Grave-Era — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$192

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.1%

Resolved

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$13.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-11 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 38% $-275

Other

31% — —

Politics

17% — —

Sports

2% 67% +$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$1.1K	645	645	+0	open	—	03-08 22:17
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$925	669	669	+0	open	—	03-04 20:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$560	455	455	+0	open	—	03-11 14:11
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	1	$553	851	0	+851	open	—	03-11 14:12
lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	2	$541	340	340	+0	open	—	03-07 22:03
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$492	873	873	+0	open	—	03-30 23:18
eth updown 15m 1772929800	5	$490	360	356	+4	open	—	03-08 00:42
btc updown 15m 1772739900	4	$390	288	284	+4	open	—	03-05 19:59
ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	2	$390	247	247	+0	open	—	03-10 21:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$383	383	383	+0	open	—	03-06 23:56
eth updown 15m 1772928900	2	$362	199	198	+1	open	—	03-08 00:28
btc updown 15m 1772739000	2	$362	247	244	+4	open	—	03-05 19:44
will there be 8 10 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	5	$347	381	381	+0	open	—	01-26 00:18
will there be 10 12 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	5	$303	267	267	+0	open	—	01-26 10:39
btc updown 15m 1772731800	5	$291	264	261	+3	open	—	03-05 17:44
btc updown 15m 1772818200	2	$254	301	296	+5	open	—	03-06 17:34
btc updown 15m 1772811000	3	$245	175	172	+3	open	—	03-06 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	3	$234	383	233	+150	Down	$-124	05-11 02:13
btc updown 5m 1772751300	4	$234	329	327	+1	open	—	03-05 23:00
will iran strike israel on march 4	2	$212	293	293	+0	open	—	03-04 20:08
btc updown 15m 1772807400	2	$204	190	187	+3	open	—	03-06 14:32
btc updown 5m 1773694500	2	$180	117	115	+2	open	—	03-16 20:59
btc updown 15m 1773010800	2	$179	122	121	+2	open	—	03-08 23:15
btc updown 15m 1772674200	6	$162	220	168	+52	open	—	03-05 01:42
will trump say davos or world economic forum during iowa speech 229 323	2	$162	114	114	+0	open	—	01-25 12:44
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$156	138	138	+0	open	—	03-16 20:53
Fight to Go the Distance?	2	$156	121	121	+0	Yes	+$86	05-10 05:00
btc updown 15m 1772805600	4	$145	187	184	+3	open	—	03-06 14:06
btc updown 15m 1772839800	6	$143	238	236	+2	open	—	03-06 23:43
btc updown 15m 1772749800	6	$123	313	311	+2	open	—	03-05 22:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 02:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	150	53¢	$79	0xdf8e84…
05-11 02:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	233	24¢	$55	0x120c9c…
05-11 02:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0xb7a478…
05-11 02:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x9dca1b…
05-11 02:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x5ded08…
05-11 02:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0x9fe886…
05-11 02:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x8d0db4…
05-11 01:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xe88bb2…
05-11 01:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	54	16¢	$9	0x8f4fb9…
05-11 01:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x59e203…
05-11 01:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x126573…
05-11 01:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x918e88…
05-11 01:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	35	19¢	$7	0x1247d6…
05-11 01:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xd786b7…
05-11 01:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36	27¢	$10	0x1e4c6a…
05-11 01:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x025d3a…
05-11 01:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2a79d5…
05-10 05:00:41	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xb7fa11…
05-10 05:00:38	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xee6acb…
05-08 12:58:25	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x17df9d…
05-08 12:57:10	Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	45	13¢	$6	0x0ceb77…
05-08 12:56:33	Fight to Go the Distance?	Yes	BUY	121	29¢	$35	0x3ce854…
03-30 23:24:59	btc updown 5m 1774913100	Down	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x0a9a74…
03-30 23:24:43	btc updown 5m 1774912800	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$24	0x0ba3c1…
03-30 23:19:53	btc updown 5m 1774912800	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0x7c4a88…
03-30 23:18:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	873	2¢	$14	0x2a15a9…
03-16 21:03:05	btc updown 5m 1773694800	Down	BUY	146	78¢	$114	0xc5382e…
03-16 20:59:33	btc updown 5m 1773694500	Up	SELL	115	99¢	$114	0x91c1b8…
03-16 20:56:51	btc updown 5m 1773694500	Up	BUY	117	57¢	$66	0xa22fcb…
03-16 20:53:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	138	48¢	$66	0xf9d315…
03-11 14:12:29	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	Yes	BUY	851	65¢	$553	0xdae2d3…
03-11 14:11:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	455	68¢	$310	0x23ae10…
03-10 21:06:35	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	Yes	SELL	247	99¢	$244	0xcc502c…
03-10 17:14:35	ucl atm1 tot 2026 03 10 atm1	Yes	BUY	247	59¢	$146	0x411176…
03-09 13:40:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	455	55¢	$250	0xaf8ad8…
03-09 00:02:51	btc updown 15m 1773014400	Down	SELL	99	35¢	$35	0xadf2ab…
03-09 00:00:23	btc updown 15m 1773014400	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x37a46e…
03-08 23:57:23	bitcoin up or down march 8 7pm et	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x4c233e…
03-08 23:50:25	bitcoin up or down march 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa7cb5b…
03-08 23:44:45	bitcoin up or down march 8 7pm et	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf4b974…
