Gummy-Perch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

47.1%

Resolved

1,382

Trades

4,352

lifetime

Volume

$7.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-18 15:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Other

49% 45% +$43

Crypto

27% 48% -$81

Sports

20% 43% -$79

Politics

3% 29% -$14

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 50% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes		+0	-$1	84¢	$0	+$1	09-24 20:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba okc det 2026 02 25	21	$66	42	42	+0	Pistons	$0	02-25 22:24
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$58	3,377	0	+3,377	No	-$58	05-14 06:10
bitcoin up or down february 28 10pm et	23	$57	52	52	+0	Down	-$1	03-01 03:53
lol wb tes 2026 03 02	22	$52	43	43	+0	Weibo Gaming	+$0	03-02 12:55
bitcoin up or down march 2 12am et	16	$42	33	33	+0	Down	$0	03-02 05:55
atp kopriva sakamot 2026 03 02	17	$42	41	41	+0	Vit Kopriva	-$1	03-03 02:28
nba min den 2026 03 01	14	$41	36	36	+0	Timberwolves	+$3	03-01 22:19
cs2 nip m80 2026 03 02	14	$38	32	32	+0	M80	+$0	03-02 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 06:45 UTC	15	$38	35	35	+0	Down	-$2	03-01 06:59
nba mil chi 2026 03 01	14	$37	35	35	+0	Bulls	$0	03-01 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 03:30 UTC	11	$35	31	31	+0	Up	+$1	03-01 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-02 07:45 UTC	13	$34	35	35	+0	Up	-$2	03-02 07:56
nba hou mia 2026 02 28	19	$32	32	28	+4	Heat	-$2	02-28 22:21
nba nop sac 2026 03 05	14	$32	39	35	+4	Pelicans	+$2	03-06 04:35
nba den uta 2026 03 02	9	$32	37	37	+0	Nuggets	-$4	03-03 04:34
lol wb tes 2026 03 02 game3	12	$30	27	27	+0	Weibo Gaming	-$2	03-02 11:32
nba det orl 2026 03 01	11	$28	25	25	+0	Pistons	-$1	03-02 00:53
cs2 nrg mnte 2026 03 02	10	$27	22	22	+0	Monte	$0	03-02 12:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-24 10:45 UTC	4	$26	35	0	+35	Up	-$13	02-24 10:56
atp shelton opelka 2026 03 05	16	$26	18	18	+0	Ben Shelton	+$2	03-06 23:12
nba bos den 2026 02 25	8	$25	21	26	-5	Nuggets	-$2	02-26 05:04
wta bucsa frech 2026 03 01	9	$23	22	18	+4	Cristina Bucsa	+$1	03-02 01:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 06:15 UTC	8	$22	17	17	+0	Down	$0	03-01 06:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 21:45 UTC	11	$22	22	22	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 21:55
cs2 pssnua fut 2026 03 02	10	$22	18	18	+0	FUT Esports	+$0	03-02 19:21
nhl van chi 2026 03 06	18	$22	22	22	+0	Canucks	-$2	03-07 04:11
atp burruch echargu 2026 03 02	8	$22	29	29	+0	Roman Andres Burruchaga	+$0	03-03 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 04:30 UTC	7	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	03-01 04:40
cs2 g2 lgc 2026 03 02	8	$21	21	21	+0	Legacy	-$1	03-02 21:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-01 22:15 UTC	8	$21	20	20	+0	Down	+$1	03-01 22:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 15:34:05	Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?	No	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x11b25c…
10-18 15:33:47	Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?	No	SELL	6	72¢	$5	0x3b6581…
10-18 15:33:26	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x8892a6…
10-13 03:59:18	will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xeefdf2…
10-13 03:23:48	will trump say spoiler during his midterm rally in alaska october 13	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x4f77af…
10-12 23:15:12	Will Trump say "Third Term" this week?	Yes	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x47827d…
10-12 22:51:12	Will Trump say "Third Term" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4857c3…
10-12 08:33:25	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xbdabc9…
10-12 07:45:35	Will Trump say "Aluminum" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xd98989…
10-12 05:32:47	Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x264b54…
10-12 02:01:42	Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7076fa…
10-12 01:53:53	Will Trump say "Swim" or "Swimming" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf4a515…
10-12 01:46:14	Will "Prize" be in the headlines this week?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x2145b3…
10-10 20:25:15	Will Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	SELL	0	15¢	$0	0xecb8af…
10-10 20:24:33	Will Trump say "Job" 17+ times during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7b3ff7…
10-10 19:49:31	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	SELL	15	0¢	$0	0x35d5ce…
10-10 19:47:33	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Tennessee not air?	Yes	BUY	136	1¢	$1	0x6c2e4f…
10-10 16:41:09	Will Trump say "Transgender" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	No	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0x545d77…
10-10 16:36:00	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Tennessee not air?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x2446c2…
10-10 09:06:10	Will Trump say "Clay" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd625f1…
10-10 00:53:23	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	SELL	1	19¢	$0	0x84d5d9…
10-10 00:51:02	Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x2ed48d…
10-10 00:25:46	Will Trump say "Korea" during his Midterm Rally in Tennessee?	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xf8aba1…
10-09 07:26:06	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xcc3df7…
10-09 00:01:51	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5eb7fc…
10-09 00:01:50	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xe8a864…
10-09 00:01:50	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xbb3a8f…
10-09 00:01:50	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa9ab5b…
10-09 00:01:50	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x98afcc…
10-09 00:01:50	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x284982…
10-09 00:01:48	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x85df9b…
10-08 23:56:12	Will Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa90b07…
10-07 23:55:40	Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in Texas?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x8857cf…
10-04 19:24:13	Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xb75a6e…
10-04 19:15:37	Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xaa97ad…
10-04 19:15:14	Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	52	3¢	$1	0xa0be56…
10-04 18:12:40	Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x979a61…
