Realistic-Flung — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved

3,201

Trades

4,025

lifetime

Volume

$6.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-28

last 07-21 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 78% +$72

Other

6% 62% -$50

Politics

1% 62% +$0

Sports

0% 0% -$8

Tech

0% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 17:45 UTC	5	$25	52	0	+52	Down	-$25	06-06 17:47
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 12:30 UTC	4	$23	15	15	+0	Up	+$6	06-16 12:44
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 21:30 UTC	3	$15	23	0	+23	Down	-$15	06-06 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-04 19:15 UTC	11	$11	9	8	+2	Up	+$1	06-04 19:22
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	06-01 12:20
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 13:45 UTC	5	$10	15	0	+15	Down	-$10	06-06 13:46
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	9	$10	13	13	+0	No	+$0	06-28 19:13
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	6	$10	14	14	+0	Max Holloway	$0	06-29 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$9	12	12	+0	No	-$1	06-29 10:30
bitcoin above 63800 on june 11 2026 4pm et	4	$9	6	6	+0	No	+$3	06-11 20:02
bitcoin above 64200 on june 13 2026 10am et	4	$9	7	7	+0	No	+$2	06-13 13:49
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 18:45 UTC	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	06-15 18:59
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 07:00 UTC	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	06-16 07:09
HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-06 14:45 UTC	5	$9	13	0	+13	Down	+$4	06-06 14:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 00:15 UTC	3	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-14 00:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 15:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-17 15:50
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 19:15 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	06-16 19:29
bitcoin above 66600 on june 15 2026 10am et	3	$8	6	6	+0	No	+$2	06-15 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-14 09:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 17:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	06-15 17:58
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 02:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-15 02:57
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 12:00 UTC	3	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	06-14 12:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 08:15 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	06-17 08:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-16 18:30 UTC	3	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	06-16 18:43
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638	5	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	06-29 10:30
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?	5	$8	6	6	+0	Yes	$0	06-27 19:36
bitcoin above 61400 on june 10 2026 6pm et	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	+$6	06-10 22:17
DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 12:55 UTC	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	$0	07-05 12:59
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	5	$8	13	13	+0	Up	+$2	06-02 17:12
BNB Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-15 20:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	06-15 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 12:24:43	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe63b53…
07-21 11:59:46	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5eb900…
07-21 11:54:45	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xf34e6a…
07-21 11:39:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8af9c7…
07-21 11:20:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x730f80…
07-21 11:19:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x475cbf…
07-21 11:19:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x6b1a85…
07-21 10:59:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xcf1ec1…
07-21 10:44:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x73de12…
07-21 10:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa53471…
07-21 10:29:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x24b9e4…
07-21 09:39:52	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb0df4a…
07-21 09:39:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x31d4d4…
07-21 08:44:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x883150…
07-21 08:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa1a5b0…
07-21 08:34:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x921237…
07-21 08:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x424375…
07-21 08:04:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xef626f…
07-21 07:54:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x52c144…
07-21 06:49:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x2e7ce8…
07-21 06:14:45	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8dd057…
07-21 06:14:43	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xdb109b…
07-21 06:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xea8d0f…
07-21 05:34:46	XRP Up or Down - July 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x967cb1…
07-21 05:14:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0cd64e…
07-21 05:14:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb07e2c…
07-21 05:14:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x5c139a…
07-21 05:14:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x9027ca…
07-21 03:44:55	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x58eb6d…
07-21 03:44:46	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe0d4f9…
07-21 03:24:51	Solana Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x58c1f7…
07-21 03:24:46	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7df06e…
07-21 03:24:43	XRP Up or Down - July 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7931f4…
07-21 02:59:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc3f205…
07-21 02:14:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-21 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x73ac91…
07-21 01:39:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a2e21…
07-21 00:49:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe9ac14…
07-20 23:34:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5c5a18…
07-20 22:39:46	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd2cd7f…
07-20 22:24:43	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 22:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xddd8f2…
07-20 21:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa91fdd…
07-20 21:19:43	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8cecc0…
07-20 21:04:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x58cc86…
07-20 20:59:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf637cd…
07-20 20:24:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x7936cf…
07-20 20:09:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x25461d…
07-20 19:39:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 19:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeb6b2b…
07-20 19:34:51	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa576e2…
07-20 19:29:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x4143ca…
07-20 19:29:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb28cc1…
07-20 19:29:49	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe4a645…
07-20 19:24:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 19:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x361ca0…
07-20 18:59:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x369a61…
07-20 18:29:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbb20b8…
07-20 18:19:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8bd0ff…
07-20 17:59:49	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1c59f1…
07-20 17:54:51	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb0c4f1…
07-20 17:04:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5306a7…
07-20 16:44:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1cfe39…
07-20 16:34:43	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7e9619…
07-20 16:24:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd6c132…
07-20 16:04:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xee0522…
07-20 15:59:45	Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0355ca…
07-20 15:34:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x142215…
07-20 15:29:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa9d93e…
07-20 15:29:45	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xeb6649…
07-20 15:29:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5c829a…
07-20 15:24:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x2ba219…
07-20 15:19:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x71b6a8…
07-20 14:44:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xec650d…
07-20 14:44:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc4d56c…
07-20 14:09:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6d6b7d…
07-20 14:09:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x7713c1…
07-20 13:59:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xe44f05…
07-20 13:49:45	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x1ee0ba…
07-20 13:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x05768d…
07-20 13:44:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xbcb233…
07-20 12:34:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x08164e…
07-20 12:24:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7e2d05…
07-20 12:09:55	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x5c00c9…
07-20 12:09:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x62278f…
07-20 11:59:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x92be8f…
07-20 11:44:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x654ffd…
07-20 11:39:45	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9281b2…
07-20 09:49:51	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x0d5153…
07-20 09:49:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9a61b0…
07-20 09:34:52	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xbee0ed…
07-20 09:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4a4374…
07-20 08:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xbf859e…
07-20 08:59:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa5580e…
07-20 08:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x8227a8…
07-20 08:34:54	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x70535a…
07-20 08:29:57	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x0f6ba3…
07-20 08:29:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x9ef0f1…
07-20 08:29:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x978ff1…
07-20 08:24:52	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xeb7465…
07-20 07:59:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xdd5767…
07-20 07:49:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x91a247…
07-20 07:29:46	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc0d41b…
07-20 07:19:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbac733…