Realized P&L
+$61
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$1000
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$300
8 positions
First seen
2026-04-20
last 06-22 19:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
49% 100% +$61
Other
43%
Crypto
6%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -88 $-72 90¢ $-79 $-7 06-22 18:58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No -61 $-52 92¢ $-56 $-4 06-22 18:58
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -70 $-51 78¢ $-55 $-4 06-22 18:59
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -38 $-35 94¢ $-36 $-1 06-22 19:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -28 $-26 96¢ $-27 $-0 06-22 19:01
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -27 $-26 95¢ $-26 $-0 06-22 19:02
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? No -13 $-11 88¢ $-11 +$0 06-22 18:56
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No -15 $-8 65¢ $-10 $-2 06-22 18:56