Realized P&L
-$22.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$663
Hit rate
54.8%
Resolved
126
Trades
3,119
lifetime
Volume
$406.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$130
Open exposure
$5.82K
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 07-27 00:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 34 days
Categories
Politics
41%
57%
-$13,870
Other
32%
36%
-$6,082
Sports
26%
47%
-$1,495
Crypto
1%
0%
-$1,259
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | +4,444 | $2,622 | 66¢ | $2.9K | +$289 | 07-25 00:33 | |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | +4,444 | $2,533 | 64¢ | $2.9K | +$333 | 07-27 00:05 | |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | -2,222 | -$84 | 2¢ | $-43 | +$41 | 05-22 17:48 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20 | 183 | $50.8K | 502,782 | 45,563 | +457,220 | No | -$1,822 | 02-21 06:02 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 14 | $38.6K | 40,390 | 0 | +40,390 | No | +$1,746 | 02-28 21:18 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 15 | $17.8K | 17,777 | 0 | +17,777 | Yes | +$18 | 06-17 23:44 |
| iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982 | 3 | $16.5K | 13,653 | 13,653 | +0 | Yes | +$10,745 | 04-22 04:12 |
| elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319 | 112 | $15.1K | 22,059 | 373 | +21,686 | Yes | +$7,209 | 02-27 13:42 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 521 | $14.6K | 1,273,393 | 364,627 | +908,766 | Yes | -$12,798 | 02-28 08:59 |
| cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20 | 18 | $13.9K | 23,333 | 9,650 | +13,683 | Kentucky Wildcats | -$5,716 | 03-20 04:12 |
| netanyahu out by march 31 854 | 10 | $13.3K | 33,127 | 0 | +33,127 | No | +$474 | 03-26 05:10 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 7 | 23 | $11.2K | 122,222 | 11,976 | +110,245 | Yes | +$2 | 04-09 08:09 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 40 | $9.8K | 6,382 | 4,160 | +2,222 | Yes | +$187 | 02-21 05:46 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | 28 | $8.5K | 34,565 | 0 | +34,565 | Yes | -$8,508 | 02-28 06:24 |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal? | 54 | $8.1K | 20,953 | 953 | +20,000 | No | +$3,782 | 04-14 21:39 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 192 | $7.9K | 23,029 | 0 | +23,029 | No | -$7,893 | 02-25 21:44 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 44 | $7.2K | 30,188 | 444 | +29,744 | Yes | -$7,007 | 03-21 18:46 |
| israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026 | 33 | $6.8K | 22,179 | 0 | +22,179 | No | +$7,569 | 04-16 04:55 |
| nba den okc 2026 02 27 | 11 | $6.4K | 23,169 | 0 | +23,169 | Thunder | +$3,433 | 02-28 05:40 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | 3 | $6.1K | 11,127 | 0 | +11,127 | No | -$6,103 | 04-16 20:20 |
| us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026 | 1 | $5.5K | 5,555 | 0 | +5,555 | No | +$17 | 04-30 01:25 |
| Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 4 | $5.5K | 8,162 | 386 | +7,775 | No | +$383 | 04-26 21:10 |
| will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966 | 23 | $4.4K | 7,327 | 0 | +7,327 | Yes | +$400 | 02-25 01:59 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 9 | $4.4K | 16,434 | 0 | +16,434 | Yes | -$4,362 | 04-03 12:50 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 46 | $4.3K | 0 | 5,581 | -5,581 | No | -$1,259 | 03-21 12:15 |
| elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 320 339 | 12 | $4.2K | 5,641 | 0 | +5,641 | No | +$1,308 | 02-27 13:03 |
| epl mac ars 2026 04 19 ars | 132 | $3.8K | 17,138 | 0 | +17,138 | No | -$3,770 | 04-19 14:31 |
| nba orl det 2026 04 22 spread home 9pt5 | 2 | $3.6K | 7,777 | 0 | +7,777 | Pistons | +$4,155 | 04-22 22:40 |
| cbb tx byu 2026 03 19 | 10 | $3.3K | 7,777 | 0 | +7,777 | Texas Longhorns | +$4,477 | 03-19 22:58 |
| us x iran ceasefire by april 15 | 19 | $3.1K | 126,320 | 2,222 | +124,098 | Yes | +$1,658 | 04-08 01:13 |
| nhl chi min 2026 03 19 | 25 | $3.1K | 4,841 | 0 | +4,841 | Blackhawks | -$3,097 | 03-20 00:08 |
| elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259 | 73 | $3.1K | 9,332 | 0 | +9,332 | Yes | -$2,635 | 04-10 13:41 |
| Spread: Rockets (-8.5) | 3 | $3.0K | 6,675 | 0 | +6,675 | Lakers | -$3,037 | 04-24 23:12 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||