Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

22.6%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$2.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-28 12:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

49% 20% -$43

Politics

46% 17% -$16

Crypto

5% 62% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes		+0	$1	34¢	$0	-$1	10-23 08:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US imports Russian diesel by December 31?	15	$295	346	346	+0	open	—	10-21 16:38
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?	5	$231	231	231	+0	open	—	10-21 16:37
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	4	$107	71	71	+0	No	-$7	10-20 16:59
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 24?	8	$99	105	105	+0	No	-$7	10-21 18:08
Lyon curfew effectively lifted by October 31?	9	$83	85	85	+0	Yes	-$2	10-21 18:08
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	5	$81	102	102	+0	Yes	+$1	10-21 14:44
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	6	$60	60	60	+0	open	—	10-27 20:00
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	4	$55	58	58	+0	Yes	-$2	10-23 21:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	6	$53	53	53	-0	open	—	10-27 22:47
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	4	$40	66	66	+0	Yes	-$3	10-21 18:08
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	3	$40	34	34	+0	open	—	10-26 08:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:45 UTC	1	$37	55	0	+55	Down	-$37	04-22 12:45
Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	8	$35	43	43	+0	open	—	10-27 07:03
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	2	$34	32	32	+0	open	—	10-28 06:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the final round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 0%-3%?	3	$34	21	21	+0	open	—	10-23 17:01
Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	3	$33	38	38	+0	open	—	10-27 23:57
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 28?	3	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-25 09:18
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	8	$31	61	61	+0	No	-$29	10-21 16:26
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	8	$30	81	81	+0	Yes	-$5	10-20 20:06
White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	4	$29	34	28	+7	open	—	10-27 08:25
Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	5	$27	21	21	+0	open	—	10-27 17:19
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?	5	$26	21	20	+1	open	—	10-24 17:14
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	10-24 02:59
Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	4	$24	34	34	+0	open	—	10-27 13:38
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OR-02 House election by 25%-30%?	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	10-23 05:25
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-30 House election by 55%-60%?	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	10-23 05:50
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	2	$22	20	20	+0	Yes	-$1	10-20 16:53
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	4	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	10-26 03:10
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?	2	$21	32	32	+0	open	—	10-26 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-22 12:35 UTC	4	$20	55	0	+55	Down	-$20	04-22 12:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 12:56:52	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xd7171b…
10-28 12:47:38	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x122d65…
10-28 12:46:55	Will Otzma Yehudit be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x44d2f2…
10-28 12:40:07	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x3bb7ba…
10-28 12:16:53	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xc44730…
10-28 09:35:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x9d215b…
10-28 09:33:43	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-09 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	29	29¢	$9	0x97fab0…
10-28 07:37:11	Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x449982…
10-28 06:31:56	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	SELL	32	46¢	$15	0x9f586f…
10-28 06:30:35	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	No	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0xdf7b83…
10-28 01:37:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xed4e26…
10-27 23:57:24	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xbfd0fc…
10-27 23:46:08	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x3335d8…
10-27 23:45:29	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	46¢	$17	0x331381…
10-27 23:02:27	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x5b0941…
10-27 23:01:20	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xebd31e…
10-27 23:00:09	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	SELL	13	13¢	$2	0x497236…
10-27 22:59:30	US imports Russian diesel by November 15?	No	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x088aa7…
10-27 22:47:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x7e1758…
10-27 22:46:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0x40ac68…
10-27 22:45:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x851928…
10-27 22:15:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x418d00…
10-27 21:36:11	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x0fae93…
10-27 21:16:26	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?	Yes	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xed24e2…
10-27 21:15:50	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from West Virginia be between 450,000 and 500,000?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xcbe309…
10-27 20:37:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$0	0x87da33…
10-27 20:00:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	Yes	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x6bc378…
10-27 19:40:50	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xebebb4…
10-27 19:16:29	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0x848fa4…
10-27 18:55:18	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x4f1505…
10-27 18:54:17	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc18f37…
10-27 18:53:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0xf0100f…
10-27 18:52:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-06 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x051d42…
10-27 18:23:20	Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xf9e5e4…
