Cautious-Digestive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

375

Trades

834

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-19 10:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

74% 71% -$21

Crypto

18% 82% +$0

Politics

4% 87% $0

Sports

1% 33% $0

Tech

1% 67% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 41°C or higher on June 27?	10	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	06-26 21:02
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 06:09
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 9?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-09 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 21?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-21 08:00
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 8?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-08 09:00
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on July 28?	6	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-27 21:02
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 20?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 11:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on July 27?	4	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-27 00:28
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on July 18?	4	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-17 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-27 11:09
Will Angie Windhauser be the MN-05 Republican nominee?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-09 22:47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C or below on July 28?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-27 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 5?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-05 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C on June 25?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-25 08:35
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	3	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	06-30 15:55
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C or below on August 7?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	08-07 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on July 23?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 10:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on July 2?	5	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-01 13:36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 16?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-16 11:38
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 9?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-09 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on May 11?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-11 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 30?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-23 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 11?	3	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	08-11 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 16?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-16 00:53
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-14 04:00
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 23:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 10:38:57	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x41527a…
10-15 16:17:37	Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xacdbb2…
09-03 04:40:45	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x38ab11…
08-31 22:33:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xafcb43…
08-31 20:38:33	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x6e1c32…
08-31 19:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 1?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa6e8b0…
08-31 19:24:40	Will Solana reach $130 in August?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbd8462…
08-31 19:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x11c539…
08-31 17:46:22	Will Solana reach $130 in August?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5f661b…
08-31 16:00:00	Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5e10cf…
08-31 14:16:40	Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x49d7cf…
08-31 14:00:43	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x5ee1e1…
08-31 13:03:28	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x3e5e51…
08-31 12:28:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x99a3da…
08-31 05:42:52	Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x16d71e…
08-31 01:56:54	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x5d2f6c…
08-31 00:39:07	Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xdb792b…
08-30 23:22:16	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x19ef2b…
08-30 20:52:01	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbeb244…
08-30 19:14:24	Ukraine election called by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc503e6…
08-30 16:53:30	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x04b2d5…
08-30 15:37:49	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1fb4ba…
08-30 14:36:13	bitcoin above 78k on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x51c82b…
08-30 02:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x81dd77…
08-29 19:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xeb7d0c…
08-29 14:32:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7e9b7f…
08-29 14:28:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$3	0x7b6898…
08-29 12:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x66e521…
08-29 12:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x3a514b…
08-29 09:03:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 29?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x869aa4…
08-29 08:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x89d6d4…
08-28 15:43:52	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x9a3a36…
08-28 14:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on August 29?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd3f6a0…
08-28 12:10:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 28?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xbfe93a…
08-28 11:19:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x21adb7…
08-28 05:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x88f482…
08-28 03:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3ca154…
08-28 01:07:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x931bae…
08-28 00:42:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x291ad1…
08-27 22:34:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x2e1472…
08-27 20:20:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x211a79…
08-27 11:13:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x4b5cf4…
08-27 11:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x1b0808…
08-27 09:17:19	Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbc399a…
08-27 01:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2bd0e…
08-27 00:32:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x3a2dc2…
08-26 21:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 27?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xeabb9a…
08-26 18:51:18	will bitcoin reach 83k on august 26 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8661e6…
08-26 12:09:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2c9dc7…
08-26 11:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x991b7d…
08-26 11:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x278c8e…
08-26 10:11:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa47cfe…
08-26 08:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xc7bebe…
08-25 16:56:16	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xbf6e7d…
08-25 13:56:31	bitcoin above 82k on august 25 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x988631…
08-25 12:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x972148…
08-25 08:29:28	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xa253b6…
08-25 04:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 25?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xd5fe75…
08-25 04:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x17cfa2…
08-25 00:19:22	will bitcoin dip to 74k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf480df…
08-24 23:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xba7e9f…
08-24 21:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on August 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0da695…
08-24 20:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfa206f…
08-24 20:18:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x67426b…
08-24 14:21:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd8f729…
08-24 10:12:18	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x1425df…
08-24 06:37:27	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0e28e1…
08-24 01:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4c7853…
08-24 01:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x21274a…
08-24 00:27:55	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c69df…
08-24 00:11:42	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x17df1d…
08-23 23:11:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x92e6df…
08-23 21:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xbeda6e…
08-23 20:09:13	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbbc910…
08-23 19:05:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xb94e5d…
08-23 11:43:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x1e3a82…
08-14 21:41:31	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7e3a38…
08-14 21:07:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1f9877…
08-14 18:25:58	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x985a78…
08-14 14:20:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x792f7c…
08-14 14:18:09	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x0b089e…
08-14 09:10:01	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x98de57…
08-14 05:44:09	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02a75c…
08-14 04:00:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x71995c…
08-14 01:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0faa6d…
08-14 01:27:07	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x1f7f91…
08-14 00:32:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x73c960…
08-13 22:58:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9a888…
08-13 19:55:06	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 13, 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xccc74e…
08-13 16:46:03	Will "This & That" - Stray Kids first week album sales be between 240k and 280k?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x222a03…
08-13 15:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 13?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xba71a7…
08-13 15:28:01	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x8e1481…
08-13 14:05:16	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3c29b1…
08-13 11:38:57	bitcoin above 60k on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x2fb661…
08-13 08:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1f2b28…
08-13 07:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on August 13?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x9c0362…
08-13 06:44:52	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x569997…
08-13 05:39:34	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7b94a2…
08-13 05:24:39	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4f08da…
08-13 05:23:54	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9b26cd…