Private-Chill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

140

Trades

285

lifetime

Volume

$3.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 10-26 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Other

56% 64% -$102

Politics

33% 36% +$126

Sports

11% 30% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+88	$11	1¢	$0	-$10	07-27 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$354	415	415	+0	Yes	+$147	02-28 21:53
will uk strike iran by march 31	10	$265	494	494	+0	No	+$4	03-04 18:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	18	$220	257	257	+0	Yes	-$13	03-03 19:06
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	8	$179	330	330	+0	No	+$11	03-01 22:19
Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	4	$142	115	115	+0	Yes	+$75	07-04 20:43
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	2	$58	32	32	+0	Over	+$5	07-03 23:24
fifwc col cdr 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	4	$52	29	29	+0	Over	+$2	06-24 04:07
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	2	$49	29	29	+0	Over	+$8	07-03 18:33
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	3	$48	27	27	+0	Over	+$6	06-30 22:27
fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	2	$48	26	26	+0	Over	+$5	06-29 18:21
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$46	38	38	+0	Yes	+$18	06-07 20:48
nhl det ott 2026 02 26 total 4pt5	3	$45	50	27	+23	Under	-$21	02-27 02:11
fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	2	$45	25	25	+0	Over	+$5	06-26 00:45
fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	2	$42	25	25	+0	Over	+$7	06-26 19:22
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	3	$39	67	67	+0	No	-$1	03-03 19:00
mex tig mon1 2026 03 07 tig	4	$39	29	29	+0	Yes	+$9	03-08 05:03
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 mun	2	$39	30	30	+0	Yes	+$22	03-01 15:59
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$39	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 15:11
fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	2	$36	21	21	+0	Over	+$6	07-01 20:31
Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?	2	$36	21	21	+0	Yes	+$6	07-04 03:05
will germany strike iran by march 31	3	$35	184	184	+0	No	-$5	03-02 23:12
will iran strike cyprus in march	2	$35	50	50	+0	No	-$5	03-01 23:13
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	2	$35	19	19	+0	Over	+$4	07-02 20:39
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 team total away 0pt5	2	$35	19	19	+0	Over	+$3	06-23 04:35
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	2	$34	20	20	+0	Over	+$6	07-07 00:34
will mexico win the 2026 world baseball classic	5	$33	2,238	0	+2,238	No	-$33	03-08 16:51
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	2	$32	18	18	+0	Over	+$3	06-26 02:12
mex pac pue 2026 03 07 total 2pt5	3	$32	21	21	+0	Over	+$10	03-08 03:02
fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 0pt5	2	$30	16	16	+0	Over	+$2	06-25 20:04
fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	2	$30	18	18	+0	Over	$0	06-26 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 18:54:41	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbf01e8…
10-25 02:15:29	CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x6ce55c…
10-25 01:26:33	CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x3328f5…
10-24 23:48:29	CF Monterrey vs. CD Guadalajara: CD Guadalajara O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xe9d91e…
10-24 23:47:42	Club León FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbed5cc…
10-24 22:47:48	Club León FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x7cd9b8…
09-10 23:29:49	nfl sf la 2026 09 11 team total la 19pt5	Over	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0x96c441…
07-27 19:06:46	Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	88	12¢	$11	0x06b616…
07-10 23:49:32	mlb bos nym 2026 07 10 nrfi	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0xafab1a…
07-07 18:42:29	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x30b1d9…
07-07 18:10:49	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf1ee42…
07-07 15:59:43	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xaf7e9c…
07-07 01:21:19	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 2pt5	Over	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x343a9d…
07-07 00:38:04	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 2pt5	Over	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xdf4b6a…
07-07 00:34:43	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x452fa1…
07-07 00:11:32	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x0c44bf…
07-07 00:11:13	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb1abdf…
07-06 23:54:31	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0xc8f60b…
07-06 18:30:08	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0xe560fa…
07-06 17:55:52	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0xeda57b…
07-05 05:59:38	Brazil to score first vs. Norway?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xa446be…
07-05 05:59:17	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0x5f30c5…
07-05 05:33:46	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	7	81¢	$6	0x917206…
07-05 05:33:28	Brazil to score first vs. Norway?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb24c6d…
07-04 20:43:28	Will Morocco be the furthest advancing CAF nation at the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	115	94¢	$109	0xbfc30b…
07-04 20:43:14	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1191a0…
07-04 03:05:47	Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xe97c5a…
07-04 01:01:49	Colombia to score first vs. Ghana?	Yes	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xfb5485…
07-04 00:18:43	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x366df6…
07-04 00:07:17	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0x15312b…
07-03 23:24:47	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x931dbc…
07-03 23:24:38	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xc817f1…
07-03 21:51:44	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Cabo Verde	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xa60905…
