Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10.1K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.0%

Resolved

Trades

5,521

lifetime

Volume

$1.27M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$230

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 02-03 08:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

49% 51% +$26,514

Politics

48% 53% -$15,545

Sports

3% 25% -$6,078

Crypto

0% 60% +$5,284

Tech

0% 0% -$96

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	344	$175.4K	104,940	202,222	-97,283	Yes	-$34,187	02-01 23:47
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	370	$156.2K	118,077	105,321	+12,756	Yes	+$8,387	01-30 20:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	159	$107.3K	190,583	116,917	+73,665	No	-$7,283	01-30 01:50
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$86.4K	60,000	30,000	+30,000	Yes	+$517	01-28 19:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	343	$79.5K	151,427	94,246	+57,181	No	+$2,141	02-01 23:48
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	79	$79.2K	55,743	54,743	+1,000	No	+$1,217	01-14 20:05
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions decjanmar	13	$51.8K	48,077	14,657	+33,420	No	+$811	01-28 10:21
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	266	$50.2K	181,703	261,583	-79,880	No	+$4,290	02-01 18:26
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	5	$40.0K	40,000	15,444	+24,556	No	+$82	01-04 16:00
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	17	$39.9K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$20	01-03 04:19
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$34.4K	2,000	39,178	-37,178	No	-$5,096	01-25 20:40
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	17	$32.7K	25,933	31,644	-5,710	Yes	+$5,857	02-01 15:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	54	$30.8K	60,122	8,633	+51,489	No	-$1,619	01-30 19:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	313	$28.2K	20,611	76,757	-56,145	No	+$21,781	01-29 15:34
us x venezuela military engagement by january 15 2026 392	12	$28.0K	33,266	1,509	+31,757	Yes	-$22,393	01-03 05:20
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	25	$20.1K	29,716	0	+29,716	No	+$1,494	01-05 00:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	263	$19.6K	95,617	81,796	+13,822	No	-$10,714	02-03 08:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	22	$18.0K	20,792	20,792	+0	Yes	+$818	01-14 20:07
us x venezuela military engagement by january 31 2026 977	21	$16.7K	27,764	0	+27,764	Yes	-$8,901	01-03 06:07
will olivia rodrigo release an album in 2025	68	$15.9K	100,852	96,672	+4,180	No	-$3,253	01-01 23:18
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	25	$10.8K	20,850	3,773	+17,077	No	-$2,355	01-15 03:16
Over $15M committed to the Trove public sale?	28	$10.4K	30,719	29,153	+1,567	No	-$8,045	01-11 18:03
nothing ever happens january	25	$10.4K	43,550	0	+43,550	No	+$33,152	01-03 04:24
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	36	$9.0K	9,000	3,891	+5,109	No	+$1,533	01-12 20:31
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	13	$7.7K	5,299	7,941	-2,641	No	+$2,184	01-14 21:16
will google gemini 3 score at least 60 on the frontiermath benchmark by	32	$7.4K	9,773	0	+9,773	No	+$2,326	01-08 03:59
will google gemini 3 score at least 40 on the frontiermath benchmark	16	$7.2K	14,589	4,089	+10,501	No	+$688	01-29 21:09
will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	8	$7.1K	17,526	17,526	+0	No	+$1,511	01-05 04:10
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	46	$6.8K	12,992	0	+12,992	No	+$6,207	01-08 00:24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	7	$6.3K	8,954	3,000	+5,954	No	+$11	01-14 20:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-03 08:12:14	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	158	0¢	$0	0xcd4b17…
02-03 08:12:14	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,335	0¢	$5	0x457e8b…
02-03 07:41:54	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0xbc0dfa…
02-03 07:35:32	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	520	0¢	$1	0x43236f…
02-03 07:35:30	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x0dec6c…
02-03 07:35:26	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,335	0¢	$5	0x7ff98b…
02-03 07:31:38	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x2050fe…
02-03 07:31:14	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x77dcd0…
02-03 07:30:16	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x0988de…
02-03 00:02:12	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xb43b7a…
02-02 21:00:06	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,570	0¢	$3	0x423ac7…
02-02 20:50:12	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3b6ebc…
02-02 19:39:46	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0xea6591…
02-02 19:26:00	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x44e3a8…
02-02 18:45:08	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xe75fb8…
02-02 18:44:18	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,142	0¢	$2	0x54594a…
02-02 18:35:10	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0xc38c94…
02-02 17:36:50	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xc05212…
02-02 17:34:30	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	687	0¢	$1	0xdc09fe…
02-01 23:52:50	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	1,989	7¢	$135	0x6ff319…
02-01 23:52:48	will jacob elordi win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x16de21…
02-01 23:51:30	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	582	46¢	$267	0xe0c9be…
02-01 23:51:26	Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xfcd64f…
02-01 23:49:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	130	19¢	$25	0x532f8a…
02-01 23:48:30	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	6,229	0¢	$12	0x2e79c0…
02-01 23:48:10	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	10,000	99¢	$9,920	0x3d6ee9…
02-01 23:47:48	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	64,589	98¢	$63,427	0xce5069…
02-01 23:44:52	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x88114f…
02-01 23:43:00	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	1,412	71¢	$1,002	0xaab182…
02-01 18:26:46	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	33,121	0¢	$99	0x2332f3…
