Sudden-Drummer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-05 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$0

Politics

19% — —

Other

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$144	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	02-13 13:33
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$34	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	02-13 18:59
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-12 11:46
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-11 11:51
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-10 13:34
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-07 09:32
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-03 13:11
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-09 09:17
bitcoin above 74k on april 1	2	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	04-01 09:24
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-31 13:28
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	03-29 08:59
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-28 07:43
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-26 04:19
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-23 12:42
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-25 06:47
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-22 12:12
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-21 14:55
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-20 14:24
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-19 13:38
bitcoin above 78k on march 17	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-17 13:11
will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	3	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-18 13:12
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-16 10:18
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	2	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-15 18:37
bitcoin above 60k on march 13	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	03-13 11:56
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	02-22 03:36
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-21 07:28
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	1	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	02-17 00:01
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	2	$21	21	0	+21	open	—	04-14 13:33
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-11 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 14:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x276ded…
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9406c4…
06-28 12:56:44	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5ac241…
06-25 09:03:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x541040…
06-24 15:12:58	bitcoin above 66k on june 24 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2aff66…
06-21 07:01:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x675655…
06-12 09:44:58	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd80472…
06-11 05:41:00	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe3e3d7…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf79ac9…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x07bd37…
05-28 01:10:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x744090…
05-22 13:23:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd466d1…
05-21 10:33:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x2f7fb4…
05-20 14:33:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbccd95…
05-15 12:58:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe082dd…
05-14 10:16:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x13e891…
05-13 12:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xcdadd3…
05-11 13:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9487b…
05-10 15:48:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ab5dc…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd0ef3…
05-05 14:52:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2d2cee…
05-04 13:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x7adb9f…
04-27 13:07:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xe1ceb7…
04-23 12:08:38	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95aa2f…
04-22 13:10:42	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x866e1f…
04-20 14:12:22	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xaa122c…
04-19 13:20:26	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x178541…
04-18 14:15:22	ethereum above 2500 on april 18	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa42276…
04-17 15:11:18	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa62b77…
04-16 15:14:58	bitcoin above 76k on april 16	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd365d0…
04-15 08:16:02	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x6397fd…
04-14 13:33:07	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x224503…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcee92e…
04-13 12:35:03	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1c5bc7…
04-12 11:46:55	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa6b002…
04-11 11:51:37	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x62afeb…
04-10 13:34:21	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xa1f8a5…
04-09 09:17:27	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x89188e…
04-07 09:32:47	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on april 7	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x41d92e…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x16ce4d…
04-03 13:11:35	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0aaaa4…
04-01 09:24:35	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfadc3e…
04-01 09:06:45	bitcoin above 74k on april 1	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x112183…
03-31 13:28:17	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x52cb4e…
03-29 08:59:50	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0ce597…
03-28 07:43:35	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x710e5c…
03-26 04:19:25	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6ad9ef…
03-25 06:47:05	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2c7a98…
03-23 12:42:47	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x533474…
03-22 12:12:45	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x16c28b…
03-21 14:55:05	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf2f0c2…
03-20 14:24:43	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xfbe265…
03-19 13:38:35	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb767a4…
03-18 13:12:29	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc042da…
03-18 13:00:25	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeb1eb8…
03-18 12:48:13	will bitcoin reach 82k on march 18	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x02422c…
03-17 13:11:03	bitcoin above 78k on march 17	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb26e5c…
03-16 10:18:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6a4173…
03-15 18:37:27	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19f5e4…
03-15 17:55:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa02b1e…
03-13 11:56:33	bitcoin above 60k on march 13	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb8542a…
03-11 09:54:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9e3930…
03-01 16:00:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x072d20…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd7c4a2…
02-22 03:36:08	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x7e5c95…
02-21 07:28:30	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x629c3a…
02-17 00:01:39	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfaeacc…
02-13 18:59:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,400	1¢	$17	0x106610…
02-13 17:29:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	845	0¢	$3	0x5cbb50…
02-13 17:29:21	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3eda62…
02-13 17:23:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	900	0¢	$3	0x7931e5…
02-13 17:20:29	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	262	0¢	$1	0x0b98f8…
02-13 13:33:01	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,900	3¢	$65	0xad51a5…
02-13 12:41:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,400	1¢	$17	0x587ba2…
02-13 12:28:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,900	4¢	$80	0xf2f5f5…
02-12 13:58:17	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,012	0¢	$6	0x0a33f0…