Essential-Shell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26.5K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

3,490

Trades

21,352

lifetime

Volume

$330.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-28 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Other

97% 55% +$26,739

Politics

2% 45% -$166

Crypto

0% 63% -$88

Sports

0% 38% +$63

Tech

0% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 221 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	12	$6.0K	10,020	10,020	+0	open	—	10-27 17:11
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6?	20	$5.0K	2,657	2,657	+0	Yes	+$298	08-06 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 21?	26	$2.2K	1,198	1,198	+0	No	+$105	10-20 21:00
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 16?	20	$2.1K	1,451	1,451	+0	No	+$294	09-15 20:35
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 23?	59	$2.1K	1,302	1,302	+0	No	+$486	10-23 16:05
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 16?	7	$2.0K	1,039	1,039	+0	No	+$35	10-15 14:54
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 12?	16	$2.0K	1,158	1,158	+0	No	+$260	08-11 20:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	5	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	10-25 01:49
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22?	28	$1.9K	1,124	1,095	+30	No	+$59	09-22 07:10
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	16	$1.8K	1,579	697	+882	Yes	+$139	10-27 22:48
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$80	10-25 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 7?	9	$1.7K	904	904	+0	No	+$71	09-07 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	9	$1.6K	837	806	+31	No	+$36	08-17 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 24?	13	$1.6K	838	838	+0	No	+$44	08-24 07:49
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 20?	7	$1.5K	1,092	1,092	+0	No	+$75	08-19 16:36
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on August 17?	19	$1.5K	945	945	+0	No	+$119	08-16 19:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 11?	5	$1.5K	784	784	+0	No	+$25	09-11 05:36
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 26?	3	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	No	+$31	06-25 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 20?	10	$1.5K	935	935	+0	No	+$150	08-20 03:08
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 22?	3	$1.4K	889	889	+0	No	+$359	10-21 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 9?	38	$1.3K	778	774	+5	Yes	+$141	08-09 09:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 10?	20	$1.3K	711	711	+0	Yes	+$73	08-10 18:24
highest temperature in chengdu on april 9 2026 30c	37	$1.2K	832	896	-64	No	-$50	04-09 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 31?	79	$1.2K	1,135	1,115	+20	No	+$180	07-31 10:53
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 7?	17	$1.1K	756	539	+217	Yes	+$91	09-07 11:17
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 9?	5	$1.1K	571	571	+0	No	+$57	07-08 19:04
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	21	$1.1K	626	626	+0	Yes	+$54	08-25 09:54
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 21?	9	$1.0K	609	609	+0	No	+$7	08-21 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 21?	14	$1.0K	530	530	+0	No	+$21	10-20 16:04
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on July 10?	7	$1.0K	555	555	+0	No	+$85	07-09 18:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 21:17:40	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	50	77¢	$38	0x04723b…
10-28 21:04:58	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1c3193…
10-28 21:04:44	Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x2ac2b2…
10-28 20:05:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x3b1850…
10-28 18:53:11	Exact Score: Venezia FC 1 - 1 FC Internazionale Milano?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x754442…
10-28 18:44:55	US imposes new sanctions on China by October 31?	No	BUY	910	97¢	$881	0xf8346b…
10-28 16:52:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	112	39¢	$43	0xb3d4e8…
10-28 16:46:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	112	40¢	$45	0x9de6ab…
10-28 16:46:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	58	41¢	$24	0xd85ca3…
10-28 16:42:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x367807…
10-28 16:42:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	217	44¢	$95	0x18316c…
10-28 16:42:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x14b37c…
10-28 16:06:04	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xeb0cdd…
10-28 15:57:46	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa2b591…
10-28 15:57:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2deb32…
10-28 15:57:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x5fbf27…
10-28 15:57:40	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on October 29?	No	BUY	439	89¢	$389	0x3851e7…
10-28 14:56:10	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	250	44¢	$111	0x1d4af6…
10-28 07:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xb52e5a…
10-28 07:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8e1e2c…
10-28 07:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc05ffe…
10-28 07:16:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x7fe614…
10-28 07:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdd0e21…
10-28 07:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x676bda…
10-28 07:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x36013c…
10-28 07:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	163	0¢	$0	0x75a13d…
10-28 06:31:50	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	181	4¢	$7	0x9adb6e…
