Grounded-Excursion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

3,614

Trades

4,714

lifetime

Volume

$30.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-27 15:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 254 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 71% +$523

Other

13% 35% -$359

Politics

0% 30% -$6

Sports

0% 35% -$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 04:00 UTC	10	$539	352	347	+5	Down	+$125	01-07 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 01:15 UTC	3	$467	576	0	+576	Down	+$108	01-29 01:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 18:15 UTC	2	$338	378	0	+378	Down	+$40	01-29 18:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 03:45 UTC	17	$332	226	225	+1	Down	+$87	01-07 03:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 19:30 UTC	5	$268	562	0	+562	Up	-$6	01-29 19:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 19:45 UTC	1	$249	290	0	+290	Up	+$41	01-28 19:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 14:00 UTC	1	$249	307	0	+307	Down	+$58	01-29 14:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 20:30 UTC	3	$249	265	0	+265	Down	+$16	01-28 20:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 12:30 UTC	14	$249	289	0	+289	Up	+$40	01-29 12:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 00:00 UTC	4	$249	287	0	+287	Down	-$249	01-30 00:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 11:00 UTC	6	$249	259	0	+259	Down	+$11	01-29 11:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 20:15 UTC	1	$246	280	0	+280	Up	+$34	01-29 20:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 17:30 UTC	6	$222	277	0	+277	Up	-$222	01-28 17:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 09:45 UTC	2	$200	251	0	+251	Down	+$51	01-24 09:48
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:30 UTC	9	$176	226	0	+226	Down	-$176	01-23 18:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:15 UTC	1	$158	198	0	+198	Up	+$40	01-23 18:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 22:15 UTC	4	$151	169	0	+169	Down	+$17	01-27 22:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 21:30 UTC	4	$151	172	0	+172	Down	+$22	01-27 21:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:15 UTC	4	$142	173	0	+173	Up	+$31	01-23 17:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$140	85	85	+0	Yes	+$30	05-18 19:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 00:00 UTC	1	$139	163	0	+163	Down	+$24	01-28 00:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 15:45 UTC	1	$135	149	0	+149	Up	+$13	01-23 15:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 14:30 UTC	1	$127	141	0	+141	Down	+$14	01-23 14:33
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:00 UTC	3	$125	139	0	+139	Up	+$14	01-28 06:03
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 11:15 UTC	1	$125	137	0	+137	Down	+$12	01-29 11:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 03:15 UTC	14	$124	0	128	-128	Up	-$4	01-07 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 07:15 UTC	1	$123	154	0	+154	Down	+$31	01-24 07:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-24 07:15 UTC	3	$123	150	0	+150	Down	+$27	01-24 07:18
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 09:00 UTC	4	$122	156	0	+156	Down	+$34	01-27 09:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 23:15 UTC	2	$117	73	72	+1	Up	+$20	01-12 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x33b732…
10-27 14:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x3c9e69…
10-27 13:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xa11d4c…
10-27 13:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xf4807f…
10-27 13:37:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x56cac4…
10-27 13:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x3c9a97…
10-27 07:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7d402d…
10-27 00:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xc5b988…
10-26 17:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xdde93f…
10-26 17:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x3bc0ee…
10-26 16:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x9bcd2d…
10-26 16:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7ffd96…
10-26 15:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc28e35…
10-26 15:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x419603…
10-26 15:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x927db1…
10-26 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5da224…
10-26 15:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0xb414df…
10-26 14:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x82cee5…
10-26 14:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xc71f70…
10-26 14:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xcd4fe1…
10-26 14:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x07768a…
10-26 14:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x25dbbc…
10-26 13:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x1fc67b…
10-26 13:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xeb4b83…
10-26 13:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x0bf9d6…
10-26 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x797648…
10-26 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x7a0855…
10-26 13:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x21bfa7…
10-26 08:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd99f6b…
10-26 04:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xb8e668…
10-26 03:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x3de80c…
10-26 03:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x4e8719…
10-26 02:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x668a23…
10-26 02:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0xb67c5a…
10-26 01:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xda58b1…
10-26 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa5e839…
10-26 00:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x5209ef…
10-25 23:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x89f5e6…
10-25 23:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe7dd0f…
10-25 23:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x099644…
10-24 16:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x5c8fd1…
10-24 16:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x4d1cf3…
10-24 16:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xedc85d…
10-24 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xa1c988…
10-24 14:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xbcf83d…
10-24 01:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xfb12a5…
10-23 14:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4977eb…
10-23 12:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xcef421…
10-23 11:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xe7aac2…
10-22 21:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7bbb64…
10-22 18:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7121f8…
10-22 14:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x9b75f0…
10-22 13:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x214182…
10-22 12:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x02852b…
10-21 15:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xaf81c5…
10-21 15:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4a1041…
10-21 14:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xa22380…
10-21 09:48:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x2a12ed…
10-21 09:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x518caa…
10-21 08:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa743a0…
10-20 23:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x171f44…
10-20 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xea304f…
10-20 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xfed4a4…
10-20 22:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x94e92d…
10-20 22:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x47e4e9…
10-20 22:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x37fcf2…
10-20 22:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x876989…
10-20 22:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x80bcf5…
10-20 22:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc1e693…
10-20 22:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x250846…
10-20 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xce9758…
10-20 22:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x31a231…
10-20 22:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x0cbcb5…
10-20 22:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x09ddd4…
10-20 22:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe8327c…
10-20 22:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x71d95c…
10-20 21:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9619ed…
10-20 21:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7174e9…
10-20 21:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb98168…
10-20 21:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe62b39…
10-20 21:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7556bc…
10-20 21:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6b7dd4…
10-20 16:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc38d21…
10-20 15:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x514e04…
10-20 15:16:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x07e468…
10-20 15:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x71732c…
10-20 14:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x30b3b2…
10-20 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x45ce77…
10-20 12:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x924a41…
10-19 17:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x9b85a8…
10-19 15:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1392bb…
10-19 14:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe144ae…
10-19 14:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9facc2…
10-19 08:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x15e39b…
10-19 03:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x171105…
10-19 03:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x881296…
10-18 14:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7037b2…
10-18 02:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x382b13…
10-17 22:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0439d8…
10-17 21:41:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xad5f03…