10-27 17:57:56	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	SELL	35	58¢	$20	0x634707…
10-27 17:57:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Virginia be between 3,500,000 and 3,750,000?	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xc9fde6…
10-27 17:41:38	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x251358…
10-27 17:40:14	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0x7638bb…
10-27 17:19:36	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x4e864c…
10-27 17:18:33	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x411018…
10-27 17:17:17	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$7	0xe142d6…
10-27 17:10:17	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xcf5e73…
10-27 17:10:15	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be 5,100,000 or more?	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xab6787…
10-27 16:47:15	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xadea46…
10-27 16:47:14	Netanyahu out by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x672e86…
10-27 14:14:56	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa7a76b…
10-27 14:13:24	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xf27815…
10-27 14:12:05	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0xb2a2ab…
10-27 14:10:26	Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x48ba13…
10-27 13:38:45	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0xfd90ac…
10-27 09:40:26	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x9d3f3d…
10-27 09:37:29	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0xc2c69b…
10-27 09:37:29	Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x6586e4…
10-27 08:45:51	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	SELL	31	26¢	$8	0xe47254…
10-27 08:25:33	White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	Yes	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0xf3a28f…
10-27 07:03:54	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x993404…
10-27 06:10:03	White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	Yes	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x0f32ef…
10-27 05:41:41	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x060707…
10-27 03:23:12	White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	Yes	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x709af5…
10-27 03:09:54	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x353b57…
10-27 03:07:57	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x407a4e…
10-26 23:52:35	White House press briefing room decommissioned by March 31?	Yes	BUY	34	51¢	$18	0x855f61…
10-26 21:58:23	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	SELL	32	30¢	$10	0xc9e577…
10-26 18:49:54	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	SELL	8	82¢	$6	0x19b684…
10-26 18:36:03	Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbe680a…
10-26 18:27:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 55%-60%?	Yes	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0xa1b942…
10-26 18:24:20	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-13 House election by 35%-40%?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x4d87b4…
10-26 17:42:57	Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	BUY	8	81¢	$6	0xef111b…
10-26 14:51:54	Will the Democrats win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xd9d3b6…
10-26 14:38:05	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x02b92e…
10-26 14:34:17	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x982bc8…
10-26 14:16:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election by 25%-30%?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x98dc24…
10-26 12:57:32	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x8c12f6…
10-26 08:37:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0xa941df…
10-26 08:24:54	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0x0e89b7…
10-26 08:23:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 20%-25%?	No	BUY	34	61¢	$21	0x87dd9b…
10-26 03:32:21	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0xde28f2…
10-26 03:23:00	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0xd87685…
10-26 03:22:24	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$9	0x9276d1…
10-26 03:10:20	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0x966a2b…
10-26 03:09:11	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0xbb357b…
10-26 03:07:21	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x55d26a…
10-26 02:37:24	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xc40e4e…
10-25 15:18:00	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x9878dc…
10-25 15:16:12	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x7563f3…
10-25 15:16:11	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 30%-35%?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa48a64…
10-25 14:26:08	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xbc1518…
10-25 14:25:36	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election by 15%-20%?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xb50dcc…
10-25 13:32:54	Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0xc0d8f9…
10-25 13:02:53	Will the Democrats win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xda04b5…
10-25 11:39:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xec8b56…
10-25 11:39:35	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-05 House election by 50%-55%?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6d2b31…
10-25 09:18:30	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 28?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x4d3766…
10-25 08:17:21	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 28?	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x9f913e…
10-25 08:11:11	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 6%-9%?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x8ebbfb…
10-25 07:47:11	Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 28?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xc334e1…
10-25 04:21:56	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xde51ae…
10-25 04:17:51	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-05 House election by 20%-25%?	Yes	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x2a6b7e…
10-24 17:14:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?	No	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x893df7…
10-24 17:13:33	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 500,000 and 550,000?	No	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x39648f…