Violet-Passage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-05 13:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 79% -$5

Other

39% 84% -$5

Politics

8% 100% +$1

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 86k on january 8	1	$92	92	+92	Yes	+$0	01-08 03:28
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on january 3	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	01-02 08:22
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	1	$91	92	+92	No	+$0	02-01 03:38
bitcoin above 74k on march 1	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-01 06:18
ethereum above 2100 on april 15	1	$89	90	+90	Yes	+$0	04-15 09:28
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	04-07 08:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-31 07:21
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-26 06:27
military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-18 09:58
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-09 08:34
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 4	1	$89	89	+89	No	+$0	03-04 08:40
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$88	89	+89	No	+$0	05-20 02:57
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$88	89	+89	No	+$0	05-25 08:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-11 10:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-08 07:46
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-26 07:04
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	04-30 02:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	05-14 03:54
bitcoin above 74k on february 11	1	$88	88	+88	No	+$0	02-11 03:44
bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	1	$87	87	+87	Yes	+$0	06-07 08:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$86	87	+87	No	+$0	05-30 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	06-14 09:50
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$71	71	+71	Yes	+$0	01-14 06:19
ethereum above 3000 on january 14	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	01-14 03:41
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	1	$15	16	+16	No	+$1	01-21 06:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$14	15	+15	No	+$0	07-08 09:42
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	1	$13	14	+14	No	+$0	09-06 04:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$12	12	+12	No	+$0	08-07 11:25
Will Solana reach $200 in October?	1	$11	11	+11	open	—	10-05 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 13:44:53	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99cd7a…
10-05 13:34:25	Will Cyprus vs. Latvia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x4b319b…
09-06 04:12:54	Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xa637f2…
09-06 04:09:52	will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	No	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd814ea…
08-07 11:25:07	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xce61c1…
08-07 11:23:39	Will Francesca Hong win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by at least 30%?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x796075…
07-08 09:42:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x09305e…
06-14 09:50:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 14?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2a49f7…
06-14 09:38:36	bitcoin above 58k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	1,080	0¢	$2	0x74d221…
06-07 08:13:48	bitcoin above 56k on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x84c22f…
05-30 02:31:05	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0xbe52b9…
05-30 02:12:41	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,050	0¢	$2	0xb24cd0…
05-25 08:58:49	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x90ae6a…
05-20 02:57:25	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$88	0x82d0ae…
05-14 03:54:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xa863c4…
05-11 10:33:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x60596e…
05-08 07:46:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x6f3d57…
04-30 02:20:38	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x18374c…
04-26 07:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x76b494…
04-21 06:27:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0xb2fa9b…
04-21 06:22:38	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	No	BUY	755	0¢	$2	0xfb2277…
04-15 09:28:36	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$89	0x970f5b…
04-07 08:20:33	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 160 179	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x1996c5…
03-31 07:21:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x448355…
03-26 06:27:15	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 240plus	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x478be0…
03-18 09:58:17	military action against iran ends on march 19 2026	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2a896d…
03-09 08:34:59	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 9	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xe1abef…
03-04 08:40:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on march 4	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x16dea3…
03-04 08:37:37	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 360 379	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x66769d…
03-01 06:18:13	bitcoin above 74k on march 1	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x34e362…
03-01 06:13:13	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 215 239	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x3bb028…
02-11 03:45:25	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc013a7…
02-11 03:45:07	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x381cca…
02-11 03:44:47	bitcoin above 64k on february 11	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x171fb1…
02-11 03:44:31	bitcoin above 74k on february 11	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x14381e…
02-01 03:38:18	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 540 559	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0xa5cf72…
01-21 06:30:34	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 380 399	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x8e3df3…
01-14 06:19:14	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x82b4a1…
01-14 03:56:50	bitcoin above 102k on january 14	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$1	0xcf911f…
01-14 03:41:54	ethereum above 3000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd9f551…
01-08 03:28:59	bitcoin above 86k on january 8	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x3d13b9…
01-02 08:22:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on january 3	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xae0183…
01-02 08:01:55	bitcoin above 84k on january 2	No	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0xea3e59…