Precious-Shawl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29.2K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

12,498

Trades

126,645

lifetime

Volume

$1.31M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-27 04:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 186 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% +$29,247

Other

0% 44% -$18

Sports

0% 40% +$21

Politics

0% 0% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 731 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	—	+1	$1	99¢	$1	+$0	10-27 05:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:30 UTC	487	$2.3K	5,509	+5,509	Up	-$843	02-03 16:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:30 UTC	448	$2.2K	4,472	+4,472	Down	+$79	02-03 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 15:30 UTC	448	$2.2K	4,451	+4,451	Down	+$636	02-03 15:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 16:45 UTC	431	$2.1K	4,239	+4,239	Down	+$207	02-03 16:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:00 UTC	443	$2.1K	4,704	+4,704	Down	+$966	02-03 18:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 15:00 UTC	410	$2.0K	3,953	+3,953	Down	+$224	02-03 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:45 UTC	395	$1.9K	3,897	+3,897	Up	-$46	02-03 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 18:30 UTC	156	$1.9K	3,762	+3,762	Up	-$41	01-29 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:30 UTC	376	$1.8K	3,809	+3,809	Down	+$469	02-03 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:15 UTC	373	$1.8K	3,581	+3,581	Up	-$305	02-03 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 18:00 UTC	378	$1.8K	4,334	+4,334	Up	-$545	02-05 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 14:45 UTC	372	$1.8K	3,496	+3,496	Down	+$37	02-03 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 18:15 UTC	365	$1.8K	3,233	+3,233	Down	+$361	02-03 18:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:15 UTC	359	$1.8K	3,029	+3,029	Up	+$266	02-03 19:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 16:00 UTC	363	$1.8K	3,440	+3,440	Down	+$4	02-05 16:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:45 UTC	364	$1.8K	3,284	+3,284	Down	-$24	02-03 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 18:00 UTC	125	$1.7K	3,392	+3,392	Up	-$14	01-29 18:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 14:15 UTC	198	$1.7K	3,369	+3,369	Up	+$30	01-21 14:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:45 UTC	347	$1.6K	2,836	+2,836	Down	-$871	02-05 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 15:30 UTC	339	$1.6K	4,955	+4,955	Up	-$474	02-05 15:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 16:15 UTC	251	$1.6K	3,137	+3,137	Up	+$31	01-25 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 17:45 UTC	316	$1.6K	2,593	+2,593	Down	+$217	02-05 17:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:45 UTC	176	$1.6K	3,111	+3,111	Up	-$66	01-21 19:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 16:30 UTC	314	$1.5K	2,942	+2,942	Down	+$284	02-05 16:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 17:30 UTC	308	$1.5K	2,619	+2,619	Down	+$56	02-03 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 17:30 UTC	313	$1.5K	3,371	+3,371	Up	-$272	02-04 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 17:30 UTC	292	$1.5K	1,922	+1,922	Down	+$170	02-05 17:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 23:15 UTC	307	$1.5K	2,913	+2,913	Down	+$34	02-03 23:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 01:15 UTC	298	$1.5K	3,001	+3,001	Down	-$439	02-04 01:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:45 UTC	294	$1.5K	2,238	+2,238	Up	-$637	02-03 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 05:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x329300…
10-27 05:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4bb63c…
10-27 05:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x4842a4…
10-27 05:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x358326…
10-27 05:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb68443…
10-27 05:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x07f4db…
10-27 05:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfd5b64…
10-27 05:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x7ed65b…
10-27 05:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x77cec5…
10-27 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x062c4e…
10-27 05:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x5d7dec…
10-27 05:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x40ad7a…
10-27 04:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xb5e4f1…
10-27 04:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x76b27f…
10-27 04:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$2	0xaaaf22…
10-27 04:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x0e571a…
10-27 04:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x669a89…
10-27 04:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x7a2a96…
10-27 04:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xf25b21…
10-27 04:46:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x513af7…
10-27 04:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x87de55…
10-27 04:38:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x02791a…
10-27 04:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xfe46c2…
10-27 04:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0dab4b…
10-27 04:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x39fb55…
10-27 04:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5cc8aa…
10-27 04:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x4c7526…
10-27 04:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2c81d3…
10-27 04:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x65b67d…
10-27 04:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xe6ef0e…
10-27 04:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8832d8…
10-27 04:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xa9f79c…
10-27 03:48:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5060e5…
10-27 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x220452…
10-27 03:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x17686e…
10-27 03:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7cafb8…
10-27 03:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x07b14b…
10-27 03:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xc7f58c…
10-27 03:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x18982e…
10-27 03:21:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdcfb72…
10-27 03:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd8607f…
10-27 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x4b854c…
10-27 03:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9dd1d4…
10-27 03:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x958a80…
10-27 03:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdde5c9…
10-27 03:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xb381ac…
10-27 03:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x187a8b…
10-27 03:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xb56888…
10-27 03:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xef1a25…
10-27 03:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x069433…
10-27 03:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xbbce89…
10-27 02:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x448198…
10-27 02:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdf3018…
10-27 02:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfbfc11…
10-27 02:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe80a89…
10-27 02:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x96a8fd…
10-27 02:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0xc12e27…
10-27 02:18:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x6bee15…
10-27 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xc285d9…
10-27 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc285d9…
10-27 02:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xb9caa2…
10-27 02:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x07314c…
10-27 02:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe46fa6…
10-27 02:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf56216…
10-27 02:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$2	0x4a2030…
10-27 02:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x6e39de…
10-27 02:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe28777…
10-27 02:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc957bb…
10-27 01:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x0bda32…
10-27 01:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xcf2188…
10-27 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5919a1…
10-27 01:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3f0bc3…
10-27 01:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x520f72…
10-27 01:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x283f0f…
10-27 01:47:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x001cb4…
10-27 01:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x70d561…
10-27 01:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x91eccc…
10-27 01:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc1020c…
10-27 01:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfd3802…
10-27 01:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x08cb94…
10-27 01:33:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x53847e…
10-27 01:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x96954b…
10-27 01:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xa5c2e9…
10-27 01:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x551ea0…
10-27 01:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba2ff3…
10-27 01:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x144944…
10-27 01:17:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xdc4bfe…
10-27 01:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x308d66…
10-27 01:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x269510…
10-27 01:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x697c21…
10-27 01:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x8228db…
10-27 01:12:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10aab6…
10-27 01:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xc99aa4…
10-27 01:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x7e74fb…
10-27 01:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xf93c8d…
10-27 01:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x50f35c…
10-27 01:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xccc582…
10-27 01:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2d9778…
10-27 01:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	81¢	$0	0x089ccd…
10-27 00:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x9b7de8…