Inferior-Crude-Disaster — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$7.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-08 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 43% +$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772763300	1	$391	1,614	+1,614	open	—	03-06 02:30
btc updown 15m 1773549900	2	$374	480	+480	open	—	03-15 05:00
btc updown 15m 1772784900	2	$340	461	+461	open	—	03-06 08:30
btc updown 15m 1772757000	1	$298	928	+928	open	—	03-06 00:45
btc updown 15m 1772717400	1	$282	373	+373	open	—	03-05 13:45
btc updown 15m 1773127800	1	$225	575	+575	open	—	03-10 07:45
btc updown 15m 1773106200	1	$222	247	+247	open	—	03-10 01:45
btc updown 15m 1772848800	4	$198	220	+220	open	—	03-07 02:15
btc updown 15m 1772838900	5	$191	213	+213	open	—	03-06 23:30
btc updown 15m 1772826300	1	$189	210	+210	open	—	03-06 20:00
btc updown 15m 1773094500	1	$187	549	+549	open	—	03-09 22:30
btc updown 15m 1772943300	1	$186	214	+214	open	—	03-08 04:30
btc updown 15m 1774034100	2	$182	277	+277	open	—	03-20 19:30
btc updown 15m 1773545400	1	$180	253	+253	open	—	03-15 03:45
btc updown 15m 1773573300	1	$175	203	+203	open	—	03-15 11:30
btc updown 15m 1772842500	1	$172	215	+215	open	—	03-07 00:30
btc updown 15m 1772983800	1	$168	218	+218	open	—	03-08 15:45
btc updown 15m 1774431000	1	$167	549	+549	open	—	03-25 09:45
btc updown 15m 1773040500	1	$166	223	+223	open	—	03-09 07:30
btc updown 15m 1773068400	6	$166	184	+184	open	—	03-09 15:15
btc updown 15m 1773980100	2	$147	264	+264	open	—	03-20 04:30
btc updown 15m 1775286000	6	$138	250	+250	open	—	04-04 07:15
btc updown 15m 1774697400	3	$128	344	+344	open	—	03-28 11:45
btc updown 15m 1774739700	3	$121	412	+412	open	—	03-28 23:30
btc updown 15m 1773486900	1	$116	146	+146	open	—	03-14 11:30
btc updown 15m 1773442800	1	$113	133	+133	open	—	03-13 23:15
btc updown 15m 1774931400	4	$110	246	+246	open	—	03-31 04:45
btc updown 15m 1773224100	1	$101	376	+376	open	—	03-11 10:30
btc updown 15m 1775051100	3	$99	263	+263	open	—	04-01 14:00
btc updown 15m 1773245700	1	$96	312	+312	open	—	03-11 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 05:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780893900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb6bf15…
06-08 05:00:03	btc updown 15m 1780893900	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x39151f…
05-30 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	237	1¢	$2	0xdef249…
05-30 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	237	1¢	$2	0x8cad03…
05-30 23:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	237	1¢	$2	0x4e4b5f…
05-30 09:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x90661c…
05-30 09:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	21¢	$2	0x7e6617…
05-23 04:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x0a1e10…
05-22 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0xe62add…
05-22 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0x3c9852…
05-22 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	249	1¢	$2	0x31b1c0…
05-22 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd9e76d…
05-22 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbb0261…
05-22 08:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xa2246d…
05-20 08:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x5013a2…
05-20 08:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x4af02b…
05-20 08:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x346094…
05-15 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x682c05…
05-15 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2d2fda…
05-15 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2cce4b…
05-12 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0xbf8eac…
05-12 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x4837a2…
05-12 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x140089…
05-12 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xa8dfd4…
05-12 05:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xa81ca2…
05-12 05:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x5c7c40…
05-11 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xb4e6a2…
05-11 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	13¢	$2	0x46501c…
05-11 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x32698a…
05-10 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xb39fe1…
05-10 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x806cb9…
05-10 20:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x7f558b…
05-10 05:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xc85430…
05-10 05:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x5d82f6…
05-05 08:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xf3fa89…
05-05 08:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xeb55c2…
05-05 08:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x1f43d1…
05-04 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x571545…
05-02 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x504752…
05-02 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xdd6c50…
05-02 12:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x629ee0…
05-02 10:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x4ca02d…
