Zany-Consensus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.72K

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

19,512

Trades

36,255

lifetime

Volume

$190.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 19:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 302 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 64% +$2,700

Other

1% 74% +$26

Sports

0% 0% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 419 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	—	+9	$5	2¢	$0	-$5	10-29 20:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 07:30 UTC	5	$266	321	0	+321	Up	+$55	01-23 07:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:05 UTC	9	$215	128	128	+0	Up	+$15	06-30 13:07
xrp up or down january 19 8am et	10	$211	155	155	+0	Up	+$99	01-19 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:40 UTC	4	$209	115	115	+0	Up	+$9	06-29 16:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:00 UTC	8	$208	120	120	+0	Up	+$8	06-30 13:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:15 UTC	15	$208	118	118	+0	Up	+$8	06-30 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 10:05 UTC	6	$208	114	114	+0	Down	+$8	06-30 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:15 UTC	3	$208	111	111	+0	Up	+$8	06-30 13:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:55 UTC	2	$208	110	110	+0	Up	+$8	06-29 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 04:55 UTC	2	$208	109	109	+0	Up	+$8	06-30 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 17:20 UTC	5	$207	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	06-30 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:35 UTC	6	$207	112	112	+0	Up	+$7	06-29 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:00 UTC	7	$207	108	108	+0	Up	+$7	06-30 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:25 UTC	10	$206	109	109	+0	Down	+$7	06-29 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:45 UTC	3	$205	110	110	+0	Down	+$5	06-30 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 13:50 UTC	12	$205	108	107	+0	Up	+$5	06-30 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 20:20 UTC	15	$205	112	112	+0	Up	+$5	06-29 20:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 16:30 UTC	2	$204	110	110	+0	Up	+$4	06-29 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$204	109	109	+0	Down	+$4	06-30 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 09:40 UTC	2	$204	105	105	+0	Up	+$4	06-30 09:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:00 UTC	6	$204	105	105	+0	Down	+$4	06-30 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:35 UTC	8	$204	112	112	+0	Up	+$6	06-30 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 12:10 UTC	2	$203	111	111	+0	Down	+$3	06-30 12:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 14:20 UTC	5	$203	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	06-30 14:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 21:15 UTC	7	$203	104	104	+0	Up	+$3	06-30 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$202	106	106	+0	Down	+$2	06-29 16:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 05:20 UTC	4	$202	106	106	+0	Up	+$2	06-30 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 18:05 UTC	4	$201	103	103	+0	Up	+$1	06-29 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 16:05 UTC	2	$201	102	102	+0	Up	+$1	06-30 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 19:50 UTC	2	$201	102	102	+0	Down	+$1	06-30 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 20:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xab9f8c…
10-29 20:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xd2f193…
10-29 20:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb1d30c…
10-29 20:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x261c91…
10-29 20:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x87de17…
10-29 20:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb87b52…
10-29 19:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x314168…
10-29 19:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x40d174…
10-29 19:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb656be…
10-29 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x081344…
10-29 17:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0f761c…
10-29 16:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9d62b4…
10-29 16:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xf57c87…
10-29 15:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x197657…
10-29 14:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd8b41d…
10-29 14:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x100d0d…
10-29 14:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1f59f3…
10-29 13:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xce2082…
10-29 12:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x7be013…
10-29 11:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xda06f3…
10-29 09:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe339d7…
10-29 07:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x596415…
10-29 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x201c47…
10-29 07:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x871786…
10-29 06:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc13ec5…
10-29 06:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xb4d284…
10-29 05:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x8d92f0…
10-29 05:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xb71c3e…
10-29 05:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	SELL	11	67¢	$7	0x3b0ba6…
10-29 05:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xb8b0ca…
10-29 05:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xa96006…
10-29 04:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xcd95c2…
10-29 04:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x606a9d…
10-29 04:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd2163a…
10-29 04:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9e0d58…
10-29 04:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xe525fc…
10-29 04:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x1d3753…
10-29 03:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x30e042…
10-29 03:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9aa918…
10-28 20:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xde532d…
10-28 19:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc82c65…
10-28 19:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x5e9358…
10-28 19:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xcb4697…
10-28 19:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xd5b829…
10-28 19:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	70¢	$5	0xa288d3…
10-28 19:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x57a40b…
10-28 19:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xdd4528…
10-28 19:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfa2e19…
10-28 19:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	12	51¢	$6	0x264140…
10-28 19:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x10ee1b…
10-28 19:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa85625…
10-28 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5b68d4…
10-28 18:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6698df…
10-28 18:53:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc2c6f0…
10-28 18:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x13b631…
10-28 18:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x21e3fd…
10-28 18:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x293a33…
10-28 18:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xdbb506…
10-28 18:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xbf1024…
10-28 18:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6022e4…
10-28 18:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa11db3…
10-28 18:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc66617…
10-28 18:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8ffd4e…
10-28 18:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	35	9¢	$3	0xf6bc4d…
10-28 18:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x944a7f…
10-28 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x57541d…
10-28 17:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x179541…
10-28 17:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xbd02f8…
10-28 17:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xfb615a…
10-28 17:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x436638…
10-28 17:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0c9264…
10-28 16:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x7c18f9…
10-28 16:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7dae4c…
10-28 16:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0x8c7f61…
10-28 16:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x351599…
10-28 16:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x98e966…
10-28 16:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	22	65¢	$15	0x523632…
10-28 16:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xc77f7b…
10-28 16:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xdd8b98…
10-28 16:47:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xecb559…
10-28 16:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xac80fb…
10-28 16:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x900cf4…
10-28 16:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x086a98…
10-28 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x89eca9…
10-28 16:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xbcda4f…
10-28 16:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7ec154…
10-28 16:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xb2e1fc…
10-28 16:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9b0f36…
10-28 16:33:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xf6b022…
10-28 16:33:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1ff689…
10-28 16:26:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbb25c8…
10-28 16:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa2f819…
10-28 16:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd32e9f…
10-28 16:21:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x407b2d…
10-28 16:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x088370…
10-28 16:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x5409d5…
10-28 16:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x986620…
10-28 15:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xd244ad…
10-28 15:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xde429c…
10-28 15:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x161430…