Traumatic-Distributor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$526

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

90.0%

Resolved

280

Trades

1,041

lifetime

Volume

$48.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 11-02 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 153 days

Categories

Other

80% 87% +$457

Sports

17% 90% +$101

Crypto

2% 100% +$10

Tech

1% 50% -$41

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No		+20	$20	100¢	$20	$0	11-05 13:50

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 65 89	7	$796	408	408	+0	No	-$5	01-14 13:55
Rockets vs. Mavericks	23	$770	543	263	+280	Rockets	+$16	10-09 14:08
nba bkn okc 2026 02 20	4	$686	350	350	+0	Thunder	+$13	02-21 04:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	28	$638	460	460	+0	Yes	+$41	07-27 12:24
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	12	$628	323	323	+0	No	+$6	03-06 16:28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	22	$608	326	326	+0	No	+$31	07-29 08:56
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 30?	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	+$0	07-30 00:37
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 400 419	2	$599	300	300	+0	No	+$0	02-27 00:44
highest temperature in london on february 22 2026 16c	3	$543	272	272	+0	No	+$1	02-23 02:01
nba den por 2026 02 20	4	$531	360	180	+180	Nuggets	+$9	02-21 05:44
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	6	$530	532	0	+532	Yes	+$2	07-28 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	12	$528	306	306	+0	Yes	+$6	09-11 11:04
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	27	$528	338	338	+0	Yes	+$49	08-12 09:15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	18	$519	349	349	-0	Yes	+$57	07-31 14:03
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	6	$515	286	286	+0	Yes	+$16	09-23 09:31
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 190 214	12	$512	258	258	+0	No	+$3	02-01 17:57
nba cle cha 2026 01 21	6	$474	250	250	+0	Cavaliers	+$25	01-22 03:26
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	19	$473	314	314	+0	Yes	+$57	08-11 12:19
nba min por 2026 02 24	1	$440	441	0	+441	Timberwolves	+$0	02-25 05:40
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	10	$425	253	253	+0	Yes	+$31	09-02 11:29
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 215 239	2	$411	209	209	+0	No	+$6	01-10 17:11
highest temperature in london on march 6 2026 15c	10	$400	203	203	+0	No	+$0	03-06 08:13
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 140 164	3	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$4	02-25 02:59
elon musk of tweets february 2 february 4 140 164	4	$395	200	200	+0	No	+$3	02-04 13:04
elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	5	$394	200	200	+0	No	+$5	01-10 16:31
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	1	$359	359	0	+359	No	+$0	03-04 15:27
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	2	$358	362	0	+362	Yes	+$4	03-06 16:33
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	23	$355	247	247	+0	Yes	+$43	08-01 12:01
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?	1	$353	353	0	+353	No	+$0	08-08 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	1	$353	354	0	+354	No	+$1	08-10 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 13:50:24	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb7e914…
11-02 03:59:19	Raptors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x48c81e…
10-30 15:54:40	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xb604f1…
10-26 09:10:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x81b6a8…
10-22 04:51:54	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7dfe6c…
10-22 02:50:09	Suns vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x053db2…
10-20 05:20:59	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xc30dd6…
10-20 05:20:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	86	10¢	$9	0x5c144f…
10-20 05:08:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0x38144d…
10-20 05:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	76	41¢	$31	0x83d2b3…
10-19 15:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x214007…
10-19 12:30:00	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x80bec1…
10-19 12:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x1bc61d…
10-19 07:57:36	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	18¢	$10	0x792f74…
10-19 07:32:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	24¢	$5	0xb4b387…
10-19 07:32:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xac9639…
10-19 07:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x7a1a97…
10-19 07:01:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x482af0…
10-19 06:58:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	66¢	$36	0xd42c08…
10-19 05:52:57	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	62¢	$8	0xc66a54…
10-19 05:16:38	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xf37ef0…
10-19 04:18:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x5b9580…
10-17 15:33:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xbaacb4…
10-17 14:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0x7f9e6e…
10-17 11:53:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	9¢	$11	0x1f472d…
10-17 07:00:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x6d0e41…
10-17 04:30:26	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa31f42…
10-17 04:27:55	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0xcfffb5…
10-17 04:27:35	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Trail Blazers	SELL	238	1¢	$3	0x3c410f…
