Pessimistic-Diesel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$328

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-15 04:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Sports

79% 60% +$37

Other

14% 0% -$45

Politics

6% 50% -$3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	4	$220	349	349	+0	Justin Gaethje	+$42	06-15 04:54
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$26	42	42	+0	Sean Strickland	+$6	05-10 04:46
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$25	25,000	0	+25,000	No	-$25	05-30 06:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$15	2,424	0	+2,424	No	-$15	04-20 21:13
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	1	$10	65	0	+65	Yes	-$10	04-15 23:54
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	1	$10	17	0	+17	No	+$7	04-20 21:10
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	1	$9	99	0	+99	Thunder	-$9	04-23 01:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$5	25	0	+25	No	-$5	04-22 23:47
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 go the distance	1	$4	21	0	+21	No	-$4	06-15 04:41
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	2	$3	8	8	+0	open	—	06-15 04:00
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$2	4	0	+4	Ciryl Gane	+$2	06-15 04:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:54:49	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Justin Gaethje	SELL	158	50¢	$79	0xf370b8…
06-15 04:48:16	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	158	31¢	$49	0xcff84b…
06-15 04:46:34	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	SELL	191	27¢	$51	0x4cc1e8…
06-15 04:41:42	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 go the distance	Yes	BUY	21	18¢	$4	0x44df4a…
06-15 04:04:00	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	191	21¢	$40	0xfc2cca…
06-15 04:01:00	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xcc0a37…
06-15 04:00:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x10a490…
06-02 02:51:46	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xca031c…
05-30 06:18:30	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x0783ff…
05-10 04:46:22	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdbef43…
05-10 04:44:41	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0x248e6b…
05-10 04:43:45	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe87cd2…
04-23 01:15:48	nba phx okc 2026 04 22	Suns	BUY	99	9¢	$9	0x76dc92…
04-22 23:47:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x14e538…
04-20 21:13:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,424	1¢	$15	0x51138b…
04-20 21:10:08	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe3e5fa…
04-15 23:54:58	Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?	No	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0xa2f6de…