Brilliant-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$217.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.6%

Resolved

151

Trades

1,124

lifetime

Volume

$865.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$770

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 07-19 20:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Tech

54% 27% -$155,922

Other

42% 31% -$68,093

Sports

4% 60% +$6,214

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	12	$105.7K	78,100	49,806	+28,294	Yes	+$9,605	06-12 16:03
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	73	$94.8K	57,627	85,933	-28,305	Yes	-$11,357	06-12 16:35
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	75	$81.4K	125,426	37,162	+88,264	No	-$37,869	06-12 18:39
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	58	$47.2K	118,899	9,302	+109,597	No	-$43,019	06-12 17:45
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	22	$46.5K	144,275	45,851	+98,425	No	-$23,382	06-12 13:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?	65	$39.5K	270,617	10,397	+260,219	No	-$36,633	06-12 13:37
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)	3	$35.4K	32,000	15,999	+16,001	Japan	+$1,440	06-14 21:13
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	3	$15.6K	12,510	12,509	+1	Egypt	+$6,630	06-22 02:44
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	27	$14.6K	10,000	10,000	+0	Yes	+$2,600	05-19 02:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	6	$13.4K	0	13,988	-13,988	Yes	-$605	05-23 09:31
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)	7	$12.9K	15,386	0	+15,386	Egypt	+$2,483	06-15 19:05
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 2pt5	1	$12.0K	15,000	0	+15,000	Senegal	+$2,968	06-16 17:50
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?	3	$11.0K	150,134	22,528	+127,606	No	-$8,957	06-16 18:18
spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt2t	13	$10.2K	92,936	64,178	+28,758	No	-$3,425	06-12 13:36
fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread home 1pt5	1	$10.0K	16,667	0	+16,667	France	-$10,000	06-16 17:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	10	$10.0K	0	10,599	-10,599	Yes	-$636	05-28 09:04
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	119	$9.8K	16,505	0	+16,505	Norway	-$9,829	06-16 22:34
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 first half team total home 0pt5	1	$9.6K	15,206	0	+15,206	Under	-$9,569	06-21 18:16
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?	35	$8.8K	57,694	0	+57,694	No	-$8,796	06-12 13:37
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	11	$8.0K	6,000	5,942	+58	Club Atlético de Madrid	-$149	04-14 19:03
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$7.8K	10,555	0	+10,555	No	+$2,752	04-22 16:04
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 total 3pt5	6	$7.6K	12,132	12,132	+0	Over	-$1,613	06-16 22:13
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	13	$7.5K	11,000	11,000	+0	Yes	+$3,487	05-30 18:25
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	8	$7.5K	13,800	0	+13,800	Over	+$6,348	06-21 21:39
fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 2pt5	1	$7.2K	10,000	0	+10,000	Brazil	-$7,200	06-24 19:52
fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	1	$6.7K	11,641	0	+11,641	Under	-$6,690	06-23 22:06
fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	1	$6.5K	12,901	0	+12,901	Norway	-$6,451	06-16 22:13
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 draw	18	$6.3K	7,141	7,141	+0	No	+$2,080	01-24 19:10
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 spread away 1pt5	14	$6.1K	8,709	572	+8,137	Leeds United FC	+$2,750	02-28 18:25
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	9	$5.7K	0	6,362	-6,362	Yes	-$638	05-26 07:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 20:57:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0x0ef056…
07-19 20:57:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	2,815	6¢	$169	0x3f74c3…
07-19 20:56:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x76b146…
07-19 20:56:43	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x6aadb6…
07-19 20:56:42	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	5,544	6¢	$333	0x42a446…
07-19 20:56:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0xba6cbb…
07-19 20:56:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	102	6¢	$6	0xd5e39a…
07-19 20:56:18	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	1,826	6¢	$105	0xf750ba…
07-19 20:56:09	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	2,172	6¢	$130	0x3bb548…
07-19 20:55:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0x83dbed…
07-19 20:55:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xcddbc4…
07-19 20:55:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	3,837	6¢	$240	0x93500b…
07-19 18:25:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	678	59¢	$400	0x635980…
07-11 21:57:29	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals harry kane gte1	Yes	BUY	79	35¢	$28	0x691df2…
07-11 21:56:50	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	299	30¢	$90	0x950214…
07-11 21:55:29	Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	670	7¢	$48	0x028f8b…
07-11 21:54:56	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	183	12¢	$22	0x3f1e40…
07-11 21:54:52	Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?	Yes	BUY	229	12¢	$27	0xb324b3…
07-11 21:26:14	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	1,500	49¢	$735	0x7fbfc7…
07-11 21:11:43	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	Norway	BUY	2,500	8¢	$192	0xb944c5…
07-11 21:11:02	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x854612…
07-11 21:10:31	England to score first vs. Norway?	Yes	BUY	250	59¢	$147	0xac4034…
07-09 20:11:38	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	99	8¢	$8	0xfa603c…
07-09 20:11:38	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x438bd6…
07-09 20:11:34	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa4edc2…
07-09 20:11:34	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x1ef894…
07-09 20:11:20	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	34	8¢	$3	0xeae992…
07-09 20:11:19	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0x65e98c…
07-09 20:11:07	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x3782cd…
07-09 20:10:34	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	5,924	8¢	$474	0xcdde49…
07-09 20:10:34	France vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x81dd01…
07-09 20:10:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	5,385	4¢	$194	0x698c97…
07-09 20:10:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x0fa391…