10-28 06:11:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	71	25¢	$18	0xa007c3…
10-28 06:01:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x74961a…
10-28 06:00:43	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x611631…
10-28 04:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xdb243a…
10-28 04:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x365f48…
10-28 04:32:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	63	20¢	$13	0x9515f3…
10-28 04:32:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x07fd73…
10-28 01:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x9c699e…
10-28 01:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x23360b…
10-27 23:07:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x65ad27…
10-27 22:48:39	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x60e398…
10-27 22:48:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	99	95¢	$94	0xc68999…
10-27 22:48:38	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x995cce…
10-27 22:42:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	144	91¢	$131	0xd26388…
10-27 22:33:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$27	0x0bf842…
10-27 22:23:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x0eaebd…
10-27 22:16:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0xdd1a8a…
10-27 22:16:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xd78fca…
10-27 22:16:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	697	79¢	$553	0x291188…
10-27 22:16:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	85	75¢	$64	0x2b42d2…
10-27 21:44:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0x241b76…
10-27 21:42:30	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	495	95¢	$470	0xbc3764…
10-27 21:31:05	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	109	10¢	$11	0x52d0f6…
10-27 21:29:08	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x354af6…
10-27 19:40:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x861140…
10-27 19:32:23	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x41cf6f…
10-27 19:30:26	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	300	81¢	$243	0x4bbe26…
10-27 19:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x51746d…
10-27 18:48:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	252	74¢	$186	0xe303f5…
10-27 18:10:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x86a6cd…
10-27 17:54:17	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x238438…
10-27 17:53:47	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xa1aeca…
10-27 17:29:42	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	70	42¢	$29	0x77dd34…
10-27 17:17:14	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on October 28?	No	BUY	290	83¢	$241	0x38c5f0…
10-27 17:11:20	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,582	97¢	$2,517	0x89ccd7…
10-27 17:08:51	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	284	44¢	$125	0x6ce913…
10-27 15:04:53	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	400	44¢	$177	0xaa017f…
10-27 09:28:05	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x3642c7…
10-27 07:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x7f48db…
10-27 07:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	62	90¢	$56	0x9b788a…
10-27 07:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	90¢	$25	0x8920d8…
10-27 06:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x0e0861…
10-27 06:58:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x0a4dac…
10-27 06:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	56	66¢	$37	0x153229…
10-27 06:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	84	64¢	$54	0xfb0ca4…
10-27 06:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0x147b7a…
10-27 06:54:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	62¢	$0	0xdc99aa…
10-27 06:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb481ea…
10-27 06:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x37e489…
10-27 06:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$5	0x11e1cb…
10-27 06:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0x040309…
10-27 06:47:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0xa734e6…
10-27 06:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xc7fbb8…
10-27 06:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xf938bb…
10-27 05:48:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x8e208e…
10-27 05:39:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x7cbe03…
10-27 05:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xcda382…
10-27 05:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x8ec54c…
10-27 05:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x70174a…
10-27 05:31:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xe267ea…
10-27 05:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x664d0e…
10-27 05:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	120	7¢	$8	0x849c8f…
10-27 05:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x7499a8…
10-27 05:06:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0x6615fc…
10-27 05:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	58	10¢	$6	0x8a32d7…
10-27 05:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x1d8308…
10-27 05:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	50¢	$9	0x132638…
10-27 04:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	370	95¢	$351	0x6a984c…
10-27 04:56:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xfb6c37…
10-27 04:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0xfd0c17…
10-27 04:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xc0f4af…
10-27 04:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	56	80¢	$45	0x543da3…
10-27 04:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	88	88¢	$78	0xf2a63d…