Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$218.1K

Unrealized P&L

+$37.5K

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

1,708

Trades

4,335

lifetime

Volume

$16.4M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$3.79K

Open exposure

$296.7K

6 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 10-27 11:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Sports

89% 51% +$183,474

Other

10% 54% +$34,621

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 102 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	+197,170	$156,865	98¢	$193.2K	+$36,362	10-23 19:24
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+60,817	$42,924	84¢	$51.4K	+$8,466	10-23 11:56
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+85,663	$31,997	34¢	$28.7K	-$3,300	10-26 15:50
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	+12,473	$10,214	96¢	$12.0K	+$1,823	10-23 17:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+29,113	$11,105	34¢	$9.8K	-$1,352	10-16 21:10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	+27,033	$6,125	6¢	$1.6K	-$4,503	10-14 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	82	$157.4K	198,200	1,030	+197,170	open	—	10-23 19:24
New York Mets vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5	4	$81.8K	153,622	0	+153,622	Under	+$71,832	05-09 14:54
Jaguars vs. Bengals	3	$76.9K	137,802	0	+137,802	Jaguars	-$76,891	10-04 16:55
Ball State vs. Kent State	4	$66.4K	123,700	0	+123,700	Kent State	+$31,036	09-26 15:46
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres	10	$65.4K	114,832	0	+114,832	San Diego Padres	-$65,374	09-27 16:02
Spread: Bears (-3.5)	2	$64.4K	141,075	0	+141,075	Bears	+$55,803	10-22 23:29
mlb mil pit 2026 07 10	10	$58.3K	120,807	0	+120,807	Pittsburgh Pirates	-$48,576	07-11 15:52
Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	6	$57.3K	112,456	0	+112,456	Rice	-$37,924	10-24 14:50
mlb oak cin 2026 08 04	2	$54.6K	99,214	0	+99,214	Cincinnati Reds	+$44,646	08-04 22:21
mlb cws min 2026 08 30	2	$51.7K	109,987	0	+109,987	Minnesota Twins	-$51,694	08-30 14:43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5	2	$51.5K	103,099	0	+103,099	Over	+$51,550	08-23 12:31
mlb sd cin 2026 08 31	2	$51.1K	104,687	0	+104,687	San Diego Padres	-$6,432	08-31 21:23
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5	4	$50.0K	95,000	0	+95,000	Under	+$44,950	10-06 21:21
mlb tor phi 2026 08 08 total 9pt5	6	$49.8K	100,745	0	+100,745	Over	+$50,983	08-08 16:50
Spread: UNLV (-13.5)	7	$49.5K	95,576	0	+95,576	UNLV	+$46,047	09-26 15:13
mlb cin cws 2026 08 13 total 8pt5	2	$48.7K	93,710	0	+93,710	Over	-$48,729	08-13 16:52
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves	9	$46.3K	102,688	0	+102,688	San Francisco Giants	+$17,707	08-31 14:06
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	3	$45.9K	90,000	0	+90,000	cancelled	-$900	06-05 16:50
mlb atl mil 2026 08 22	1	$45.9K	74,000	0	+74,000	Milwaukee Brewers	+$28,120	08-22 13:36
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5	2	$45.6K	89,339	0	+89,339	Under	-$45,563	05-22 14:39
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	5	$44.5K	82,505	0	+82,505	Miami Marlins	+$38,033	09-27 16:23
mlb chc stl 2026 07 27	2	$43.9K	91,598	0	+91,598	Chicago Cubs	-$27,257	07-27 22:37
mlb wsh phi 2026 08 05 total 9pt5	1	$43.6K	87,206	0	+87,206	Over	+$43,603	08-05 21:59
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	12	$42.9K	60,817	0	+60,817	open	—	10-23 11:56
nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	3	$42.9K	65,000	0	+65,000	Knicks	-$42,900	06-04 14:03
mlb tb cle 2026 10 16 total 6pt5	6	$42.9K	84,929	0	+84,929	Over	+$42,072	10-17 20:48
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies	3	$42.8K	76,404	0	+76,404	Philadelphia Phillies	+$33,618	09-22 20:10
mlb min sea 2026 08 01	1	$42.5K	69,748	0	+69,748	Seattle Mariners	+$27,202	08-01 17:53
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5	3	$41.9K	80,000	0	+80,000	Under	+$38,100	09-02 15:25
mlb sd ari 2026 08 03	2	$41.6K	86,733	0	+86,733	Arizona Diamondbacks	-$41,632	08-03 14:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:46:09	Raiders vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	1,375	49¢	$674	0xf3aaad…
10-27 11:37:18	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Vikings	BUY	2,230	51¢	$1,137	0xa7b64b…
