Palatable-Waterwheel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$432

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

543

Trades

1,843

lifetime

Volume

$32.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-14 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 144 days

Categories

Other

98% 57% -$337

Politics

1% 80% +$12

Sports

1% 45% -$96

Crypto

0% 28% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Rangers vs. Canucks	Rangers	+2	$1	64¢	$1	$0	11-14 01:25
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Predators	+2	$1	62¢	$1	$0	11-14 01:23
Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	+1	$1	68¢	$1	$0	11-14 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 13?	Yes	+22	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-13 17:30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 13?	Yes	+5	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	11-13 21:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 440 459	6	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$50	01-02 06:19
elon musk 48h tweets january 3 january 5 140plus	11	$1.1K	507	707	-200	Yes	-$92	01-05 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 3?	15	$980	504	504	+0	No	+$28	10-04 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 4?	21	$846	441	441	-0	No	+$34	10-05 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 23?	12	$806	426	426	+0	No	+$38	09-23 02:27
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 40 64	2	$775	400	400	+0	No	+$25	01-14 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 26?	6	$705	466	264	+201	No	+$7	09-26 15:57
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 400 419	1	$699	0	700	-700	No	-$1	01-01 10:58
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 1?	19	$637	329	329	+0	No	+$19	10-02 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on October 2?	12	$573	317	317	+0	No	+$8	10-03 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 9?	27	$569	390	191	+199	No	+$11	10-10 04:35
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 27?	2	$561	282	282	+0	No	+$3	09-28 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on October 12?	30	$552	297	297	+0	No	+$41	10-12 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 7?	17	$460	241	241	+0	No	+$21	10-07 13:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 23?	4	$433	220	220	+0	No	+$6	09-23 12:25
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 90 114	16	$431	1,155	2,210	-1,054	Yes	-$1,068	01-19 16:07
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	7	$406	503	503	+0	Yes	-$13	01-23 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C or below on September 24?	1	$393	399	0	+399	No	+$6	09-25 09:10
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 28?	14	$389	401	0	+401	No	+$12	09-28 18:13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 26?	35	$386	245	213	+32	Yes	-$86	09-26 06:00
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 115 139	6	$368	335	385	-50	No	-$1	01-24 11:42
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 24?	9	$368	195	195	+0	No	+$22	09-25 03:18
elon musk of tweets january 15 january 17 190 214	1	$365	0	500	-500	No	+$365	01-17 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 9?	8	$358	182	182	+0	No	+$6	10-09 19:30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on September 30?	3	$335	172	172	+0	No	+$9	09-30 18:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	11	$323	50	350	-300	Yes	-$6	09-25 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?	6	$311	328	0	+328	No	+$17	10-06 10:16
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	11	$306	1,110	200	+910	No	-$250	01-27 04:17
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 500 519	13	$300	845	945	-100	No	-$21	01-23 16:30
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$298	300	0	+300	No	+$2	09-23 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 01:28:46	Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x490cb8…
11-14 01:25:31	Rangers vs. Canucks	Rangers	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbde1bc…
11-14 01:23:26	Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)	Predators	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8681ca…
11-13 21:27:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 13?	Yes	SELL	7	79¢	$6	0x5bc25b…
11-13 21:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x73f146…
11-13 21:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 13?	Yes	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x2e531c…
11-13 17:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x6afacc…
11-13 17:30:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe98404…
11-13 17:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 13?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x749e94…
11-13 01:03:04	Hornets vs. Suns: O/U 214.5	Under	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe9f25…
11-13 01:02:06	BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf1ec71…
11-13 00:57:58	Spread: 76ers (-6.5)	Raptors	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x8ea837…
11-12 03:17:24	Wild vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf0bd55…
11-12 03:16:00	Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x00b7f0…
11-12 03:12:55	Thunder vs. Trail Blazers	Thunder	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x050992…
11-12 03:12:12	Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	Warriors	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x023e00…
11-12 02:33:07	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x94d04b…
11-12 02:32:00	Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xbe66b0…
11-12 02:31:06	Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)	Nuggets	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x453354…
11-10 02:54:52	Spread: Oilers (-1.5)	Rangers	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x694242…
11-10 02:34:27	Flyers vs. Canucks	Flyers	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xea1b2c…
11-10 02:31:40	Pacers vs. Mavericks	Pacers	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbef4b6…
11-10 02:24:51	Spread: Rockets (-10.5)	Nuggets	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xa05e15…
11-10 02:20:54	Grizzlies vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe05f19…
11-09 02:32:39	Pelicans vs. Clippers	Pelicans	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x257a72…
11-08 17:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x9ef7e1…
11-08 17:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 60-61°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0x433609…
11-08 17:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x85a2d5…
11-08 03:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 8?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4ef7d4…
11-07 20:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xefc4bf…
11-07 20:46:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x3adea9…
11-07 19:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0xa099d1…
11-07 19:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 7?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcaf1d3…
11-07 17:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbfe5fd…
11-07 16:06:58	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0xcb01b3…
11-07 15:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xbc0516…
11-07 15:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9f2029…
11-07 03:22:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on November 7?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x46862a…
11-04 18:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x7c2208…
11-04 18:01:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	SELL	12	28¢	$4	0x41db82…
11-04 17:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7ef0f3…
11-04 16:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5c2fec…
11-04 15:48:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x233bf7…
11-04 15:46:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa97026…
11-04 15:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x4c12c8…
11-04 15:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5d4116…
11-04 15:44:18	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xafde27…
11-04 15:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 5?	Yes	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x4f08d9…
11-04 15:35:28	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8f5d16…
11-04 15:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on November 4?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc80f3d…
11-03 18:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4559c1…
11-03 18:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf7cb9b…
11-03 18:33:49	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x90465d…
11-03 18:23:03	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc3e4f9…
11-03 18:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 3?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xd0151f…
11-03 14:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x37b355…
11-03 12:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe17171…
11-03 12:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd12c2d…
11-02 20:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x7e47a4…
11-02 17:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbcfc93…
11-02 17:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x7d6d84…
11-02 13:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3700a2…
11-02 13:31:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb1d870…
11-02 13:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x10861a…
11-02 13:14:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xb147f3…
11-02 13:09:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x4eaee5…
11-02 13:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x92f24b…
11-02 12:56:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xe0e0f1…
11-02 12:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x4298cb…
11-01 19:11:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x4472ad…
11-01 18:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xfe8ece…
11-01 18:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	1	56¢	$0	0xe6d6b9…
11-01 18:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x216dd7…
11-01 17:47:16	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7e2632…
11-01 17:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xf90faf…
11-01 17:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0xe56ca1…
11-01 17:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0ca19f…
11-01 16:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xef2f57…
11-01 16:54:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xac2e84…
11-01 16:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x2e36ea…
11-01 16:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe33c03…
11-01 16:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x20c1f8…
11-01 16:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xceadde…
11-01 16:34:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x60f436…
11-01 16:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xfe2588…
11-01 16:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on November 1?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9b58e8…
11-01 04:46:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x49f6f6…
11-01 04:46:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0x00bdea…
11-01 04:45:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0x6ccab7…
11-01 04:39:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on November 1?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xb531a2…
10-31 21:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	18	80¢	$15	0xeec114…
10-31 20:52:01	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xa5fbd2…
10-31 20:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x56a482…
10-31 19:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xdcb5b8…
10-31 19:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x38eec6…
10-31 19:47:39	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xaedfdc…
10-31 19:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xbf08a4…
10-31 19:45:52	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x71c804…
10-31 19:44:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf9320c…
10-31 19:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x5ae33d…