10-17 04:27:26	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Trail Blazers	SELL	720	1¢	$9	0xfa01ee…
10-17 04:26:02	Trail Blazers vs. Warriors	Trail Blazers	BUY	959	5¢	$50	0x138800…
10-16 15:23:57	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	2¢	$1	0xe23ff0…
10-16 13:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	82¢	$50	0x7c0a0f…
10-16 09:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	72¢	$44	0xfdf00b…
10-16 09:22:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	72¢	$0	0x4d238a…
10-16 07:05:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	65¢	$32	0xeb2e28…
10-16 06:35:55	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	33¢	$15	0xe1e4aa…
10-16 06:12:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	65¢	$34	0x521055…
10-16 05:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x6c9f92…
10-16 04:37:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x161f49…
10-16 04:37:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x748693…
10-16 04:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0xeeac70…
10-16 04:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x38883f…
10-16 04:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x39d8c4…
10-16 04:20:49	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	62¢	$2	0x29b167…
10-16 04:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	62¢	$14	0x113566…
10-16 02:50:00	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x61bf2a…
10-16 02:29:28	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	152	99¢	$150	0x5a5fc9…
10-16 02:28:49	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x24cdd4…
10-16 02:23:49	Thunder vs. Rockets	Thunder	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0xb45c34…
10-16 02:20:57	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x87590c…
10-16 02:13:19	Raptors vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x6d3b5a…
10-16 02:02:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x956aa4…
10-15 16:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x59f261…
10-15 16:06:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x46906a…
10-15 16:06:38	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	25¢	$5	0x9ed87e…
10-15 16:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x9cf37e…
10-15 16:06:29	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x0aaf3c…
10-15 16:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3c1fb0…
10-15 16:05:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x5ec018…
10-15 16:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x14941e…
10-15 16:02:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x9022f3…
10-15 16:01:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	39¢	$26	0x95ad5f…
10-15 16:00:25	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xeef59e…
10-15 15:59:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa080da…
10-15 15:54:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0x864362…
10-14 04:43:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x88e1c9…
10-14 04:43:35	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	22¢	$8	0xf86eb1…
10-14 04:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	22¢	$1	0x6e4c87…
10-14 04:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x1bb4ba…
10-14 04:18:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0xee4a3b…
10-14 04:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x842c17…
10-14 04:12:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x562120…
10-14 04:10:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x4f2b7b…
10-14 04:09:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x276ab9…
10-14 03:59:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x7cce2d…
10-14 03:59:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	78¢	$23	0x23c5fc…
10-14 03:59:01	Trail Blazers vs. Kings	Trail Blazers	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x1beefe…
10-13 07:38:55	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x21c413…
10-13 06:47:40	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	273	1¢	$3	0x056071…
10-13 06:09:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x1e75b6…
10-13 06:08:10	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x45b411…
10-13 06:06:16	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xd6ade4…
10-13 06:05:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x12730a…
10-13 06:05:19	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xcee34e…
10-13 06:05:01	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	451	0¢	$2	0x5e0678…
10-13 05:39:28	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	451	0¢	$2	0xb390ff…
10-13 05:36:15	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa7791f…
10-13 05:34:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	0¢	$1	0x0c145a…
10-13 05:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	0¢	$1	0xf1a5c0…
10-13 05:33:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x59f59b…
10-13 05:32:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	503	0¢	$2	0xa9508a…
10-13 05:29:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x532552…
10-13 05:21:12	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x7d4f1a…
10-13 05:15:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xc96c51…
10-13 05:15:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x910fc6…
10-13 05:14:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x445010…
10-13 05:14:54	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x9f40d7…
10-11 08:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x74b3ee…
10-11 04:56:36	Spurs vs. Suns	Suns	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb16661…