Misguided-Transmission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$71

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.2%

Resolved

Trades

673

lifetime

Volume

$1.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-04 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 26% $-71

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$69	123	0	+123	Up	$-69	05-09 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$66	0	67	-67	Down	$-1	05-08 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$44	68	68	+0	open	—	06-01 11:50
btc updown 5m 1776247200	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-15 10:05
btc updown 5m 1776258600	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-15 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-02 19:25
btc updown 5m 1773523800	3	$30	27	27	+0	open	—	03-14 21:35
btc updown 5m 1776242400	2	$29	17	17	+0	open	—	04-15 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$28	33	33	+0	open	—	05-29 10:59
btc updown 5m 1776238500	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	04-15 07:40
btc updown 5m 1776236400	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	04-15 07:05
btc updown 5m 1775174100	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-03 00:00
btc updown 5m 1775170200	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	04-02 22:55
btc updown 5m 1776237900	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-15 07:30
btc updown 5m 1776236700	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-15 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-02 17:20
btc updown 5m 1776239400	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	05-22 13:40
btc updown 5m 1775169900	2	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-02 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776376500	2	$20	16	15	+1	open	—	04-16 22:00
btc updown 5m 1776251100	2	$18	14	13	+1	open	—	04-15 11:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	05-24 21:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$17	50	50	+0	open	—	06-02 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$7	05-09 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	05-02 17:14
btc updown 5m 1776376200	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-16 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 22:15
btc updown 5m 1776292200	2	$13	9	8	+0	open	—	04-15 22:35
btc updown 5m 1776801900	2	$13	14	13	+1	open	—	04-21 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 18:54:48	btc updown 5m 1780599000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x0f7e05…
06-04 13:17:42	eth updown 5m 1780578900	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x7857be…
06-04 13:17:40	eth updown 5m 1780578900	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xa21dd0…
06-04 13:17:40	eth updown 5m 1780578900	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4b22e2…
06-04 13:17:40	eth updown 5m 1780578900	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4186df…
06-04 13:08:52	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc59f00…
06-04 12:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780577100	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xf41398…
06-04 12:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780577100	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc88b19…
06-04 12:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780577100	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xc31ba6…
06-04 12:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780577100	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x488482…
06-04 12:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780577100	Down	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0x1e970e…
06-04 12:34:01	btc updown 5m 1780576200	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5363f2…
06-04 08:06:33	btc updown 5m 1780560300	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3aa70f…
06-04 07:57:43	btc updown 5m 1780559700	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x48468d…
06-03 22:48:30	btc updown 5m 1780526700	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x226011…
06-03 22:37:58	btc updown 5m 1780526100	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7d05ac…
06-03 22:21:55	btc updown 5m 1780525200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfb135d…
06-03 22:11:45	btc updown 5m 1780524600	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x70e1c2…
06-03 22:03:42	btc updown 5m 1780524000	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x74320e…
06-03 19:58:30	btc updown 5m 1780516500	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd93399…
06-03 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x12c303…
06-03 17:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0xee28e2…
06-03 17:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x2b6911…
06-03 17:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x122eb4…
06-03 15:03:46	Birmingham: Zhizhen Zhang vs Otto Virtanen	Zhizhen Zhang	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xa89100…
06-03 14:45:19	Perugia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Jacopo Vasami	Jacopo Vasami	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2284b4…
06-03 14:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbc6d3d…
06-03 14:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xc41bc4…
06-03 14:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0xb101a3…
06-03 13:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x7ea23d…
06-03 13:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2d9110…
06-03 13:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x020c58…
06-03 10:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x16669a…
06-03 10:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5bb926…
06-03 10:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x36d5db…
06-03 09:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x8de721…
06-03 09:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x872096…
06-03 09:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0727ad…
06-03 09:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x032352…
06-03 08:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xd07541…
06-03 08:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x2d25c0…
06-03 08:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xcaa9f2…
06-02 15:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1fdf3e…
06-02 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xbaed13…
06-02 14:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x4e5934…
06-02 14:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfcdfcf…
06-02 14:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x6c11bf…
06-02 11:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xf8b4e3…
06-02 11:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9a9b23…
06-02 11:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xabd466…
06-02 11:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3a4f3b…
06-02 10:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7c4254…
06-02 10:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xbdbb95…
06-02 10:03:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	33	17¢	$6	0x47380f…
06-02 10:02:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf13709…
06-02 09:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	76¢	$8	0xb9937f…
06-02 09:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7f808f…
06-02 09:42:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x571edc…
06-02 09:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6b0ae1…
06-02 09:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8936a3…
06-02 09:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xdca71c…
06-02 09:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x239a82…
06-02 09:02:02	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x2b7a97…
06-02 08:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x199abf…
06-02 08:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0xc5eef5…
06-02 08:28:01	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd377c6…
06-01 16:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0007df…
06-01 16:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbf377c…
06-01 16:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8f9891…
06-01 15:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2ff32f…
06-01 15:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf279bb…
06-01 15:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x45b4f5…
06-01 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0xe57f83…
06-01 14:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xb6a828…
06-01 14:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7d9cda…
06-01 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb07827…
06-01 13:23:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6a4d4b…
06-01 13:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd2b254…
06-01 13:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcebd3c…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xede4c7…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xda9458…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x8ffa1e…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7f6650…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x772d9d…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6a30db…
06-01 12:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4e7b6d…
06-01 12:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x85300e…
06-01 12:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x6d4802…
06-01 12:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb5d5c5…
06-01 11:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0xc10dec…
06-01 11:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xf2d359…
06-01 11:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	33	22¢	$7	0xfe5f41…
06-01 11:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x4a3dc4…
06-01 11:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcff9d7…
06-01 11:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0xc82274…
06-01 11:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x9aa478…
06-01 09:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xf63ef9…
06-01 09:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8127e9…
06-01 09:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x38c790…
06-01 08:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x09c454…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	439	$64.4K	8,665	06-04 18:54
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	426	$1.04K	2,457	06-04 18:54
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	401	$248.1K	16,736	06-02 15:08
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	398	$5.03K	2,081	06-04 18:50
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	390	$123.9K	18,438	06-04 18:54
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	389	$139.5K	37,783	06-04 18:54
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	387	$110.9K	33,683	06-04 13:18
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	386	$145.3K	23,606	06-04 18:54