Realized P&L
+$21
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
31.7%
Resolved
53
Trades
1,747
lifetime
Volume
$28.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$3.21K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-26 20:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Politics
92% 60% +$23
Other
7% 63% +$5
Crypto
1% 22% -$6
Tech
0% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 695 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +850 $847 99¢ $845 -$2 10-26 21:24
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +957 $668 70¢ $665 -$3 10-26 21:27
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +952 $286 32¢ $300 +$14 10-26 21:24
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +169 $167 100¢ $168 +$1 10-25 17:59
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +168 $148 96¢ $161 +$13 10-25 17:59
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +169 $139 76¢ $128 -$11 10-25 17:59
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No — +110 $84 78¢ $86 +$2 10-26 20:13
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +85 $53 80¢ $68 +$15 10-25 23:33
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +66 $62 94¢ $62 +$0 10-26 20:52
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +68 $59 86¢ $58 -$1 10-26 21:15
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +60 $55 92¢ $55 +$0 10-26 01:27
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +73 $46 65¢ $47 +$1 10-26 03:37
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +60 $46 77¢ $46 $0 10-26 01:26
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +169 $49 27¢ $45 -$3 10-25 17:59
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +53 $46 86¢ $45 -$1 10-26 21:26
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +60 $44 73¢ $44 +$0 10-26 01:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +44 $42 97¢ $43 +$0 10-24 02:15
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +60 $40 66¢ $39 $0 10-25 17:56
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +54 $38 68¢ $36 -$1 10-26 19:49
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +60 $36 57¢ $34 -$1 10-26 01:26
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +38 $30 80¢ $30 $0 10-26 11:03
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +30 $29 96¢ $29 $0 10-25 16:54
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +73 $26 35¢ $25 -$1 10-26 03:37
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +40 $24 60¢ $24 $0 10-26 21:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +25 $18 93¢ $23 +$5 10-23 17:47
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +30 $22 72¢ $22 +$0 10-26 18:24
Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? Yes +30 $24 72¢ $22 -$2 10-19 23:28
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +60 $20 34¢ $21 +$0 10-25 17:56
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat? No +30 $21 68¢ $21 -$1 10-25 13:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +30 $20 68¢ $20 $0 10-23 15:00