03-08 23:15:15	btc updown 15m 1773010800	Up	SELL	121	99¢	$119	0x2467a7…
03-08 23:10:05	btc updown 15m 1773010800	Up	BUY	122	49¢	$60	0xe33733…
03-08 23:08:17	btc updown 5m 1773011100	Up	SELL	153	18¢	$27	0xee142f…
03-08 23:06:45	btc updown 5m 1773011100	Up	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0xb07b3c…
03-08 22:51:13	btc updown 15m 1773009900	Down	SELL	46	29¢	$13	0x92ff37…
03-08 22:49:17	btc updown 15m 1773009900	Down	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0xe8f7e2…
03-08 22:30:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	338	70¢	$236	0xa627cb…
03-08 22:30:15	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0x115489…
03-08 22:17:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	645	98¢	$630	0xbef3da…
03-08 01:15:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x45215f…
03-08 01:14:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	138	65¢	$90	0x2fd776…
03-08 01:07:27	btc updown 15m 1772931600	Down	SELL	48	16¢	$8	0x748d49…
03-08 01:06:09	btc updown 15m 1772931600	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x200aa2…
03-08 01:04:13	eth updown 15m 1772931600	Up	SELL	106	33¢	$35	0x5bb997…
03-08 01:02:45	eth updown 15m 1772931600	Up	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xb7de1f…
03-08 01:00:11	eth updown 15m 1772930700	Down	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x034ba3…
03-08 00:59:13	eth updown 15m 1772930700	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0xe495b6…
03-08 00:42:01	eth updown 15m 1772929800	Down	SELL	265	77¢	$203	0x076fc2…
03-08 00:38:21	eth updown 15m 1772929800	Down	BUY	268	71¢	$191	0x0c11cd…
03-08 00:35:25	eth updown 15m 1772929800	Down	SELL	91	51¢	$46	0x3611ca…
03-08 00:32:17	eth updown 15m 1772929800	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa95ac0…
03-08 00:31:17	eth updown 15m 1772929800	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0x553c85…
03-08 00:28:39	eth updown 15m 1772928900	Down	SELL	198	99¢	$196	0xdb6523…
03-08 00:24:09	eth updown 15m 1772928900	Down	BUY	199	84¢	$167	0xdd3736…
03-08 00:09:29	eth updown 15m 1772928000	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xebbb96…
03-08 00:04:15	eth updown 15m 1772928000	Down	SELL	58	12¢	$7	0x1123c7…
03-08 00:03:25	eth updown 15m 1772928000	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x2fc389…
03-08 00:00:55	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	333	45¢	$150	0xce4b89…
03-07 23:57:59	bitcoin up or down march 7 6pm et	Down	SELL	74	15¢	$11	0x103adf…
03-07 23:51:51	bitcoin up or down march 7 6pm et	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x497911…
03-07 22:03:27	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	SELL	340	100¢	$340	0x2abe52…
03-07 00:30:37	lal bil bar 2026 03 08 bar	Yes	BUY	340	59¢	$201	0x747072…
03-07 00:21:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0xc1ea83…
03-06 23:56:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	383	39¢	$150	0x435565…
03-06 23:45:03	btc updown 15m 1772840700	Down	SELL	70	47¢	$33	0x1febfe…
03-06 23:43:45	btc updown 15m 1772840700	Down	BUY	72	49¢	$35	0xcc07cf…
03-06 23:43:07	btc updown 15m 1772839800	Down	SELL	74	99¢	$74	0x65c428…
03-06 23:42:31	btc updown 15m 1772839800	Up	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xf45769…
03-06 23:41:05	btc updown 15m 1772839800	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xdf0167…
03-06 23:38:33	btc updown 15m 1772839800	Up	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x80e45e…
03-06 23:36:29	btc updown 15m 1772839800	Up	BUY	63	24¢	$15	0xa4452a…
03-06 23:30:17	btc updown 15m 1772839800	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xfeaa5e…
03-06 23:29:15	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Up	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x1b57d6…
03-06 23:28:45	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf03816…
03-06 23:28:29	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Up	SELL	59	23¢	$13	0xd0e07e…
03-06 23:26:47	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x7973fb…
03-06 23:26:27	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Up	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xc10f68…
03-06 23:24:53	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Down	SELL	35	60¢	$21	0xb36e06…
03-06 23:17:31	btc updown 15m 1772838900	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xd1755a…
03-06 21:38:47	btc updown 15m 1772832600	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x2661e4…
03-06 17:34:43	btc updown 15m 1772818200	Up	SELL	296	35¢	$104	0x12504a…
03-06 17:31:57	btc updown 15m 1772818200	Up	BUY	301	50¢	$150	0xb5794b…
03-06 17:27:23	btc updown 15m 1772817300	Up	SELL	180	2¢	$4	0x5e6e08…
03-06 17:26:37	btc updown 15m 1772817300	Up	BUY	102	10¢	$10	0x978b7b…
03-06 17:21:15	btc updown 15m 1772817300	Up	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xb2db84…
03-06 16:11:53	btc updown 15m 1772812800	Down	SELL	50	95¢	$47	0x5cf5ae…
03-06 16:09:45	btc updown 15m 1772812800	Down	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x2a8af6…
03-06 16:05:51	btc updown 15m 1772812800	Down	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x19a134…
03-06 15:59:21	bitcoin up or down march 6 10am et	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xc029ca…
03-06 15:44:33	btc updown 15m 1772811000	Down	SELL	172	99¢	$170	0x97a6a6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	64	$40.2K	1,782	05-11 02:14
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	63	$7.60K	1,601	05-11 02:14
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	61	$25.2K	5,120	03-16 21:04
(anonymous) 0x88f4…d4db	61	$7.45K	731	05-11 02:14
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	60	$338.9K	4,795	03-30 23:31
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	60	$71.0K	6,643	04-03 14:56
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	60	$62.3K	2,736	03-30 23:28
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	60	$27.9K	1,662	03-30 23:27