Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$119

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-20

last 10-14 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

79% 52% -$2

Politics

16% 58% -$1

Tech

4% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	08-22 12:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-16 17:46
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	08-13 03:11
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	08-05 13:51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	10	0	+10	No	-$2	08-04 09:42
will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	08-17 03:54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	08-02 15:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	1	$2	8	0	+8	No	-$2	08-03 17:40
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	07-23 13:55
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	-$2	08-01 14:20
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	07-22 13:37
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	08-06 05:55
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	1	$2	5	0	+5	No	+$3	08-01 22:29
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	08-02 23:45
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	08-04 01:41
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	9	0	+9	No	-$2	08-05 21:52
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	+$5	08-02 06:30
spx up or down on august 5 2026	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	-$2	08-05 05:49
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	08-13 19:17
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	07-24 03:00
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	$0	07-30 13:50
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	+$2	07-21 01:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	07-20 13:35
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	0	+4	cancelled	$0	08-01 04:56
pypl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 1pt28	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 03:09
will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	-$2	07-28 04:11
will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	07-27 17:38
will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-26 03:08
will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-31 12:53
will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	07-26 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 21:11:58	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe52631…
10-11 10:56:03	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf1d40b…
10-11 02:51:27	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x85a83a…
10-09 17:51:56	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 5-October 11?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x08e4d7…
10-09 09:45:15	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdae877…
10-09 01:18:44	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x843226…
10-08 17:18:30	Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2483aa…
10-08 06:28:31	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x93808b…
10-06 22:27:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x84e319…
10-05 22:27:07	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6a3d78…
10-05 14:20:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x15f0c0…
09-30 02:51:23	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc5c40c…
09-26 05:47:27	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x66ee3d…
09-22 21:24:58	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x57b1b6…
09-22 13:24:12	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5559e2…
09-22 05:14:06	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xae53ed…
09-18 05:19:45	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3eb1b8…
09-16 03:30:03	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x362721…
09-13 18:55:52	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xfafe3c…
09-13 07:45:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1855c8…
09-10 07:31:07	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa9912d…
09-08 21:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x4d788f…
09-08 13:17:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xe98e7e…
09-08 04:55:18	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x80e82a…
09-07 17:56:28	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x5aae1d…
09-07 09:12:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x118bc2…
09-03 12:05:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xce8964…
09-03 02:12:07	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x497513…
09-02 14:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x027d12…
09-02 06:04:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xaef106…
09-01 17:51:16	Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa30121…
09-01 09:33:27	Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x16d511…
08-26 00:55:48	Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x57fc36…
08-26 00:53:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb4298…
08-24 03:51:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x6ef965…
08-23 19:50:22	Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5baabb…
08-22 22:41:57	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xb026fa…
08-22 12:14:33	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x53f9f0…
08-22 11:50:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xbd2f22…
08-21 23:04:33	Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x09d756…
08-21 14:37:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1b5a20…
08-20 18:28:37	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.50 and $7.00 on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf8c577…
08-20 09:07:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2b020b…
08-20 00:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3db448…
08-19 14:46:37	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x11fea4…
08-17 03:54:40	will xagusd dip to 63 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x88193b…
08-16 17:46:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x5efadd…
08-13 19:17:36	US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x161fc4…
08-13 11:14:28	Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9ba620…
08-13 03:11:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x97e3e7…
08-06 05:55:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf76813…
08-05 21:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xba9187…
08-05 13:51:30	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1822ce…
08-05 05:49:27	spx up or down on august 5 2026	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x37611d…
08-04 09:42:06	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf30879…
08-04 01:41:14	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xfaa2e8…
08-03 17:40:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x6f1268…
08-03 09:39:50	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x22e5fe…
08-02 23:45:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x21cfa3…
08-02 15:44:53	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xa3554b…
08-02 06:30:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x64ae10…
08-01 22:29:29	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa69e69…
08-01 14:20:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x08ce66…
08-01 04:56:20	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe54166…
07-31 20:54:51	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xf87b23…
07-31 12:53:48	will trump say coal during cabinet meeting 20260727172357441	No	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xbb579c…
07-30 13:50:51	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x427c17…
07-29 09:23:42	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x77ef31…
07-28 04:11:36	will trump say save america act during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556651	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x861d8b…
07-27 17:38:25	will trump say tough cookie during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556637	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x8f4f2e…
07-27 03:09:21	pypl quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 28 2026 1pt28	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xf3f55a…
07-26 15:08:52	will trump say drill baby drill during michigan remarks 20260724162420368	No	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd29860…
07-26 03:08:12	will warsh say projection during july press conference 20260720204109048	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x6c7422…
07-25 15:07:07	another pandemic before gta vi	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xff603b…
07-25 03:06:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x473b51…
07-24 15:06:15	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x7c42be…
07-24 03:00:43	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	No	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x6223a1…
07-23 13:55:39	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x457752…
07-23 01:53:03	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd79044…
07-22 13:37:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd79427…
07-22 01:36:12	will trump say friend of mine during remarks in georgia 20260720190340709	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb6d5d9…
07-21 13:36:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xdf0a6f…
07-21 01:35:34	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	No	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x40e613…
07-20 13:35:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x619533…