Understated-Delivery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$594

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 08-02 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

67% 60% -$30

Sports

16% 25% -$11

Politics

15% 67% +$1

Crypto

2% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	3	$68	84	27	+57	No	-$20	08-02 15:05
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$63	43	43	+0	Argentina	+$23	07-15 21:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	4	$63	51	51	+0	Yes	+$3	06-09 20:43
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	2	$53	95	95	+0	Yes	+$13	07-10 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	2	$52	36	36	+0	No	+$2	08-02 11:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?	4	$40	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-02 15:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?	4	$32	29	29	+0	Yes	+$3	08-01 21:18
Will Spain win the World Cup?	2	$29	48	24	+23	Yes	-$11	07-19 21:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 1?	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	08-01 21:17
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-01 04:57
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 1?	2	$20	34	34	+0	No	+$0	08-01 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?	1	$20	33	0	+33	Yes	-$20	08-01 13:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?	2	$20	18	18	+0	Yes	$0	08-01 10:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	05-18 04:42
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	2	$13	54	54	+0	No	-$2	05-18 04:39
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	618	618	+0	No	-$1	05-18 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 1?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	08-01 21:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	-$10	08-01 10:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-18 04:39
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	1	$8	16	0	+16	New York Mets	-$8	05-17 20:35
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	No	-$5	05-17 20:41
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	1	$5	1,667	0	+1,667	No	-$5	05-17 20:37
Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	1	$5	19	0	+19	Yes	-$5	07-10 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 15:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x98d6a2…
08-02 15:02:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0x8c9df2…
08-02 13:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xf9f5c4…
08-02 13:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	SELL	27	89¢	$24	0x688579…
08-02 11:55:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x383203…
08-02 11:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?	Yes	SELL	16	52¢	$8	0x5fbc5d…
08-02 11:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 2?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x8fac6b…
08-02 11:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	No	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0xf8ebb9…
08-02 10:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C or below on August 2?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xaaac9f…
08-01 21:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 1?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc61b7…
08-01 21:18:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x176297…
08-01 21:17:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8b2de7…
08-01 13:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xac4de6…
08-01 13:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb34b34…
08-01 10:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9b69f6…
08-01 10:11:02	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 1?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x53f669…
08-01 10:09:56	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x8a49d8…
08-01 10:07:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xfe86de…
08-01 10:06:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	23	51¢	$12	0x8daee1…
08-01 10:04:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	SELL	34	30¢	$10	0x6490e8…
08-01 07:03:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x8618c2…
08-01 07:02:03	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x403164…
08-01 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xb37b2a…
07-19 21:40:54	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	SELL	24	37¢	$9	0xdf3c2a…
07-15 21:28:07	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x6bb2bf…
07-15 21:18:25	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xe5e409…
07-15 18:20:08	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x398200…
07-10 18:56:31	Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe5b747…
07-10 04:36:59	Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	SELL	95	35¢	$33	0xac782c…
07-03 12:46:44	Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x40a278…
06-09 20:43:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	32	66¢	$21	0x5b21df…
06-01 04:57:45	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3e106f…
05-20 04:46:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x185509…
05-19 20:36:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	61¢	$11	0xaf2c76…
05-19 07:29:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4d3161…
05-18 21:15:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf680eb…
05-18 04:42:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xa683e0…
05-18 04:39:46	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	618	1¢	$5	0xc32ecb…
05-18 04:39:39	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	SELL	54	11¢	$6	0x476980…
05-18 04:39:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x101d85…
05-17 20:45:40	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	618	1¢	$6	0x06d8e6…
05-17 20:45:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9b2179…
05-17 20:41:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xef6a45…
05-17 20:37:45	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x6cb0ac…
05-17 20:35:04	New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	New York Yankees	BUY	16	53¢	$8	0x5fe06a…
05-17 18:38:58	Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?	Yes	BUY	54	14¢	$7	0x795d2a…