Winged-Republican — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

287

Trades

288

lifetime

Volume

$3.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-28 04:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:36
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 13:41
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:47
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:41
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:12
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:59
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:58
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:32
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 5c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:13
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:44
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:06
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:38
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:17
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:35
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:45
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 11:59
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 04:21
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x323257…
10-27 07:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb244…
10-26 05:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4918da…
10-24 06:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2798b…
10-23 07:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5b553…
10-21 08:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7d13a…
10-19 06:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05768c…
10-18 07:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65c43e…
10-17 07:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaffe09…
10-16 05:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6071ad…
10-15 06:39:05	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x655d1e…
10-14 07:13:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2b73b6…
10-13 05:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf04200…
10-12 04:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x15d965…
10-11 03:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabfe81…
10-08 07:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3f1c9…
10-07 08:55:44	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb83da…
10-06 07:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x537ae0…
10-04 08:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x642767…
10-03 04:17:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2c40a…
10-02 07:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46269b…
10-02 03:14:42	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6393cc…
10-01 07:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c4dc1…
09-30 09:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x241828…
09-29 08:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xee4b19…
09-28 08:16:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x82132d…
09-27 02:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x116900…
09-25 07:55:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3b62f…
09-24 06:43:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b41c5…
09-23 05:16:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8efd79…
09-22 06:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x614bce…
09-21 08:24:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6f6cf0…
09-20 03:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb88c5d…
09-19 06:49:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47a04a…
09-18 01:11:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc1c6ca…
09-17 03:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe51a…
09-16 08:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd5a8ec…
09-15 23:36:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x029c33…
09-15 02:28:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75f77c…
09-14 02:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0db935…
09-13 12:51:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c1b5a…
09-12 08:11:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdaaf62…
09-11 06:27:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77c28e…
09-10 01:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x344f2f…
09-09 09:07:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4b9f9…
09-08 15:43:13	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6f753…
09-08 01:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6978e5…
09-07 01:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1df0dc…
09-06 01:16:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3b6b4…
09-05 09:21:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec6af1…
09-04 08:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab640a…
09-03 01:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2d813…
09-01 01:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9bcdc8…
08-30 01:01:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32db77…
08-29 05:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1cc960…
08-28 01:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa0e86…
08-27 01:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xa0fcd4…
08-26 02:03:43	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc55e30…
08-25 08:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d1a02…
08-24 07:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x264733…
08-23 07:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1c648f…
08-22 06:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6561c8…
08-21 01:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4afbe5…
08-20 05:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93b3e1…
08-19 07:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5cc4dc…
08-18 01:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81f625…
08-17 06:08:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b625…
08-16 10:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9114fe…
08-15 02:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdddf72…
08-14 06:20:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe06a76…
08-13 00:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x396cb7…
08-12 06:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a2ec6…
08-11 00:26:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x147906…
08-10 00:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda42bd…
08-09 00:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x72cb95…
08-08 07:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe9a28…
08-07 00:28:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebd89f…
08-06 00:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x26a3a1…
08-05 00:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x368541…
08-04 03:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7850dc…
08-03 01:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 104-105°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c2223…
08-02 00:24:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b6026…
08-01 00:19:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc38738…
07-31 07:15:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bebde…
07-30 00:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdd100…
07-29 01:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a4820…
07-28 00:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a4e27…
07-27 07:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0131dd…
07-26 01:10:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0d558a…
07-25 00:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc60945…
07-24 01:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9229df…
07-23 01:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4f6fb8…
07-22 01:34:25	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3267e…
07-20 23:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x705fdb…
07-19 22:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99adb1…
07-18 22:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe30396…
07-17 23:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3e435d…
07-17 01:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc9f566…
07-16 08:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc5866…
07-15 21:41:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ff6ce…