07-09 20:10:05	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	4,970	4¢	$184	0x44e850…
07-09 20:09:59	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	7,831	64¢	$5,000	0x0fb3c7…
07-09 20:09:10	Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	2,036	25¢	$500	0xea0829…
07-09 20:09:07	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2,500	13¢	$319	0x31495e…
07-09 20:09:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	2,500	22¢	$558	0x01fef5…
07-04 00:06:02	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	333	37¢	$123	0x4c25a8…
06-25 10:00:38	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 team total home 2pt5	Over	BUY	10,022	25¢	$2,474	0xa9986b…
06-25 10:00:08	fifwc jpn swe 2026 06 25 spread home 1pt5	Japan	BUY	9,496	28¢	$2,659	0x5a941b…
06-25 09:58:47	Japan leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	10,570	40¢	$4,228	0x6864ae…
06-25 09:57:50	Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10,000	6¢	$600	0xad779e…
06-25 09:56:59	Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?	Yes	BUY	10,933	5¢	$577	0x83e41f…
06-25 01:11:47	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	3,439	26¢	$894	0x1605ad…
06-25 01:11:40	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xe6ec7a…
06-25 01:11:38	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	1,544	26¢	$401	0xa5c459…
06-25 01:11:38	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xa2a570…
06-25 01:11:26	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	2	26¢	$0	0x132301…
06-25 01:11:08	fifwc rsa kr 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x206b08…
06-24 19:53:19	Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10,000	17¢	$1,700	0xf9d8bc…
06-24 19:52:43	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 team total away 1pt5	Under	BUY	3,010	35¢	$1,053	0x43206d…
06-24 19:52:13	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 2pt5	Scotland	BUY	10,000	72¢	$7,200	0x3e5825…
06-24 19:51:35	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	10,000	50¢	$5,000	0xd2daf8…
06-23 22:10:23	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0x3953cf…
06-23 22:10:02	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0xc33a72…
06-23 22:09:14	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0xd25280…
06-23 22:09:13	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x619abd…
06-23 22:09:07	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	16	27¢	$4	0x4f0782…
06-23 22:07:59	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0x909c0f…
06-23 22:07:55	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	117	27¢	$31	0x580739…
06-23 22:07:50	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	49	27¢	$13	0xfe24e9…
06-23 22:07:50	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	249	27¢	$67	0x90b0b3…
06-23 22:06:58	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10,000	21¢	$2,100	0x977db0…
06-23 22:06:52	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0x262591…
06-23 22:06:49	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	72	27¢	$20	0x386d02…
06-23 22:06:28	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xdde998…
06-23 22:06:16	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	696	27¢	$188	0xd58ac0…
06-23 22:06:16	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	87	27¢	$23	0x90768b…
06-23 22:06:14	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	3,468	27¢	$936	0x7fb8c3…
06-23 22:06:14	Panama to score first vs. Croatia?	Yes	BUY	402	27¢	$109	0x37945c…
06-23 22:06:07	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	11,641	57¢	$6,690	0x5980d0…
06-23 22:04:34	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	Panama	BUY	8,085	58¢	$4,689	0xe74d87…
06-23 22:03:59	Exact Score: Panama 3 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	7,749	1¢	$77	0x39b79b…
06-23 22:03:47	Exact Score: Panama 3 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	5,044	1¢	$61	0x6aa1cb…
06-23 22:03:40	Exact Score: Panama 2 - 3 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	6,057	3¢	$188	0xbe898e…
06-23 22:03:34	Exact Score: Panama 3 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	10,550	1¢	$95	0xc8ac3c…
06-23 22:03:28	Exact Score: Panama 2 - 2 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8,633	5¢	$397	0x2761b0…
06-23 22:03:19	Exact Score: Panama 2 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	4,345	4¢	$152	0xa98087…
06-23 22:01:58	Exact Score: Panama 1 - 1 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	5,027	11¢	$553	0xefa2a0…
06-23 22:01:46	Exact Score: Panama 1 - 0 Croatia?	Yes	BUY	8,766	4¢	$329	0xbe9c02…
06-22 02:44:26	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	SELL	11,996	89¢	$10,676	0xedae15…
06-22 02:44:26	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	SELL	513	89¢	$456	0x9695ee…
06-21 21:39:20	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	1,817	54¢	$981	0xb72976…
06-21 21:39:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	165	54¢	$89	0xb16c41…
06-21 21:39:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	165	54¢	$89	0x4850f9…
06-21 21:39:19	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	3,303	54¢	$1,784	0x3a0ed5…
06-21 21:39:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9e9b0c…
06-21 21:39:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x3b68aa…
06-21 21:39:17	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	401	54¢	$217	0x3022c1…
06-21 21:39:02	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	7,909	54¢	$4,271	0x793402…
06-21 18:25:56	fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	Egypt	BUY	12,510	36¢	$4,504	0xc05746…
06-21 18:22:41	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	20,000	8¢	$1,600	0xff5090…
06-21 18:21:43	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts	Yes	BUY	10,000	49¢	$4,900	0x9b8fb9…
06-21 18:16:13	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 first half team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	15,206	63¢	$9,569	0xfb6235…
06-21 18:16:10	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts first half	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x2260b7…
06-21 18:15:25	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts first half	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0ba4c8…
06-21 18:15:16	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 btts first half	Yes	BUY	13,803	17¢	$2,395	0xfbca55…
06-21 18:14:31	Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 2 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	17,962	4¢	$766	0x9938c4…
06-21 18:14:13	Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 2 IR Iran?	Yes	BUY	12,096	3¢	$395	0xbe349e…