Heavenly-Fortnight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-06 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 31 days

Categories

Other

80% 79% -$13

Crypto

13% 57% -$4

Politics

7% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	2	$312	156	156	+0	No	+$0	06-07 11:49
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	1	$171	171	0	+171	No	+$0	01-06 06:44
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	1	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	01-20 11:01
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 60 79	1	$168	168	0	+168	No	+$0	01-14 02:34
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$0	02-02 03:10
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	1	$167	167	0	+167	No	+$0	01-29 09:58
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	1	$166	167	0	+167	No	+$0	01-25 03:39
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 560 579	1	$164	165	0	+165	No	+$0	02-05 10:56
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 120 139	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	04-09 03:51
ethereum above 2100 on april 15	1	$158	158	0	+158	Yes	+$0	04-15 09:13
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	04-20 09:05
will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	1	$158	158	0	+158	No	+$0	02-13 10:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	1	$157	157	0	+157	No	+$0	05-01 11:23
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$157	157	0	+157	No	+$0	05-11 09:46
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$157	157	0	+157	No	+$0	05-23 07:38
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?	1	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	06-07 11:49
will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	1	$156	156	0	+156	No	+$0	03-19 02:51
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$155	155	0	+155	No	+$0	03-24 06:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 25?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	04-24 09:56
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-06 03:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-11 08:57
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	1	$56	56	0	+56	No	+$0	04-24 09:47
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	03-06 03:25
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 120 139	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	03-11 08:57
Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	09-02 11:19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$17	17	0	+17	No	+$0	07-19 03:42
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	10-06 08:46
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 460 479	1	$7	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$7	02-13 09:58
Will Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	1	$4	18	0	+18	No	-$4	10-06 08:40
ethereum above 3000 on january 9	1	$3	84	0	+84	Yes	-$3	01-09 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 08:46:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x32dbda…
10-06 08:40:45	Will Korea Republic vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	18	23¢	$4	0xa2dff0…
09-02 11:19:48	Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in August?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x701a6c…
07-19 03:42:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5aef66…
06-07 11:49:27	Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0xf478ab…
06-07 11:49:09	Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x1fbb3e…
05-29 09:05:47	Will Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x94f845…
05-26 07:02:45	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x1ac09c…
05-23 07:38:14	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x9a6878…
05-11 09:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x8666d0…
05-01 11:23:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	157	100¢	$157	0x7d838f…
04-24 09:56:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe141cf…
04-24 09:49:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 24	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x2a4d0d…
04-24 09:47:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on april 24	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x53e884…
04-20 09:05:26	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x5a2a7b…
04-15 09:13:08	ethereum above 2100 on april 15	Yes	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0x8a5218…
04-09 03:59:39	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb8e37d…
04-09 03:51:53	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 120 139	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xa56413…
03-24 06:16:01	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	155	100¢	$155	0xab7dd5…
03-19 02:51:37	will the ecb announce an increase at the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	156	100¢	$156	0x4663cc…
03-11 08:57:13	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 120 139	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x55246f…
03-11 08:57:07	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x61a209…
03-06 03:25:31	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x2a1760…
03-06 03:25:15	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7e8ec5…
03-06 03:25:07	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x5006f0…
02-13 10:52:23	will the us next strike iran on february 12 2026 et	No	BUY	158	100¢	$158	0xb1ecac…
02-13 09:58:17	elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 460 479	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$7	0x0181b3…
02-05 10:56:23	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 560 579	No	BUY	165	100¢	$164	0xf6470d…
02-05 10:55:23	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 600 619	Yes	BUY	1,020	0¢	$1	0xa51b02…
02-05 10:55:13	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 620 639	Yes	BUY	1,480	0¢	$1	0x2eec3d…
02-02 03:10:16	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 280 299	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x6e8d33…
01-29 09:58:22	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 140 159	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x7a5d6e…
01-25 03:39:12	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 0 19	No	BUY	167	100¢	$166	0x7a7bdd…
01-20 11:01:30	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 300 319	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xb21336…
01-14 02:34:44	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 60 79	No	BUY	168	100¢	$168	0xe9a459…
01-13 09:29:55	bitcoin above 84k on january 14	No	BUY	510	0¢	$1	0xd77dd3…
01-09 06:44:16	ethereum above 3000 on january 9	No	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x0196a2…
01-06 06:44:55	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x1cbd9b…