Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.83K

Unrealized P&L

-$615

Hit rate

42.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$333

Open exposure

$182

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 09-26 21:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Politics

58% 44% +$298

Other

40% 22% -$4,040

Crypto

2% 33% -$87

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	+158	$97	60¢	$96	-$1	09-26 21:21
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+2,381	$500	3¢	$71	-$429	09-21 03:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+435	$200	4¢	$15	-$185	09-21 03:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	3	$3.4K	4,500	2,466	+2,034	Yes	+$955	03-02 06:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$3.3K	1,945	1,945	+0	No	+$453	04-26 00:06
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	10	$3.2K	14,065	14,065	+0	No	-$1,574	03-30 17:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$2.0K	2,700	0	+2,700	Yes	+$656	03-14 00:45
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	3	$2.0K	3,450	3,450	+0	No	-$1,245	03-25 01:41
spx up or down on march 2 2026	4	$1.9K	1,521	1,521	+0	Up	-$309	03-02 21:31
will iran strike cyprus in march	5	$1.9K	2,846	2,846	+0	No	-$140	03-02 05:54
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	6	$1.2K	6,912	6,912	+0	No	-$827	04-26 00:34
us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	3	$1.1K	2,189	2,189	+0	No	-$890	03-31 02:07
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	3	$907	1,754	1,754	+0	No	-$693	03-31 02:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$816	1,385	0	+1,385	Yes	+$569	03-29 18:21
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$748	1,100	0	+1,100	No	-$748	03-30 17:58
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	1	$687	824	0	+824	Yes	+$137	04-26 00:32
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	5	$618	3,548	3,548	+0	No	-$372	04-22 18:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$527	3,782	3,782	+0	Yes	-$73	09-21 03:47
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$500	1,579	0	+1,579	Yes	+$1,079	02-19 02:59
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$500	2,381	0	+2,381	open	—	09-21 03:07
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$493	987	987	+0	No	-$375	03-24 18:15
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$485	838	838	+0	No	-$335	03-31 02:08
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	4	$407	586	586	+0	No	+$16	04-03 05:03
will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 23 2026	2	$332	346	346	+0	Yes	-$1	03-24 03:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:40 UTC	2	$329	169	169	+0	Up	+$5	03-25 01:45
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	1	$246	441	0	+441	Yes	+$195	02-19 03:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$200	435	0	+435	open	—	09-21 03:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$170	315	0	+315	No	-$170	03-31 02:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	2	$162	479	479	+0	Yes	-$20	09-26 21:20
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$141	211	0	+211	Yes	+$70	03-28 17:54
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	1	$100	625	0	+625	No	-$100	04-26 00:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	1	$97	158	0	+158	open	—	09-26 21:21
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$81	504	504	+0	No	-$39	03-29 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 21:21:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	158	61¢	$97	0x7321bd…
09-26 21:20:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	479	15¢	$71	0xb9fe1b…
09-21 03:48:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	435	46¢	$200	0x301dfb…
09-21 03:47:23	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	SELL	3,782	6¢	$227	0xe22c76…
09-21 03:10:07	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	479	19¢	$91	0xfd3229…
09-21 03:07:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,381	21¢	$500	0x77cd72…
09-21 03:06:44	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	3,782	8¢	$300	0xc943da…
04-26 00:34:12	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,456	2¢	$67	0xba42e9…
04-26 00:32:52	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	Yes	BUY	824	83¢	$687	0x240188…
04-26 00:32:42	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0xcc12ef…
04-26 00:31:44	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,456	3¢	$108	0xfd4139…
04-26 00:09:42	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	529	38¢	$202	0x63d9d2…
04-26 00:07:50	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	773	39¢	$300	0xa10a48…
04-26 00:07:40	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	818	37¢	$300	0x729d06…
04-26 00:07:26	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,792	4¢	$200	0x221588…
04-26 00:06:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,695	99¢	$1,678	0xa992a9…
04-22 18:08:24	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	2,293	0¢	$2	0x5471fd…
04-19 22:33:32	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,037	19¢	$195	0x234f1e…
04-19 22:33:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	250	78¢	$195	0x47a015…
04-19 19:03:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,945	73¢	$1,420	0x1d6bb2…
04-19 18:58:50	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	1,255	10¢	$120	0x713f20…
04-19 18:53:56	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,668	12¢	$200	0x824331…
04-19 18:53:32	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	843	12¢	$100	0x94c3c0…
04-03 05:03:35	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	SELL	363	1¢	$4	0xcaef9a…
03-31 02:11:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	315	54¢	$170	0xb02d0f…
