Droopy-Duty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$855

Unrealized P&L

-$9

Hit rate

39.2%

Resolved

677

Trades

21,098

lifetime

Volume

$13.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$102

22 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-27 12:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 36% -$815

Other

5% 56% -$17

Politics

4% 61% -$10

Sports

1% 27% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (22) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+18	$11	68¢	$12	+$2	10-26 20:54
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+27	$12	32¢	$8	-$3	10-26 20:54
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	No	+9	$6	74¢	$6	+$1	09-13 14:24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	+16	$6	38¢	$6	+$0	10-27 12:41
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+21	$6	29¢	$6	+$0	10-26 20:39
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	+8	$6	77¢	$6	+$0	10-14 11:24
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	+9	$6	67¢	$6	$0	10-14 11:26
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+9	$6	66¢	$6	$0	09-13 21:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+9	$6	66¢	$6	$0	09-22 02:23
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+7	$6	73¢	$5	$0	09-16 03:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	+7	$6	72¢	$5	$0	10-14 11:24
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+16	$6	34¢	$5	-$1	09-24 13:36
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	+9	$5	60¢	$5	$0	10-21 07:53
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	+13	$4	38¢	$5	+$1	10-26 20:55
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+15	$6	32¢	$5	-$1	10-21 03:00
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	+21	$11	20¢	$4	-$7	10-26 21:02
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	07-26 09:42
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-50	-$1	2¢	$-1	+$0	05-27 06:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	-40	-$1	2¢	$-1	$0	07-24 03:34
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	+1	$1	40¢	$1	$0	10-23 00:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+0	$0	78¢	$0	+$0	10-13 16:51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	+1	$1	30¢	$0	-$1	10-20 18:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 07:45 UTC	15	$434	2,596	84	+2,512	Down	-$410	02-26 07:49
ethereum up or down february 26 3am et	358	$346	364	169	+195	Up	-$8	02-26 09:05
bitcoin up or down february 26 9am et	293	$323	295	252	+43	Down	+$49	02-26 15:00
bitcoin up or down february 26 2am et	285	$302	290	151	+139	Down	+$0	02-26 08:03
bitcoin up or down february 26 8am et	222	$203	229	101	+128	Down	-$19	02-26 13:57
ethereum up or down february 26 9am et	204	$198	204	175	+29	Down	+$5	02-26 14:58
ethereum up or down february 26 2am et	143	$181	356	84	+272	Down	-$14	02-26 08:03
bitcoin up or down february 26 3am et	250	$173	254	80	+174	Up	-$14	02-26 09:06
ethereum up or down february 26 8am et	197	$164	199	84	+115	Down	-$16	02-26 13:56
bitcoin up or down february 26 6am et	171	$161	173	73	+100	Down	-$14	02-26 12:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 11:55 UTC	48	$158	627	42	+586	Up	-$59	02-26 11:59
bitcoin up or down february 26 5am et	141	$151	149	74	+75	Down	-$4	02-26 11:08
bitcoin up or down february 25 9am et	147	$147	149	72	+77	Up	-$2	02-25 14:59
bitcoin up or down february 26 7am et	43	$143	177	73	+104	Up	-$14	02-26 12:56
bitcoin up or down february 26 4am et	153	$139	156	69	+87	Up	-$2	02-26 10:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 14:00 UTC	145	$114	118	95	+23	Up	+$9	02-26 14:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 14:25 UTC	151	$110	107	75	+32	Down	+$3	02-26 14:32
ethereum up or down february 25 8am et	51	$105	130	53	+77	Up	-$1	02-25 13:54
ethereum up or down february 26 5am et	101	$98	104	53	+51	Down	+$8	02-26 11:08
ethereum up or down february 25 9am et	85	$90	86	46	+40	Up	+$1	02-25 14:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 07:45 UTC	19	$87	261	127	+134	Down	+$55	02-26 07:56
bitcoin up or down february 25 6am et	80	$86	81	42	+39	Up	-$3	02-25 12:04
ethereum up or down february 26 7am et	11	$85	123	31	+92	Up	-$23	02-26 12:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-26 07:45 UTC	9	$84	180	89	+91	Down	-$46	02-26 07:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 12:00 UTC	31	$81	1,274	117	+1,158	Up	-$30	02-26 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-26 04:35 UTC	143	$77	112	25	+87	Down	-$4	02-26 04:40
bitcoin up or down february 26 12am et	179	$76	183	0	+183	Down	+$7	02-26 05:54
bitcoin up or down february 25 8am et	57	$75	184	35	+148	Up	-$5	02-25 13:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-25 13:30 UTC	26	$74	203	23	+180	Up	-$21	02-25 13:41
ethereum up or down february 26 6am et	79	$74	80	36	+44	Down	-$2	02-26 12:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:41:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x9f1362…
10-26 21:02:53	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x23ef03…
10-26 20:55:12	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x6f6a10…
10-26 20:54:54	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	63¢	$6	0xc9dfae…
10-26 20:54:48	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x8f94d9…
10-26 20:39:44	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0x681e26…
10-25 18:10:57	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf1c18f…
10-24 06:01:56	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xbc7b1e…
10-24 06:01:54	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x1fd416…
10-24 03:46:32	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x70b558…
10-23 00:09:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x45d896…
10-22 00:02:08	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0xc59372…
10-21 21:14:41	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x94d017…
10-21 16:35:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x1f02ec…
10-21 10:49:50	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x703e22…
10-21 07:53:21	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x33c76a…
10-21 03:24:27	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$6	0x0bb412…
10-21 03:14:21	Will Navdeep Bains win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x2970da…
10-21 03:00:20	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0x80ab34…
10-21 02:06:15	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x85f0e6…
10-21 00:50:38	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x68ab70…
10-21 00:24:36	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0x077fc1…
