Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
16
lifetime
Volume
$287
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$62
6 positions
First seen
2026-01-12
last 06-22 04:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
74%
Other
26%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -47 $-24 59¢ $-28 $-3 06-22 04:45
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +107 $15 12¢ $13 $-2 06-22 04:46
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +120 $12 10¢ $11 $-1 06-22 04:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -46 $-4 15¢ $-7 $-3 06-17 03:39
Kurds declare independence from Iran? Yes -523 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-17 06:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -204 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-17 06:56