05-02 10:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3b91e1…
05-02 10:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x352c29…
05-02 06:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x46b714…
05-01 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x9c823f…
05-01 09:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x7f0325…
05-01 09:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	135	1¢	$1	0x1ad243…
04-29 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0xa3ffa1…
04-29 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0x8e3e0b…
04-29 00:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x097a74…
04-24 08:00:02	btc updown 15m 1777016700	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe5675a…
04-24 08:00:02	btc updown 15m 1777016700	Down	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0xa07f5e…
04-23 21:15:04	btc updown 15m 1776978000	Down	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0xf6b503…
04-23 21:15:04	btc updown 15m 1776978000	Down	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0xec3c2e…
04-23 21:15:04	btc updown 15m 1776978000	Down	BUY	158	1¢	$2	0xb025a3…
04-23 19:15:10	btc updown 15m 1776970800	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x835267…
04-23 19:15:04	btc updown 15m 1776970800	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xaeaec3…
04-23 19:15:04	btc updown 15m 1776970800	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x37faaa…
04-19 23:45:06	btc updown 15m 1776641400	Down	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xf85e9e…
04-19 23:45:06	btc updown 15m 1776641400	Down	BUY	22	30¢	$7	0xf5202d…
04-19 01:45:02	btc updown 15m 1776562200	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9fbe42…
04-14 12:45:03	btc updown 15m 1776169800	Up	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x235c42…
04-07 01:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775522700	Up	BUY	1,970	1¢	$20	0xb41feb…
04-07 01:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775522700	Up	BUY	1,970	1¢	$20	0x72b9e5…
04-07 01:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775522700	Up	BUY	1,970	1¢	$20	0x2eda69…
04-06 03:00:19	btc updown 15m 1775443500	Up	BUY	115	19¢	$22	0x16754d…
04-06 03:00:05	btc updown 15m 1775443500	Up	BUY	68	32¢	$22	0xa32d84…
04-06 03:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775443500	Up	BUY	64	34¢	$22	0xbcb696…
04-04 15:45:17	btc updown 15m 1775316600	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x072f87…
04-04 15:45:11	btc updown 15m 1775316600	Up	BUY	39	62¢	$24	0x04fc6b…
04-04 15:45:09	btc updown 15m 1775316600	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x7756e7…
04-04 07:15:09	btc updown 15m 1775286000	Up	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xdd3be0…
04-04 07:15:09	btc updown 15m 1775286000	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xcaa9a5…
04-04 07:15:09	btc updown 15m 1775286000	Down	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x863c99…
04-04 07:15:07	btc updown 15m 1775286000	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xa544e4…
04-04 07:15:07	btc updown 15m 1775286000	Up	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x90bd27…
04-04 07:15:07	btc updown 15m 1775286000	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x21ce77…
04-04 05:15:09	btc updown 15m 1775278800	Up	BUY	44	50¢	$22	0x49acef…
04-04 05:15:07	btc updown 15m 1775278800	Up	BUY	59	45¢	$27	0x332a64…
04-04 01:30:05	btc updown 15m 1775265300	Up	BUY	2,966	1¢	$30	0xadd82f…
04-04 01:30:05	btc updown 15m 1775265300	Up	BUY	2,966	1¢	$30	0xa7ad65…
04-04 01:30:05	btc updown 15m 1775265300	Up	BUY	2,966	1¢	$30	0x1d10d7…
04-01 14:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775051100	Up	BUY	80	41¢	$33	0xbea91e…
04-01 14:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775051100	Up	BUY	95	35¢	$33	0x3c92d0…
04-01 14:00:03	btc updown 15m 1775051100	Up	BUY	88	37¢	$33	0x231edc…
03-31 04:45:03	btc updown 15m 1774931400	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xb47642…
03-31 04:45:03	btc updown 15m 1774931400	Up	BUY	79	46¢	$36	0x7b8da9…
03-31 04:45:03	btc updown 15m 1774931400	Up	BUY	91	40¢	$36	0x73b095…
03-31 04:45:03	btc updown 15m 1774931400	Up	BUY	68	49¢	$33	0x2fa3f7…
03-28 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1774739700	Up	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0xf827c7…
03-28 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1774739700	Up	BUY	125	32¢	$40	0xf7a4d2…
03-28 23:30:04	btc updown 15m 1774739700	Up	BUY	143	28¢	$40	0x1d8848…
03-28 20:45:02	btc updown 15m 1774729800	Down	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0xb82bbb…
03-28 20:45:02	btc updown 15m 1774729800	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0x18d37e…
03-28 11:45:05	btc updown 15m 1774697400	Up	BUY	106	40¢	$43	0xab8052…
03-28 11:45:05	btc updown 15m 1774697400	Up	BUY	89	48¢	$43	0x41bbf6…
03-28 11:45:05	btc updown 15m 1774697400	Up	BUY	148	29¢	$43	0x0c2741…
03-28 05:45:21	btc updown 15m 1774675800	Up	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0xb603e0…
03-27 20:45:05	btc updown 15m 1774643400	Up	BUY	109	21¢	$23	0xab6fbe…