10-20 21:10:45	Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0xd97901…
10-20 21:10:08	US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xd52525…
10-20 19:16:05	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x3c7afc…
10-20 18:47:53	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0x5dc6ff…
10-20 18:45:36	No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x39acfa…
10-20 17:45:05	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0xd494aa…
10-19 15:58:48	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x9cb927…
10-19 07:04:56	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x2be34f…
10-18 16:45:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	13¢	$0	0x313be9…
10-18 16:45:26	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0x001784…
10-18 16:45:23	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x892b95…
10-18 16:45:20	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x18fad5…
10-18 16:45:17	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x9ae144…
10-18 16:45:14	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0xeecd76…
10-18 16:45:11	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc2c994…
10-18 16:45:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x143ed7…
10-18 16:45:05	Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcd231d…
10-18 16:45:02	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x328ff6…
10-17 21:07:56	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xc352b3…
10-16 17:39:06	Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x2c93cd…
10-15 02:28:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x0b11b3…
10-14 11:26:22	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xc87a88…
10-14 11:24:37	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xe4ef92…
10-14 11:24:01	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0x9d6abe…
10-14 11:03:59	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xa8d059…
10-14 10:27:47	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0x7ffd52…
10-14 06:37:02	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	No	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0x8462bf…
10-13 16:51:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x223bd2…
10-09 04:01:31	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x4cfd4e…
10-08 12:01:39	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	24¢	$3	0x05edb1…
10-05 18:50:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xf7d954…
10-05 01:16:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x8560e9…
10-05 01:16:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x9e794e…
10-05 01:16:02	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xc8e892…
10-04 18:03:04	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x98f677…
10-02 00:05:12	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	No	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0x9c95a2…
10-01 19:56:27	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xb93aae…
10-01 17:32:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x65410d…
10-01 17:16:44	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x0f4df1…
09-30 12:18:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2d3d82…
09-29 20:14:57	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xa9c7d0…
09-28 12:34:05	Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?	No	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x141e2a…
09-28 12:11:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x047641…
09-28 06:42:53	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0x94c5ab…
09-25 17:07:11	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x7fb211…
09-24 14:56:09	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x564a9d…
09-24 13:36:08	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0x92596b…
09-23 15:22:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xf0036d…
09-23 15:07:43	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x139187…
09-23 15:07:40	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xed2a9d…
09-23 15:07:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x7d5703…
09-22 21:14:45	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x423b80…
09-22 09:20:21	Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	22	26¢	$6	0x479b34…
09-22 06:43:37	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x3b1bdd…
09-22 02:28:02	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	No	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x2a797d…
09-22 02:23:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x66587d…
09-22 02:18:27	Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?	Yes	SELL	24	22¢	$5	0x832ecb…
09-21 17:34:40	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0xb3dea0…
09-21 17:10:01	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x5741cf…
09-21 14:40:12	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	SELL	24	26¢	$6	0xec2b88…
09-21 10:32:23	Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x56f664…
09-21 07:38:56	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$6	0x1cb9c9…
09-20 23:50:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$6	0xeaad06…
09-20 20:36:05	Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x6aa700…
09-20 19:30:50	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Kansas City Royals	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x8baaf8…
09-20 16:18:21	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	No	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xa726c3…
09-20 16:18:19	Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x7e6139…
09-20 15:30:46	Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x26982a…
09-20 14:59:16	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x606b0a…
09-20 14:03:01	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Kansas City Royals	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x72bdf4…
09-20 00:49:18	Will Linke win 35-39 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xd89954…
09-19 20:48:56	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x18921c…
09-19 15:54:54	Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	No	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0xe0438c…
09-19 12:46:44	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x59a040…
09-19 00:30:39	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	23	25¢	$6	0xd92c40…
09-18 19:45:15	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	28	21¢	$6	0x5145b0…
09-18 18:13:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$6	0x2b2d30…
09-18 18:02:18	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	24	31¢	$7	0x2b7d1a…