10-27 00:14:42	Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)	Eagles	BUY	40,000	51¢	$20,400	0x67f664…
10-26 15:50:12	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	33,085	36¢	$11,911	0xde6f69…
10-25 16:59:35	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x430b85…
10-25 16:59:29	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x99861d…
10-25 16:59:09	Spread: Bengals (-3.5)	Ravens	BUY	926	54¢	$500	0xf39f85…
10-25 16:47:50	Browns vs. Titans: O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	7,356	52¢	$3,825	0x7813bd…
10-25 16:47:41	Browns vs. Titans: O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	27,078	52¢	$14,080	0xfc5c4c…
10-25 16:46:15	Browns vs. Titans: O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	41,734	52¢	$21,702	0x5ea02f…
10-25 16:42:38	Spread: Panthers (-2.5)	Panthers	BUY	60,000	54¢	$32,400	0x79c11b…
10-25 16:40:53	Spread: Texans (-10.5)	Giants	BUY	40,634	52¢	$21,130	0xf2262d…
10-25 11:35:56	Spread: Steelers (-2.5)	Steelers	BUY	70,000	55¢	$38,500	0x620425…
10-24 23:11:42	Spread: North Carolina (-8.5)	North Carolina	BUY	17,499	51¢	$8,924	0x0ebdef…
10-24 22:46:15	Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)	Kentucky	BUY	10,152	50¢	$5,076	0x18493f…
10-24 19:28:59	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	4,500	49¢	$2,205	0xe5e510…
10-24 19:21:15	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x59420c…
10-24 19:21:14	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x15ad11…
10-24 19:21:12	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	213	49¢	$104	0x2dea7e…
10-24 19:16:53	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	106	49¢	$52	0xacf890…
10-24 19:15:38	Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)	South Carolina	BUY	2,480	50¢	$1,240	0xab1389…
10-24 19:14:32	Spread: BYU (-7.5)	UCF	BUY	1,043	50¢	$522	0x968d47…
10-24 19:13:39	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x7fd8b4…
10-24 19:13:39	Spread: Ohio (-12.5)	Ohio	BUY	190	49¢	$93	0x16d5ed…
10-24 19:13:29	Spread: Ohio (-10.5)	Ohio	BUY	8,998	53¢	$4,769	0xf6752e…
10-24 15:53:50	Rutgers vs. Northwestern	Rutgers	BUY	19,066	14¢	$2,669	0xe60ecf…
10-24 15:29:02	Spread: TCU (-10.5)	West Virginia	BUY	66,534	52¢	$34,598	0x3e78a1…
10-24 15:20:14	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	15,797	53¢	$8,373	0x101696…
10-24 14:57:23	Spread: Oklahoma (-2.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	40,772	52¢	$21,202	0x07fdc3…
10-24 14:54:59	Rice vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 57.5	Over	BUY	505	42¢	$212	0x63ddec…
10-24 14:54:39	Rice vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	6,177	48¢	$2,965	0x922ef8…
10-24 14:50:21	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	31,304	51¢	$15,965	0x14d814…
10-24 14:49:54	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	43,699	51¢	$22,286	0xfa2ea5…
10-24 14:49:47	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Florida Atlantic	BUY	18,078	51¢	$9,219	0x3b9c23…
10-24 14:49:11	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Rice	BUY	4,338	51¢	$2,212	0x977440…
10-24 14:49:05	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Rice	BUY	9,848	51¢	$5,022	0x3c6248…
10-24 14:49:00	Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5)	Rice	BUY	5,190	50¢	$2,595	0x9ea6bf…
10-24 14:35:44	Spread: Troy (-11.5)	Troy	BUY	65,000	52¢	$33,800	0x421115…
10-24 14:27:26	Spread: Baylor (-2.5)	Kansas	BUY	524	54¢	$283	0xb6b2d0…
10-24 14:27:18	Spread: Baylor (-1.5)	Kansas	BUY	1,995	53¢	$1,057	0x358182…
10-24 14:18:24	Spread: Texas Tech (-10.5)	Cincinnati	BUY	4,405	48¢	$2,114	0x6d7c38…
10-24 13:33:23	Oklahoma vs. Mississippi State	Mississippi State	BUY	8,937	45¢	$4,022	0x51ee26…
10-24 13:28:18	Spread: Kentucky (-13.5)	Kentucky	BUY	1,902	44¢	$837	0x499c36…
10-24 13:27:47	Spread: Kentucky (-10.5)	Kentucky	BUY	8,870	51¢	$4,524	0x86fa00…
10-24 13:25:38	Spread: Oklahoma State (-13.5)	Oklahoma State	BUY	5,197	49¢	$2,547	0xb46cce…
10-24 12:41:56	Rutgers vs. Northwestern	Rutgers	BUY	5,096	14¢	$713	0x914c17…
10-24 12:40:51	Spread: SMU (-20.5)	SMU	BUY	185	46¢	$85	0x0d3a67…
10-24 12:40:20	Spread: SMU (-18.5)	SMU	BUY	4,446	51¢	$2,267	0xe87dd7…
10-24 12:37:38	1H Spread: LSU (-4.5)	Auburn	BUY	16,894	52¢	$8,785	0x6fee4c…
