Realized P&L
+$23
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
80.0%
Resolved
218
Trades
364
lifetime
Volume
$1.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$274
19 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 11-13 02:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
88% 84% +$11
Politics
9% 43% $0
Tech
2% 100% +$12
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 10-11 15:46
Will AI solve 4 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +40 $40 100¢ $40 +$0 10-04 10:38
Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +40 $39 99¢ $40 +$0 10-04 10:45
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 -$1 10-04 10:45
Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026? No +40 $32 93¢ $37 +$5 10-04 10:38
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +35 $26 65¢ $23 -$3 11-06 18:50
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +35 $9 34¢ $12 +$3 11-09 08:35
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +10 $4 65¢ $6 +$2 10-30 03:43
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +40 $10 13¢ $5 -$4 10-04 10:45
Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-11 02:18
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-09 12:28
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 10-05 16:18
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 10-05 16:18
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%? No +5 $3 85¢ $4 +$1 11-04 23:09
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 11-12 10:24
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +5 $3 35¢ $2 -$2 10-03 02:52
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No +5 $2 32¢ $2 $0 11-13 02:25
Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%? No +5 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 11-03 13:34
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +5 $1 14¢ $1 -$1 10-05 16:18