Simple-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$141

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

537

Trades

1,024

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 10-23 23:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% -$131

Politics

0% 50% -$5

Sports

0% 50% -$9

Other

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-30 08:00 UTC	2	$338	231	231	+0	Up	+$94	08-30 08:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 01:30 UTC	2	$87	59	58	+1	Up	+$28	03-10 01:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 00:45 UTC	6	$86	58	57	+1	Down	+$27	03-10 00:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 06:15 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-10 06:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$27	03-10 04:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC	2	$86	58	57	+1	Up	+$26	03-10 04:12
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$65	50	50	+0	Down	+$11	04-29 09:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:15 UTC	2	$59	59	58	+1	Up	-$1	03-10 02:08
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 04:00 UTC	2	$59	57	30	+28	Up	+$27	03-10 04:14
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC	3	$57	38	37	+1	Up	+$18	04-02 00:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 00:00 UTC	2	$56	38	36	+1	Up	+$17	04-02 00:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 02:45 UTC	2	$56	38	37	+1	Up	+$15	04-23 02:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$55	37	37	+0	Up	+$15	04-29 09:24
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$55	37	37	+0	Down	+$15	04-29 09:39
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$55	38	36	+1	Down	+$16	04-27 09:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	2	$54	38	38	+0	Up	+$14	04-29 02:50
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	2	$53	39	38	+1	Down	+$15	04-28 04:19
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$53	35	35	+0	Up	+$13	04-29 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$51	36	35	+1	Down	+$12	04-28 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$49	36	36	+0	Up	+$9	04-29 03:33
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC	4	$49	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	09-04 09:13
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$49	38	36	+1	Down	+$9	04-27 10:41
Solana Up or Down - September 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	5	$47	40	40	+0	Down	+$7	09-04 03:58
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$47	39	37	+1	Down	+$8	04-28 00:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 05:15 UTC	2	$41	28	28	+0	Up	+$11	03-09 05:28
Solana Up or Down - September 4, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	4	$37	29	29	+0	Down	+$17	09-05 02:29
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$34	28	28	+0	Down	+$14	09-05 11:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:30 UTC	2	$34	25	25	+0	Down	+$10	08-04 23:38
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:15 UTC	5	$34	22	22	+0	Down	+$10	08-04 23:24
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 02:30 UTC	2	$33	85	0	+85	Up	-$33	03-10 02:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 23:58:06	Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x89a4ad…
10-15 09:14:08	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x508dcf…
10-15 09:14:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x764fb9…
10-15 09:14:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x1e197c…
10-15 08:44:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-15 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9933c9…
10-05 01:16:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:25 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x3218b0…
09-26 02:29:36	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-26 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6e966c…
09-23 21:56:59	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4ca6b6…
09-23 21:56:20	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x63264c…
09-23 21:55:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0d6255…
09-23 21:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xfdd269…
09-23 11:43:35	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd0c28d…
09-23 11:42:35	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3a731b…
09-23 10:01:02	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9939a5…
09-23 10:00:17	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa5c121…
09-23 08:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x9ef480…
09-23 08:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - September 23, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf4be5e…
09-23 07:10:04	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdacefd…
09-23 07:10:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x40829d…
09-23 07:07:05	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x1bd3d1…
09-23 06:47:10	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf3ba15…
09-23 06:46:38	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4b54b6…
09-23 05:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x1b1ac0…
09-23 05:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0a1829…
09-23 05:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcce283…
09-23 05:29:53	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8abb0f…
09-23 05:29:14	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe56dd2…
09-23 05:06:17	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xb22ce0…
09-23 05:05:41	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x10b7a7…
09-23 04:45:47	XRP Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf6f30e…
09-23 04:45:02	Solana Up or Down - September 23, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x073211…
09-23 03:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x1f8115…
09-23 03:54:08	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x69bfc1…
09-23 03:54:07	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x2f0134…
09-23 03:30:58	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd968dd…
09-23 03:29:59	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9010e6…
09-23 02:57:17	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf1790…
09-23 02:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x938431…
09-23 00:59:05	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x1b050c…
09-23 00:28:22	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfdd60c…
09-23 00:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f70b6…
09-23 00:20:23	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4276a9…
09-23 00:20:17	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x61d730…
09-23 00:00:34	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3501a7…
09-22 22:38:19	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0xb8c171…
09-22 22:23:17	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf860e6…
09-22 22:23:17	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb7358b…
09-22 22:14:08	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x62dc30…
09-22 22:02:40	XRP Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x87634d…
09-22 21:59:41	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0937ee…
09-22 14:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xe5679c…
09-22 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xace847…
09-22 11:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe7b743…
09-22 11:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x76bd45…
09-22 10:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x942dc3…
09-22 10:25:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x3cce3a…
09-22 10:24:49	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xe3ef82…
09-22 10:24:49	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x8f836e…
09-22 10:24:42	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xef89c4…
09-22 10:00:15	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa8a272…
09-22 09:59:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd3d443…
09-22 06:16:21	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 06:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf17d83…
09-22 05:03:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdd4658…
09-22 05:00:06	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x21ad5e…
09-22 04:47:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5f7a9d…
09-22 02:40:26	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc22e7c…
09-22 02:40:24	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xf8d98d…
09-22 02:15:42	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaa8ff6…
09-22 00:44:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x3ca0fd…
09-21 23:44:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x57eafb…
09-21 23:44:18	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x184d3f…
09-21 23:41:49	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xfe6f19…
09-21 23:41:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9b5e0f…
09-21 23:15:28	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb3eac6…
09-21 23:14:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4a374f…
09-21 22:23:04	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:15 UTC	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x0e3c55…
09-21 21:59:57	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x93abdb…
09-21 12:57:54	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xbede2c…
09-21 12:57:53	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc3681e…
09-21 12:57:51	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9f4696…
09-21 12:29:44	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc358fd…
09-21 12:00:02	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd19c2e…
09-21 11:59:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x4f1322…
09-21 11:49:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x6c811f…
09-21 11:46:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xc86ebc…
09-21 11:30:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc095f0…
09-21 11:14:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xabf1ee…
09-21 11:00:54	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa4f4a5…
09-21 10:58:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x55bec5…
09-21 10:58:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x1c5796…
09-21 10:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xd6f8c1…
09-21 10:33:00	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x782735…
09-21 10:32:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0da604…
09-21 10:15:50	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xea26f8…
09-21 10:15:23	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x38d2dc…
09-21 10:14:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xba3197…
09-21 10:14:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x0d80ba…
09-21 09:49:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0da4e9…
09-21 08:57:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0eeb8c…
09-21 08:57:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xb9950f…