10-24 12:37:03	1H Spread: LSU (-4.5)	Auburn	BUY	1,505	51¢	$768	0xc0d908…
10-24 12:31:59	Spread: LSU (-7.5)	Auburn	BUY	5,941	53¢	$3,149	0xdb6ff3…
10-24 01:01:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8db218…
10-24 00:42:56	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	113	41¢	$46	0x88c24a…
10-24 00:41:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x27b83f…
10-24 00:40:14	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x4ca800…
10-24 00:40:00	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xe9c8e8…
10-24 00:39:48	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x909fb3…
10-24 00:39:38	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0xef7426…
10-24 00:39:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x98645e…
10-24 00:38:12	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x416fc2…
10-24 00:35:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xf327b0…
10-24 00:35:21	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x776682…
10-24 00:35:18	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	57	41¢	$23	0x954295…
10-24 00:35:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	77	41¢	$32	0x65dac2…
10-24 00:35:15	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	83	41¢	$34	0x8195df…
10-24 00:34:30	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x6468e6…
10-24 00:34:23	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7ff641…
10-24 00:34:03	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x5197e1…
10-24 00:33:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaefc45…
10-24 00:33:48	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	29	41¢	$12	0x050c48…
10-24 00:33:26	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb3c2cc…
10-24 00:32:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	13	41¢	$5	0x47894f…
10-24 00:32:27	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	207	41¢	$85	0x2b0399…
10-24 00:27:09	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x0eb72a…
10-24 00:27:05	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0x3e8706…
10-24 00:24:36	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	530	41¢	$217	0xf5ac4e…
10-23 21:23:45	Spread: Oklahoma (-2.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	1,000	47¢	$470	0x3ee54f…
10-23 21:23:11	Spread: Oklahoma (-3.5)	Mississippi State	BUY	175	54¢	$94	0x2b1f33…
10-23 21:16:59	Chiefs vs. Seahawks: O/U 42.5	Under	BUY	2,587	49¢	$1,268	0x2d8fa9…
10-23 20:46:14	Spread: Oklahoma State (-12.5)	Oklahoma State	BUY	85	53¢	$45	0x89d12f…
10-23 19:24:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,889	48¢	$907	0xca5572…
10-23 19:20:50	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	364	53¢	$193	0x1a0533…
10-23 19:20:48	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,000	53¢	$2,120	0x75c0a5…
10-23 19:20:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xa4f62e…
10-23 19:20:15	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x7d1e1b…
10-23 18:55:38	Spread: Alabama (-13.5)	Texas A&M	BUY	155	49¢	$76	0x61e672…
10-23 18:39:54	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,030	36¢	$372	0x986c47…
10-23 17:45:11	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	349	58¢	$203	0x575a24…
10-23 17:36:32	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xe64eec…
10-23 17:35:42	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	568	58¢	$329	0xaea48f…
10-23 17:35:03	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	63	82¢	$52	0x389f1b…
10-23 17:34:57	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	11,019	82¢	$9,035	0x4bf419…
10-23 17:34:53	NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1,391	81¢	$1,127	0xcc6894…
10-23 17:22:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	58¢	$69	0x08503c…
10-23 17:22:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	232	58¢	$135	0x9b375b…
10-23 17:21:41	Spread: Northwestern (-16.5)	Rutgers	BUY	514	52¢	$267	0xc8fb15…
10-23 17:12:29	Spread: Iowa (-6.5)	Minnesota	BUY	3,582	44¢	$1,576	0x3edf05…
10-23 16:40:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,360	62¢	$2,083	0x424dec…
10-23 16:40:00	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	62¢	$620	0x8c3313…
10-23 16:39:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	45	62¢	$28	0x9576cd…