	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1c33f1…
06-17 18:09:11	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7cc570…
06-17 16:10:04	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d496a…
06-17 16:07:44	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xec90e7…
06-17 16:07:02	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecad22…
06-17 03:02:22	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 corners total 6pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40fa3d…
06-17 00:03:11	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6258fc…
06-17 00:01:56	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 3pt5	Iraq	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8854a9…
06-16 20:10:25	amzn up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd8ae4f…
06-16 13:45:52	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1bea6a…
06-16 02:29:42	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x227230…
06-15 18:27:52	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x096c51…
06-15 12:41:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc37ddc…
06-15 01:32:12	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x764017…
06-14 19:58:55	cs2 g2 lgc 2026 06 14	G2	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x850dcc…
06-14 19:06:52	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e3c5f…
06-14 19:02:27	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3945cb…
06-14 06:25:18	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 corners team home 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x383f19…
06-14 06:24:04	fifwc aus tur 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x06a3c4…
06-13 11:58:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c86cd…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf4a2f4…
06-12 21:51:46	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x95206b…
06-12 21:38:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt8t	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x765b14…
06-12 21:07:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x795a8b…
06-12 21:01:31	fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 team total home 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79a8eb…
06-12 20:37:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8027cd…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:00
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:56
crint ivo mli 2026 05 25	4	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 04:48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 17:22
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:24
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:47
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:13
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:54
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
kbo han ssg 2026 06 27	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-27 12:00
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 16:50
fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-25 00:04
hr1 sla haj 2026 04 17 total 3pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 19:25
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
tur gfk ala 2026 04 04 ala	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-04 17:05
highest temperature in beijing on march 29 2026 23c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 17:30
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 31c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 06:17
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	06-20 05:14
wta avanesy garcia 2026 04 07	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 04:25