10-04 18:07:35	Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x749485…
10-04 00:15:20	will trump say hell 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	Yes	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xd1eab3…
10-04 00:12:34	will trump say hell 10 during his midterm rally in ohio october 3	Yes	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x62a96a…
10-04 00:00:16	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x9bee45…
10-03 23:45:02	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x817fcb…
10-03 22:34:16	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	8	26¢	$2	0xcf7efc…
10-01 19:11:30	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3af515…
09-28 02:31:41	Will “Stateside + Zara Larsson” by PinkPantheress win Song of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	Yes	BUY	48	0¢	$0	0xcf5998…
09-26 03:26:51	OpenAI resets Codex weekly limit on September 25?	No	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x2c5ee8…
09-25 00:24:06	will trump say great hall during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1c09a5…
09-25 00:19:00	will trump say million 5 times during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xd8727c…
09-24 23:58:23	will trump say tea during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0xe71c0b…
09-24 23:49:45	will trump say great hall during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xee301f…
09-24 23:26:15	will trump say million 5 times during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xf68c5a…
09-24 23:12:21	will trump say tea during his evening remarks with xi jinping	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x76b439…
09-24 20:46:15	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xef4154…
09-22 17:26:28	Will Trump say "Japan" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6c1af3…
09-22 17:26:21	Will Trump say "Japan" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x11dba5…
09-22 17:06:51	Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x46f102…
09-22 17:05:24	Will Trump say "Moon" or "NASA" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x15db2a…
09-16 23:49:36	Will Trump say "Furniture" during his remarks in North Carolina?	Yes	BUY	7	38¢	$2	0x9d333a…
09-16 11:38:18	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x40d640…
09-16 11:23:06	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0xb38680…
09-16 09:11:40	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0x055d68…
09-16 05:54:25	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x636d7e…
09-16 05:39:10	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xc38a81…
09-16 04:28:22	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x4f30b5…
09-14 05:23:39	Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x72c0e2…
09-13 22:13:30	Will Warsh say "Good Day" during September Press Conference?	No	BUY	28	9¢	$2	0x948cef…
09-11 02:37:28	Will Trump say "Ass" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	6	3¢	$0	0x33275a…
09-05 03:33:21	Will Ari Fleischer be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	77	0¢	$0	0x17705d…
09-05 02:27:27	Will Kush Desai be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$0	0xb6de98…
09-04 20:43:33	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x5cbee4…
09-04 20:40:34	Will Katie Zacharia be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	312	1¢	$2	0x34ada5…
09-04 20:28:45	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1500?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xde48e1…
09-04 18:39:57	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf00d71…
09-04 18:39:57	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcbe84f…
09-04 17:13:12	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x503730…
09-04 16:53:25	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x7c2fc0…
09-04 14:53:46	Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xe18022…
09-03 00:49:25	will donald trump publicly insult mark carney by september 30 2026	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2a61a6…
09-03 00:15:28	Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x2a3807…
09-03 00:13:13	Will Trump say "Peanut" this week?	Yes	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x058765…
09-03 00:12:33	Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x2b4793…
09-02 23:14:34	will donald trump publicly insult abdul el sayed by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x32a858…
09-02 20:42:40	Will Trump praise Gianni Infantino in September?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa2f3d2…
09-02 15:38:51	will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	No	BUY	11	23¢	$2	0xb52d9d…
09-02 15:18:09	will openais astra model be released by september 2 2026	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x31dfdc…
09-02 15:14:52	will openais astra model be released by september 2 2026	Yes	BUY	44	6¢	$2	0x6fcb1c…
09-02 00:14:15	Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xc492cb…
09-01 13:48:42	Apple Maps renames Lake Ontario to Lake America by September 1?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$2	0x3806d9…
08-31 22:59:46	Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	11	7¢	$1	0xcc034a…
08-31 19:28:45	will trump say failing nation or failing country during healthcare affordability announcement	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x8d145b…
08-31 19:23:54	will trump say failing nation or failing country during healthcare affordability announcement	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xa42667…
08-31 16:16:55	will trump say neurocrine during healthcare affordability announcement	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x4147a6…
08-31 13:49:45	Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0xeb12d9…
08-30 14:50:19	Will Trump say "Little Rocket Man" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x0345bb…
08-30 06:03:13	Will Trump say "Hunter" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x44c649…
08-30 00:02:06	Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x532725…
08-29 18:44:52	Will Trump say "Through The Roof" this week?	Yes	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x0dfbe2…
08-29 16:04:54	Next OpenAI GPT Image Model (2.1+) released by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc97823…
08-28 23:28:28	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x3e129f…
08-28 21:34:12	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x412c56…