Bland-Makeup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.8%

Resolved

159

Trades

1,186

lifetime

Volume

$8.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 05-06 09:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 28% -$229

Other

32% 29% -$82

Politics

27% 59% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-06).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	50	$2.5K	11,646	10,814	+832	No	+$13	03-23 18:20
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$457	527	527	+0	Yes	-$122	03-08 09:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	4	$359	5,457	5,457	+0	Yes	-$31	03-09 04:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:30 UTC	2	$327	233	229	+3	Down	+$130	02-19 18:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$209	237	237	+0	Yes	+$29	02-18 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$158	139	139	+0	Down	+$118	05-01 09:45
Military action against Iran ends on April 26, 2026?	174	$145	5,342	5,379	-37	No	+$84	04-10 10:31
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?	32	$135	1,808	2,260	-452	No	+$88	04-12 11:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:50 UTC	2	$128	110	109	+1	Up	+$67	02-19 18:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 17:55 UTC	3	$127	632	478	+155	Up	+$7	02-19 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$126	122	122	+0	Down	+$6	05-01 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$122	146	72	+74	Up	+$4	05-01 17:30
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	11	$116	9,184	184	+9,000	No	-$111	04-22 07:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	5	$109	5,076	2,576	+2,500	Yes	-$60	03-09 14:54
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?	61	$103	2,552	2,423	+129	No	+$53	04-12 11:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$99	75	75	+0	Down	+$19	05-01 13:40
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$98	500	500	+0	No	-$72	04-09 22:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 18:15 UTC	4	$97	131	61	+70	Down	-$2	02-19 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$96	197	0	+197	Down	+$53	05-01 14:32
cs2 nem mouzn 2026 03 09	2	$96	88	86	+2	MOUZ NXT	-$4	03-09 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$93	89	64	+25	Up	-$3	05-01 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$93	103	70	+33	Down	-$7	05-01 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	3	$89	210	53	+157	Down	+$15	05-01 17:45
Military action against Iran ends on April 28, 2026?	90	$84	2,061	2,162	-101	No	+$34	04-11 16:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$83	90	74	+17	Down	+$27	05-01 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$76	50	50	+0	Down	+$23	05-01 14:20
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	3	$73	294	294	+0	No	+$6	03-06 07:40
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?	122	$73	3,305	2,377	+928	No	+$47	04-11 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	4	$72	293	47	+245	Up	+$11	05-01 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$66	108	36	+71	Down	+$6	05-01 10:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 09:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x790458…
05-06 09:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xfb97c6…
05-06 09:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	83	3¢	$2	0x03ec54…
05-06 09:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0xeec273…
05-06 09:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xfb816a…
05-06 09:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x13b149…
05-06 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xf6865e…
05-06 09:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa347cc…
05-06 09:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0xe57050…
05-06 09:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xdfcb24…
05-06 09:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xe86d1b…
05-06 09:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x4b7f3c…
05-06 09:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5ba921…
05-06 09:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xf8f40a…
05-06 09:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7a3396…
05-06 09:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xae546d…
05-06 09:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf42ceb…
05-03 21:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0xe47c81…
05-03 21:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x8f72be…
05-03 19:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x58d139…
05-03 19:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x884d7a…
05-03 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x344349…
05-02 13:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x403498…
05-02 13:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x98db0d…
05-02 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc0429…
05-02 13:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xeac608…
05-02 13:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xfef5f3…
05-01 20:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x2ee21a…
05-01 20:11:38	Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x26754f…
05-01 20:11:22	Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	14	12¢	$2	0x0122e9…
05-01 20:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	3¢	$2	0x460afd…
05-01 17:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	55	20¢	$11	0x722ed5…
05-01 17:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	79¢	$14	0x227ac8…
05-01 17:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xc171bc…
05-01 17:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	217	12¢	$26	0x657705…
05-01 17:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x30c7bf…
05-01 17:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x959b09…
05-01 17:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xf69246…
05-01 17:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0xb43104…
05-01 17:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	157	7¢	$11	0x29467f…
05-01 17:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	49¢	$26	0x5ec93d…
05-01 17:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	128	18¢	$23	0x2eb0f5…
05-01 17:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	53	62¢	$33	0x26b29f…
05-01 17:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	69	48¢	$33	0xc3ea02…
05-01 17:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	53	76¢	$40	0x6af922…
05-01 17:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xe814cc…
05-01 17:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	72	87¢	$63	0xc13e09…
05-01 17:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x96cd3d…
05-01 17:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0xa8246c…
05-01 17:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x2ee9ad…
05-01 17:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0xfe28ac…
05-01 17:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x2c7494…
05-01 17:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x662147…
05-01 17:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	54¢	$9	0xb29a4e…
05-01 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	36	58¢	$21	0xb72650…
05-01 17:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa13e8b…
05-01 17:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf18b25…
05-01 17:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xaad762…
05-01 17:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xbd875d…
05-01 17:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x00bec3…
05-01 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x9242c2…
05-01 16:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x871d29…
05-01 16:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x3e7e5a…
05-01 16:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x31ff08…
05-01 16:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0a005d…
05-01 14:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2,800	1¢	$28	0x0d6577…
05-01 14:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x9b4098…
05-01 14:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	47	55¢	$26	0x029c7c…
05-01 14:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	149	47¢	$70	0x734477…
05-01 14:26:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	111	22¢	$24	0xbbc865…
05-01 14:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0x118292…
05-01 14:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x602c7a…
05-01 14:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x07a3e8…
05-01 14:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	38	43¢	$17	0xea05a4…
05-01 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf9ddf3…
05-01 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xe8882a…
05-01 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xaa6e02…
05-01 14:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	47¢	$6	0x015e41…
05-01 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xfb7a04…
05-01 14:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	15¢	$7	0x785ce5…
05-01 14:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	46	84¢	$39	0xfa8292…
05-01 14:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	46	41¢	$19	0x84454a…
05-01 13:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	36¢	$12	0x0393b1…
05-01 13:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	70	61¢	$43	0xb77c18…
05-01 13:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x3e2160…
05-01 13:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0x39d74c…
05-01 13:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	52¢	$13	0xefbb4a…
05-01 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x1062ef…
05-01 13:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	57¢	$22	0x7cadff…
05-01 13:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	26	26¢	$7	0xaca147…
05-01 13:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x105010…
05-01 13:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xfd5a49…
05-01 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x817b95…
05-01 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x5036a1…
05-01 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	43¢	$12	0xe556e5…
05-01 13:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0x9fe4c1…
05-01 13:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xa45948…
05-01 13:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x91afec…
05-01 13:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x2f1fed…
05-01 13:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0xaeaa06…