Realized P&L
+$524
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
70.1%
Resolved
99
Trades
448
lifetime
Volume
$8.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$65
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-27
last 10-11 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 62 days
Categories
Politics
69% 53% +$786
Other
26% 51% +$65
Sports
4% 0% -$273
Crypto
1% 0% -$55
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +300 $76 15¢ $43 -$33 08-16 00:10
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +12 $8 94¢ $11 +$3 05-21 05:38
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? Yes -51 -$38 20¢ $-10 +$28 05-15 23:02
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +200 $10 0¢ $0 -$10 06-19 03:48
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +0 -$22 14¢ $0 +$22 08-13 00:40