Well-Informed-Bead — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$448

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

5,122

Trades

9,550

lifetime

Volume

$116.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 09-30 20:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% -$430

Other

0% 29% -$17

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 20:25 UTC	3	$687	838	791	+47	Down	+$267	07-20 20:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 23:45 UTC	3	$680	485	485	+0	Up	+$280	07-15 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$668	554	554	+0	Up	+$268	07-21 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:10 UTC	4	$601	440	440	+0	Down	+$151	07-17 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:55 UTC	2	$584	526	526	+0	Down	+$184	09-15 04:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:05 UTC	4	$548	458	458	+0	Up	+$108	07-11 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 17:25 UTC	2	$529	385	385	+0	Up	+$109	07-20 17:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	3	$514	854	317	+536	Up	+$114	09-15 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:25 UTC	3	$513	1,357	357	+1,000	Up	+$93	07-20 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:40 UTC	5	$511	357	251	+106	Up	+$17	07-08 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:35 UTC	3	$503	439	392	+47	Up	+$83	07-21 06:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 10:15 UTC	3	$484	423	423	+0	Up	+$184	07-22 10:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 05:30 UTC	3	$478	1,034	827	+207	Down	+$78	09-15 05:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 16:50 UTC	4	$455	351	278	+73	Down	-$5	07-22 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 11:35 UTC	4	$451	326	326	+0	Up	+$51	07-20 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 02:40 UTC	2	$442	295	295	+0	Up	+$42	07-11 02:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:50 UTC	4	$438	491	222	+269	Up	-$2	07-20 15:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 04:40 UTC	2	$437	283	282	+0	Down	+$37	07-11 04:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 16:20 UTC	3	$437	407	385	+23	Up	+$17	07-20 16:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	6	$436	589	520	+69	Up	+$156	09-15 08:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 09:20 UTC	4	$434	468	231	+236	Down	+$24	09-15 09:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 03:00 UTC	2	$427	263	263	+0	Down	+$27	07-11 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 04:50 UTC	4	$395	309	309	+0	Up	-$5	07-08 04:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:00 UTC	3	$393	516	272	+244	Up	-$7	09-15 07:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:10 UTC	3	$384	596	448	+148	Down	+$224	09-15 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 08:05 UTC	4	$374	350	350	+0	Up	-$26	08-09 08:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:05 UTC	4	$365	225	225	+0	Down	+$33	09-15 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	3	$361	554	370	+183	Down	+$141	09-15 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 21:10 UTC	3	$354	305	295	+10	Down	+$146	09-17 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 07:55 UTC	5	$351	450	424	+26	Up	+$111	09-15 07:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 20:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0xdbbb70…
09-30 17:58:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x92ef83…
09-30 17:50:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x98027e…
09-30 17:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xfdfdbe…
09-30 17:44:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb10de0…
09-30 17:43:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:40 UTC	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$3	0xe674eb…
09-30 17:42:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd037e7…
09-30 17:37:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x592b9a…
09-30 17:28:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x360288…
09-30 17:28:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0xde299e…
09-30 17:27:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf3b9ac…
09-30 17:16:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8c1c83…
09-30 17:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x264c38…
09-30 17:13:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xaef257…
09-30 17:04:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x64855c…
09-30 17:04:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8fed33…
09-30 16:58:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbacc2b…
09-30 09:01:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9f30b5…
09-30 08:43:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1a68cb…
09-30 08:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf2cce9…
09-30 08:13:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x88791f…
09-30 08:07:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xebe743…
09-30 08:07:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	72¢	$7	0x8e193d…
09-30 08:06:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7643f5…
09-30 08:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xaed7f8…
09-30 08:03:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Up	SELL	39	62¢	$24	0x67fe24…
09-30 08:01:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xe09ddf…
09-30 08:00:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 08:00 UTC	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xb43c23…
09-30 07:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:55 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x893d6c…
09-30 07:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x974c61…
09-30 07:35:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5540b3…
09-30 07:33:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x9bbcc0…
09-30 07:31:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0x6e1abf…
09-30 07:30:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf9cd87…
09-30 07:27:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:25 UTC	Down	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0xd90acb…
09-30 07:27:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xd7c738…
09-30 07:11:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa88db4…
09-30 07:04:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Down	SELL	13	96¢	$13	0xfc7d08…
09-30 07:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:00 UTC	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x55a070…
09-30 06:52:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x4e8af9…
09-30 06:42:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x68b3b1…
09-30 06:39:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x3f5308…
09-30 06:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc35479…
09-30 06:37:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:35 UTC	Down	SELL	19	58¢	$11	0xccba9c…
09-30 06:36:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:35 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xf23105…
09-30 06:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x42ea71…
09-30 06:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:25 UTC	Up	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x3c9b0d…
09-30 06:27:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8d8a47…
09-30 06:22:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:20 UTC	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd978fb…
09-30 06:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0x5821cd…
09-30 06:17:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe4db11…
09-30 06:06:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x354e20…
09-30 06:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x41fd70…
09-30 06:05:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x97eeaa…
09-30 06:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xd98f14…
09-30 06:03:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x8ed713…
09-30 06:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x40a1b8…
09-30 06:02:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xd61f06…
09-30 06:01:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x777e66…
09-30 05:58:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:55 UTC	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xdcd7f3…
09-30 05:52:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x0c3769…
09-30 05:44:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:40 UTC	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x3ad1fd…
09-30 05:42:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8b7221…
09-30 05:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xac2d84…
09-30 05:38:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x01e79e…
09-30 05:38:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Up	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0x33e0f8…
09-30 05:38:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x51b90a…
09-30 05:27:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0x50bf9a…
09-30 05:26:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x043bde…
09-30 05:13:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x57bcd0…
09-30 05:09:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:05 UTC	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc48b24…
09-30 05:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:05 UTC	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xb9f11d…
09-30 05:08:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:05 UTC	Down	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0xa502c6…
09-30 05:06:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xcab17a…
09-30 04:36:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xceca3f…
09-30 04:29:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9ca8c6…
09-30 04:22:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x383bc1…
09-30 04:18:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb7c685…
09-30 04:12:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x492edb…
09-30 03:59:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x889adc…
09-30 03:45:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x40dd2a…
09-30 03:36:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:35 UTC	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0xfbe3e0…
09-30 03:35:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa2835e…
09-30 03:20:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x94530c…
09-30 03:09:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xffb998…
09-30 03:04:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:00 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcc534e…
09-30 03:03:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x666b2a…
09-30 02:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x86a491…
09-30 01:58:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb7fc2d…
09-30 01:57:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc30f6e…
09-30 01:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x4ead46…
09-26 14:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xab2670…
09-24 20:13:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8688c0…
09-24 15:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xa1244b…
09-24 04:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x1882f6…
09-24 04:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3e523d…
09-24 04:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x88a447…
09-24 04:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	18	86¢	$15	0x137447…
09-24 04:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x7f47be…
09-24 04:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x9ad6b7…