07-03 21:51:08	Will Jordan Pickford record the most clean sheets at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$3	0xe3045f…
07-03 21:48:11	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	32	84¢	$26	0x6834eb…
07-03 21:39:23	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xea5c78…
07-03 18:33:44	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x9db624…
07-03 17:25:56	fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	29	71¢	$20	0x578761…
07-03 01:18:26	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	80¢	$16	0xcfb64e…
07-03 01:15:59	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xfe428a…
07-03 00:14:56	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 btts	Yes	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0xa98168…
07-03 00:14:43	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3de7f5…
07-02 21:28:11	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0x484082…
07-02 21:27:53	Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x74f289…
07-02 20:39:55	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x768a7b…
07-02 18:22:17	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	80¢	$16	0xa53e37…
07-01 23:34:53	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x015b3c…
07-01 23:33:55	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x5ef29d…
07-01 20:31:05	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6e36ea…
07-01 18:52:02	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xb0f246…
07-01 18:47:56	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0xd8c4e6…
07-01 15:50:02	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xdba261…
07-01 00:47:53	mlb stl atl 2026 06 30	Atlanta Braves	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0x8c034e…
06-30 23:08:28	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x403935…
06-30 22:27:23	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x2d804e…
06-30 20:05:04	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xbef213…
06-30 20:03:50	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x6b0cf7…
06-30 19:00:59	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x52beb4…
06-30 19:00:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe205ec…
06-30 18:12:07	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners second half total 4pt5	Over	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x81f65d…
06-30 17:45:01	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf6877d…
06-30 15:50:58	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 shots amad diallo gte2	Yes	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x472aad…
06-30 15:50:40	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x63d4d7…
06-30 15:50:29	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7a37ff…
06-29 22:33:55	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0x0d3cb6…
06-29 20:01:50	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x94314e…
06-29 18:24:46	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x5939c8…
06-29 18:21:08	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x09de1a…
06-29 16:22:58	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	26	82¢	$22	0x0d9ee3…
06-28 18:47:49	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	22	80¢	$17	0xb35aa9…
06-26 21:54:05	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x39c177…
06-26 21:53:49	fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x3a6a8a…
06-26 19:22:55	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe72903…
06-26 18:03:14	fifwc nor fra 2026 06 26 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	25	70¢	$17	0xaa46e0…
06-26 02:12:22	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x1c16f3…
06-26 00:52:52	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x3f14d7…
06-26 00:52:20	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x7853ff…
06-26 00:52:08	fifwc par aus 2026 06 25 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	28	81¢	$23	0xd67c16…
06-26 00:50:43	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xd273bb…
06-26 00:45:37	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	Over	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x1e676c…
06-26 00:45:32	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x825bbc…
06-25 22:17:46	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xa2f0b7…
06-25 22:16:26	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x68f0d5…
06-25 22:06:25	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xca0752…
06-25 22:06:20	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xa662f5…
06-25 20:11:22	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xe6118e…
06-25 20:04:22	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5356fd…
06-25 18:58:05	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xae84f5…
06-25 18:57:47	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x12f404…
06-25 03:05:35	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2ad2c4…
06-24 23:42:07	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x4f7085…
06-24 23:40:04	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb6619d…
06-24 23:22:49	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 team total away 0pt5	Over	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0x1ef99b…
06-24 23:22:32	fifwc cze mex 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x87c287…
06-24 23:21:58	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Over	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf87912…
06-24 22:27:04	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	16	86¢	$14	0x0e70b9…
06-24 22:24:25	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xea3b01…
06-24 20:41:28	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 corners total 6pt5	Over	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x465d25…
06-24 20:40:44	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x4c0355…
06-24 20:36:34	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 corners total 6pt5	Over	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x8aa7aa…