02-01 15:35:36	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	31,644	61¢	$19,303	0xb0deca…
02-01 13:22:58	will google be the first company to have an ai model hit 1500 on chatbot arena by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	2,913	69¢	$2,010	0x18865d…
02-01 13:20:54	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	3,006	26¢	$782	0x544652…
02-01 08:25:04	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	696	0¢	$2	0xbde73c…
02-01 08:22:16	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	365	0¢	$1	0x50ea49…
02-01 07:00:12	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,700	0¢	$23	0x10fd0e…
02-01 06:42:00	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	848	0¢	$3	0x44555f…
02-01 06:32:04	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,270	0¢	$22	0x612e9a…
01-31 21:41:02	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30,000	0¢	$30	0xe7913b…
01-31 18:28:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	5,866	20¢	$1,173	0xd9dd98…
01-31 17:54:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	5,866	21¢	$1,232	0x0a3e52…
01-31 17:43:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	1,610	79¢	$1,272	0x7fe504…
01-31 17:27:16	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	5,472	98¢	$5,357	0xf79c1b…
01-31 17:24:20	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	58,422	0¢	$58	0x608bfe…
01-31 17:23:18	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2,615	0¢	$3	0xa3eb58…
01-31 15:47:36	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	39,705	0¢	$79	0x2b5235…
01-31 15:33:00	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x02007c…
01-31 15:23:58	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x82544b…
01-31 15:21:14	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$2	0x52d0d3…
01-31 15:18:04	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	17,678	0¢	$35	0xefad9b…
01-31 14:40:04	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	7,895	0¢	$16	0x009244…
01-31 04:05:26	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	453	0¢	$1	0x5f3e67…
01-31 04:04:08	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	729	0¢	$2	0x00de4b…
01-31 02:37:12	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	28,529	0¢	$57	0x711fb4…
01-31 02:25:54	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0x0afbc5…
01-31 02:17:28	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,899	0¢	$6	0xa9a808…
01-31 02:03:12	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	321	0¢	$1	0x01c27e…
01-31 02:01:12	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xdf178d…
01-31 01:55:30	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,483	0¢	$4	0x7bc1b2…
01-31 01:55:22	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	903	0¢	$3	0x7aab0c…
01-31 01:33:38	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x895c72…
01-31 01:23:26	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	526	0¢	$2	0x957ae2…
01-31 00:43:24	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	920	0¢	$3	0x6bb0e8…
01-31 00:19:48	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$15	0x428b96…
01-31 00:12:46	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$3	0x0feb9a…
01-31 00:07:20	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	3,894	0¢	$12	0xb7a6e3…
01-30 20:40:08	Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	592,274	0¢	$592	0x13bcfe…
01-30 20:09:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	17,025	84¢	$14,301	0x645df8…
01-30 20:04:24	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	15,310	83¢	$12,707	0xace800…
01-30 20:04:04	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	5,231	83¢	$4,342	0x2d3edf…
01-30 19:56:58	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	6,204	5¢	$316	0xdacdbe…
01-30 19:20:44	odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january	Yes	BUY	4,713	3¢	$141	0x0e3020…
01-30 19:14:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	3,118	8¢	$249	0x5f6963…
01-30 19:14:06	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	4,676	8¢	$374	0xa39ef6…
01-30 19:12:28	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	5,000	8¢	$400	0x782899…
01-30 19:12:02	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe80441…
01-30 19:11:58	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xcd6d40…
01-30 19:11:50	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xfd77a8…
01-30 19:11:44	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0xe2346b…
01-30 19:11:40	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,600	8¢	$128	0x9bfb1e…
01-30 19:11:26	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	54	8¢	$4	0x23dce0…
01-30 19:11:20	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0xde3cf0…
01-30 19:11:20	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x980cf6…
01-30 19:11:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	487	8¢	$39	0x323d07…
01-30 19:11:18	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	2,000	8¢	$160	0x1f7b80…
01-30 14:49:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	8,224	76¢	$6,250	0xa67d46…
01-30 07:05:52	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	10,000	96¢	$9,600	0x414478…
01-30 03:47:12	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	5,893	98¢	$5,751	0x77bc4a…
01-30 03:39:28	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,575	6¢	$93	0x66e912…
01-30 03:28:54	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3,431	96¢	$3,293	0x616bb9…
01-30 03:02:32	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x488481…
01-30 03:02:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x580484…
01-30 03:02:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xa5d3bb…
01-30 03:02:06	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	16,567	94¢	$15,573	0xac0523…
01-30 03:01:58	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,790	1¢	$18	0x6cc99c…
01-30 02:36:54	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0x796ded…
01-30 02:36:48	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x9b3f3b…
01-30 02:36:48	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4bd5bd…
01-30 02:36:42	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0xbcdee1…
01-30 02:36:32	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	600	2¢	$14	0xbf43da…