03-31 02:08:39	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	838	9¢	$75	0xe17181…
03-31 02:07:29	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,189	4¢	$84	0xc1f9c6…
03-31 02:05:37	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	877	1¢	$11	0x82c618…
03-30 17:58:33	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	438	80¢	$348	0x17d8b8…
03-30 17:49:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	8,214	4¢	$348	0x38bdc2…
03-29 18:21:46	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	321	70¢	$225	0x52cc0b…
03-29 17:43:36	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	504	4¢	$21	0xcf78c1…
03-29 17:42:22	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2,738	7¢	$204	0xe7f16e…
03-29 00:39:34	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,615	11¢	$178	0x561e3c…
03-28 19:37:04	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	363	8¢	$30	0x70314e…
03-28 19:36:50	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	223	93¢	$208	0xef70d6…
03-28 18:06:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	437	57¢	$249	0x5bc943…
03-28 18:05:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	3,112	8¢	$249	0xeeb486…
03-28 17:54:51	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	211	67¢	$141	0x39c719…
03-28 03:58:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2f4cf0…
03-28 03:57:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 03:55 UTC	Down	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xf2a324…
03-28 03:54:43	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,055	57¢	$600	0xe03591…
03-28 03:54:33	us strikes yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,133	33¢	$375	0xcc1b6c…
03-28 03:53:59	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	663	60¢	$400	0x8d59ff…
03-28 03:53:51	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	838	49¢	$410	0xd187da…
03-27 21:07:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x80a7db…
03-27 21:06:01	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	504	12¢	$60	0xb7e458…
03-27 21:03:23	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	4,118	17¢	$700	0x9094da…
03-25 20:53:11	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	314	59¢	$186	0xd64198…
03-25 20:53:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,105	19¢	$400	0xbb3529…
03-25 20:51:01	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,105	19¢	$400	0xe56e07…
03-25 20:45:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	2,778	18¢	$500	0xe69dfb…
03-25 11:23:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,113	15¢	$167	0x38ee8a…
03-25 01:45:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:40 UTC	Up	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0xf0d101…
03-25 01:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	169	96¢	$162	0xd0bdfb…
03-25 01:43:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0x4f860c…
03-25 01:41:29	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	2,588	7¢	$192	0xcd8577…
03-25 01:40:35	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	312	50¢	$156	0x097d19…
03-24 18:15:45	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	987	6¢	$59	0x9e7d15…
03-24 18:13:31	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	SELL	877	11¢	$97	0x77ce2c…
03-24 03:26:55	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	223	74¢	$166	0xd770a9…
03-24 03:24:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:20 UTC	Down	SELL	250	4¢	$10	0x279aa2…
03-24 03:23:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x39b427…
03-24 03:19:25	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 23 2026	Yes	SELL	346	48¢	$166	0x0c4cda…
03-24 03:17:33	will iran take military action against a gulf state on march 23 2026	Yes	BUY	346	48¢	$166	0xc1dfca…
03-24 03:17:13	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	862	19¢	$166	0x229220…
03-19 08:55:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	3,450	46¢	$1,604	0x956b33…
03-14 01:05:11	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,754	46¢	$800	0xff6e34…
03-14 00:47:59	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	987	44¢	$434	0xeb3626…
03-14 00:45:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	2,108	76¢	$1,600	0x64a995…
03-14 00:17:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	592	75¢	$444	0x0ea1a7…
03-02 21:31:01	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	492	100¢	$491	0x9aeadf…
03-02 18:15:37	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	492	67¢	$329	0x510039…
03-02 18:08:55	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	1,029	32¢	$329	0x5fda27…
03-02 06:04:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,034	49¢	$1,007	0xc3e811…
03-02 05:54:55	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	2,846	31¢	$880	0xd6a561…
03-02 05:52:35	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	2,200	37¢	$821	0x046811…
03-02 05:52:09	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	261	33¢	$86	0xee7636…
03-02 05:51:59	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5c8fb2…
03-02 05:51:01	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	355	29¢	$103	0x2eaf16…
03-02 05:50:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,466	47¢	$1,147	0x1ece58…
03-02 05:09:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,466	49¢	$1,220	0x535919…
03-02 05:05:21	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	1,029	78¢	$800	0xfde277…
02-19 03:00:18	israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	Yes	BUY	441	56¢	$246	0x15c66d…
02-19 02:59:10	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,579	32¢	$500	0xa96422…
02-19 00:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	175	23¢	$40	0x8e9c8c…