Positive-Wake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$22

Unrealized P&L

-$74

Hit rate

61.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

$273

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-16 22:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 43% +$56

Other

37% 46% -$40

Politics

3% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-16).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No		-205	-$88	75¢	$-154	-$66	06-18 08:56
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		-153	-$111	78¢	$-119	-$9	07-16 22:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$418	230	230	+0	No	+$18	01-11 23:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	2	$256	244	244	+0	Yes	+$56	05-18 12:27
will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	4	$223	140	140	+0	No	+$21	03-01 11:39
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	4	$220	131	131	+0	No	+$20	01-10 15:37
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$218	155	140	+15	Yes	-$5	01-06 14:33
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	4	$207	662	662	+0	No	+$107	01-31 18:48
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$199	116	116	+0	Yes	-$1	01-04 21:58
Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	6	$193	714	714	+0	Yes	-$7	02-11 09:22
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$148	145	145	+0	No	-$52	03-05 21:42
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$134	127	63	+63	No	-$2	03-31 13:49
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$113	69	69	+0	No	+$13	01-08 14:56
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$111	0	153	-153	open	—	07-16 22:51
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	2	$101	191	191	+0	Yes	+$1	01-30 11:41
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$100	159	0	+159	No	+$59	04-30 10:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$100	130	0	+130	Yes	-$100	04-13 17:42
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	4	$88	0	205	-205	open	—	06-18 08:56
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	2	$88	100	100	+0	No	+$6	01-12 18:26
Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$82	44	44	+0	No	+$2	01-06 11:58
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$77	98	98	+0	No	-$9	01-15 06:26
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$74	48	48	+0	Yes	+$14	03-31 13:28
will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	4	$63	1,888	0	+1,888	Yes	-$63	01-31 22:07
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$50	74	0	+74	Yes	+$24	02-07 18:26
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$50	59	0	+59	No	+$9	02-07 18:29
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	3	$50	100	100	+0	No	-$30	02-14 16:57
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	1	$32	100	0	+100	No	-$32	02-08 09:18
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	2	$12	100	100	+0	Yes	-$8	01-10 15:26
Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$6	18	0	+18	No	-$6	02-12 14:49
will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	4	$6	100	0	+100	No	-$6	02-15 14:41
will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	2	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	02-15 13:55
over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	2	$3	167	83	+83	Yes	-$1	01-10 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 22:51:47	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	153	72¢	$111	0x28fe8d…
06-18 08:56:17	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	120	43¢	$52	0xf92a58…
06-18 06:35:13	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	45	43¢	$19	0x630c02…
06-18 00:58:35	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	19	43¢	$8	0xed4062…
06-17 21:09:26	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0x0dda5a…
05-18 12:27:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	244	64¢	$156	0xe7de24…
05-12 09:33:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	244	41¢	$100	0x858f48…
04-30 10:05:36	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x1b3b0c…
04-13 17:42:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x48d530…
03-31 13:49:19	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	63	54¢	$34	0xa8bf9d…
03-31 13:28:47	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	90¢	$44	0x183604…
03-31 12:53:51	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xe727be…
03-31 12:37:41	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x8992e3…
03-05 21:42:51	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	145	33¢	$48	0x40a366…
03-05 14:39:47	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x4ff0b4…
03-01 11:39:47	will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	No	SELL	140	87¢	$122	0xd82511…
02-15 18:05:13	will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x1c13c7…
02-15 17:15:37	will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	No	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x91aae0…
02-15 15:47:35	will 01xyz reach 5b in total volume by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x534537…
02-15 14:41:01	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x1e3a10…
02-15 13:55:45	will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	Yes	BUY	99	5¢	$5	0x0c8ca7…
02-15 11:32:23	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x0eea14…
02-15 11:30:41	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6e15fa…
02-15 09:41:19	will hyperliquid dip to 20 in february 415	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x84f31d…
02-15 02:32:09	will hyperliquid reach 44 in february	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xed3327…
02-14 16:57:43	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xf2bd14…
02-14 16:47:13	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xa0d46f…
02-12 14:49:27	Espresso FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x9aafa8…
02-11 09:22:01	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	252	13¢	$33	0x075814…
02-11 05:17:01	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x82efff…
02-11 05:16:57	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x33de32…
02-09 17:14:49	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	214	13¢	$28	0x7960ad…
02-09 12:27:53	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	SELL	229	13¢	$30	0xb4949c…
02-08 09:18:31	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x1acd56…
02-07 18:29:11	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xb7b0e7…
02-07 18:26:19	Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xe0efbc…
02-03 18:31:30	Will Paradex launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x43ce4f…
01-31 22:07:54	will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	No	BUY	409	2¢	$10	0x7382dd…
01-31 19:42:04	will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	No	BUY	395	3¢	$13	0x46bfe0…
01-31 19:27:24	will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	No	BUY	811	4¢	$30	0x081836…
01-31 19:22:24	will bitcoin dip to 80k in february 2026 869 956	No	BUY	273	4¢	$10	0xa6b644…
01-31 18:48:40	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	331	32¢	$107	0x2c117d…
01-31 17:18:12	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	331	15¢	$50	0xa8eae2…
01-31 17:10:04	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	438	8¢	$35	0x20502d…
01-31 17:08:12	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	225	7¢	$15	0x1fff1d…
01-30 11:41:06	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	191	27¢	$51	0x68d1d5…
01-29 19:04:58	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	191	26¢	$50	0x80d4b5…
01-15 06:26:48	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	98	35¢	$34	0x8f0cdd…
01-13 09:42:51	Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0x8e1b86…
01-12 18:26:17	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x31a36f…
01-12 10:39:32	Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xb248d6…
01-11 23:56:22	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	230	95¢	$218	0x3d7ea2…
01-11 20:16:28	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x165719…
01-10 15:37:44	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0xf46248…
01-10 15:37:20	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	SELL	6	91¢	$5	0x50b1aa…
01-10 15:36:32	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe10a15…
01-10 15:26:34	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x2f5eb2…
01-10 14:53:06	over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb2fe2d…
01-10 14:29:32	over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	No	SELL	83	1¢	$1	0x172ca4…
01-10 14:27:42	over 30m committed to the ranger public sale 951	No	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0xe8f6f9…
01-09 19:07:52	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xdb73d4…
01-08 14:56:16	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	69	91¢	$63	0xf2e290…
01-06 14:33:07	Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x973258…
01-06 14:12:29	Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	140	76¢	$107	0x2066a5…
01-06 11:58:43	Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x9cddf3…
01-05 18:21:17	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	No	BUY	131	76¢	$100	0x5e4a58…
01-05 14:25:23	Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0xdc23df…
01-05 14:22:39	Over $20M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0xbda6e8…
01-04 21:58:45	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	SELL	116	85¢	$99	0x76c048…
01-04 21:27:45	Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x965fba…
01-04 16:03:37	Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xedc482…