Palatable-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.6%

Resolved

Trades

817

lifetime

Volume

$12.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 04:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

96% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% 42% $-11

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	6	$1.5K	800	800	+0	open	—	01-02 06:19
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	11	$1.1K	507	707	-200	open	—	01-05 09:05
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 40 64	2	$775	400	400	+0	open	—	01-14 05:39
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 400 419	1	$699	0	700	-700	open	—	01-01 10:58
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	16	$431	1,155	2,210	-1,054	open	—	01-19 16:07
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	7	$406	503	503	+0	open	—	01-23 16:15
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	6	$368	335	385	-50	open	—	01-24 11:42
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 190 214	1	$365	0	500	-500	open	—	01-17 13:22
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	11	$306	1,110	200	+910	open	—	01-27 04:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	13	$300	845	945	-100	open	—	01-23 16:30
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 520 539	2	$293	148	148	+0	open	—	01-09 08:55
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	6	$238	200	175	+25	open	—	01-26 15:12
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	5	$185	1,276	340	+936	open	—	01-02 16:27
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	7	$155	300	600	-300	open	—	01-10 10:14
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	2	$151	213	213	+0	open	—	01-26 12:17
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	5	$147	107	57	+50	open	—	02-07 15:48
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	5	$144	105	76	+29	open	—	01-24 14:45
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 580 599	3	$130	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	01-19 17:09
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	4	$129	111	129	-18	open	—	01-09 16:39
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	14	$123	815	429	+385	open	—	01-06 16:03
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	9	$121	460	0	+460	open	—	01-10 14:28
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 480 499	11	$120	322	422	-100	open	—	01-23 16:42
elon musk of tweets february 13 february 20 300 319	17	$109	198	148	+50	open	—	02-20 16:18
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	7	$102	195	100	+95	open	—	01-06 16:59
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	01-02 16:26
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	7	$96	40	190	-150	open	—	01-26 15:07
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 165 189	7	$96	140	640	-500	open	—	01-17 13:43
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	4	$91	96	0	+96	open	—	01-30 15:58
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 165 189	4	$90	252	552	-300	open	—	01-24 16:36
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	8	$89	153	0	+153	open	—	02-06 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 04:05:00	btc updown 5m 1784693100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x253fa6…
07-22 04:04:52	btc updown 5m 1784693100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc23968…
07-22 03:59:31	btc updown 5m 1784692500	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xb17eb0…
07-22 03:58:51	btc updown 5m 1784692500	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3bcba6…
07-19 21:24:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x439452…
07-19 21:19:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa4ecdd…
07-19 20:47:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xcac4b4…
07-19 20:47:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf10412…
07-19 20:46:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x48e239…
07-19 20:45:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte2	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x207a41…
07-19 19:15:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbc9584…
07-19 19:15:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3e8946…
07-19 19:12:19	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte2	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x0f457e…
07-13 04:51:25	btc updown 5m 1783918200	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x7ccebf…
07-13 04:50:05	btc updown 5m 1783918200	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe1d143…
07-10 16:15:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 spread home 2pt5	Belgium	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x53d408…
07-10 04:34:49	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x77e51c…
07-09 19:17:08	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x903e20…
07-07 22:00:38	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xef5129…
07-07 21:55:38	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3ba3af…
07-07 07:00:59	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 2pt5	Egypt	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xa1b184…
05-24 02:08:38	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x428d83…
05-21 02:05:44	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4ba045…
05-20 02:03:21	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x01699e…
05-20 01:40:55	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	12	74¢	$9	0x1fe084…
05-20 01:09:34	Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2c58d7…
05-19 03:49:07	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5f283b…
05-17 07:18:42	Spread: Pistons (-4.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe226ff…
05-17 07:18:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x7332a2…
05-14 05:14:59	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x35a1e5…
05-13 04:11:22	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xbb60d2…
05-13 00:47:10	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xcff4e1…
05-11 06:56:12	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xfb1275…
05-10 04:06:18	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5740cd…
05-09 14:06:25	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x79fd96…
05-09 14:05:37	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7e1295…
05-08 02:34:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x728c1b…
05-06 03:52:34	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe9f2ba…
05-06 03:51:56	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6de4b2…
05-05 05:56:42	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcf7ea9…
05-05 05:31:22	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd72634…
05-05 04:55:48	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x2aafe6…
05-05 04:45:46	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x934038…
05-04 15:56:24	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xab700b…
05-04 15:55:54	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	19	44¢	$8	0xb3f375…
05-04 15:44:10	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfe26cc…
05-04 15:30:10	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xe09ddf…
05-04 15:14:12	Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x730f06…
05-04 14:28:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xdf6500…
05-04 09:18:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parry	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x7f58ef…
05-04 09:17:44	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anastasia Potapova vs Irina-Camelia Begu	Anastasia Potapova	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x460ba9…
05-04 09:14:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Diane Parry	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x50d4cf…
05-03 17:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x541e48…
05-03 17:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x814739…
05-03 17:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xb741bc…
05-03 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbcb7ef…
05-03 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xb6e756…
05-03 17:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xeadbf0…
05-03 17:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x232360…
05-03 17:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x39492f…
05-03 17:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x84907d…
05-03 17:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeb0e2c…
05-03 17:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x2e60e3…
05-03 17:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x0e5be7…
05-03 07:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6e2314…
05-03 07:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xda14bc…
05-03 07:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xaeffed…
05-03 07:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xccaf5b…
05-03 06:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6d6dcc…
05-03 06:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeb35b8…
05-03 06:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x157826…
05-02 16:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xba6dbf…
05-02 16:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5d3eff…
05-02 16:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x59e449…
05-02 16:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb46cc8…
05-02 15:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x09c36d…
05-02 15:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc67b2b…
05-02 15:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcc05ee…
05-02 15:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe01378…
05-02 15:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x828462…
05-02 15:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x277eee…
05-02 15:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb97a48…
05-02 15:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcf25e9…
05-02 15:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbf49e9…
05-02 15:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x022088…
05-02 15:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x32bbe8…
05-02 15:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x85ea9d…
05-02 15:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9c901c…
05-02 07:31:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	92¢	$30	0xa2504a…
05-02 07:27:28	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x170021…
05-02 07:27:14	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xc9b0ad…
05-01 17:52:52	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x433738…
05-01 15:40:46	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf085ba…
05-01 15:36:34	Cavaliers vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x003f8e…
05-01 15:32:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	76¢	$37	0xa1163e…
04-28 03:54:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xbce781…
04-28 03:49:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x6ef578…
04-27 13:54:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	71¢	$29	0xd13886…
04-27 13:51:32	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xab951e…
04-27 05:39:58	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x685f3c…