Realized P&L
+$56
Unrealized P&L
+$175
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
102
Trades
706
lifetime
Volume
$38.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$1.64K
7 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 11-03 02:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Other
42% 79% -$6
Sports
27% 52% +$394
Politics
19% 59% -$574
Tech
12% 100% +$242
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +550 $500 92¢ $509 +$8 10-26 02:21
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +440 $403 94¢ $416 +$13 10-13 17:56
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +237 $166 92¢ $219 +$53 09-20 21:00
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +300 $200 65¢ $194 -$7 10-29 06:24
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +201 $159 96¢ $193 +$34 06-23 17:22
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No +100 $32 92¢ $92 +$59 11-01 10:26
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $7 21¢ $21 +$13 11-03 02:16