Flat-Grabbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.5%

Resolved

Trades

140

lifetime

Volume

$595

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 07-24 21:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 21% $-96

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 80 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	9	$73	54	54	+0	open	—	05-25 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$53	186	36	+150	open	—	05-25 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$49	88	77	+12	open	—	05-25 00:48
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$40	114	114	+0	open	—	05-24 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$36	82	0	+82	Up	+$46	05-10 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$36	85	0	+85	Down	$-36	05-10 01:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$36	161	0	+161	Down	$-36	05-10 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$36	109	0	+109	Down	$-36	05-10 01:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	05-25 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$14	45	0	+45	open	—	05-25 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	8	$14	45	0	+45	open	—	05-25 05:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$12	30	0	+30	Up	+$18	05-10 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$12	38	0	+38	Down	$-12	05-10 01:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$12	32	0	+32	Down	$-12	05-10 01:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-25 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$7	23	0	+23	open	—	05-25 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$6	67	67	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	5	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	5	$5	31	0	+31	Up	$-5	05-09 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-09 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-25 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-25 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	3	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-25 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-25 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$4	15	0	+15	open	—	05-25 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$4	109	0	+109	Down	$-4	05-10 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$4	12	0	+12	open	—	05-25 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	Down	$-3	05-10 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$3	19	0	+19	open	—	05-25 01:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 21:58:57	btc updown 5m 1784930100	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd8be68…
05-25 06:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3c4988…
05-25 06:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x39c867…
05-25 06:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0xb9558e…
05-25 06:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xebc8c1…
05-25 06:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x216c1d…
05-25 06:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	32¢	$6	0xe989d7…
05-25 06:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa67b0f…
05-25 05:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x0630ff…
05-25 05:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x7ce118…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe79f8b…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd81721…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xcd1158…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xc746da…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x960980…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	32¢	$5	0x91fbba…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x3c4bb4…
05-25 05:45:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x073968…
05-25 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xcc02d4…
05-25 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x6905eb…
05-25 05:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x479cb1…
05-25 05:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xfa1c7f…
05-25 05:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x357e99…
05-25 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x7bfe8c…
05-25 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x2f5076…
05-25 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x105041…
05-25 04:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xf3f668…
05-25 04:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xba4a29…
05-25 04:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x783aa5…
05-25 04:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x603d5b…
05-25 04:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xde1103…
05-25 04:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf462bd…
05-25 04:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x105033…
05-25 04:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x140aa5…
05-25 04:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x53c3f2…
05-25 04:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xe76967…
05-25 04:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x9dfb52…
05-25 04:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xbca304…
05-25 04:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0xe2b73b…
05-25 04:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x3eebf5…
05-25 04:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x48170f…
05-25 04:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x095015…
05-25 03:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x9e1f94…
05-25 03:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xbd53fd…
05-25 03:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x5809e7…
05-25 03:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd25c39…
05-25 03:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xe333a4…
05-25 03:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc22f93…
05-25 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x5052c0…
05-25 03:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x3b9bc1…
05-25 03:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x8d3573…
05-25 03:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x204291…
05-25 03:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x023fe2…
05-25 02:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x4f2239…
05-25 02:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xa0d3dc…
05-25 02:51:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x1790d3…
05-25 02:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x406fb4…
05-25 02:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5b2fe1…
05-25 02:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xc6e185…
05-25 02:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x455238…
05-25 02:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xedd270…
05-25 01:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x89c03a…
05-25 00:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xb7e698…
05-25 00:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x516ed9…
05-25 00:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	77	34¢	$26	0x1d0e2d…
05-25 00:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x243db0…
05-25 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd5a39b…
05-25 00:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa75ee7…
05-25 00:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36	88¢	$31	0xa1887e…
05-25 00:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x73aa73…
05-25 00:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	54	68¢	$37	0x05d850…
05-25 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf5adcb…
05-25 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xee4bb5…
05-25 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6cea11…
05-25 00:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x3dd3e9…
05-25 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd78d63…
05-25 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7e842f…
05-25 00:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x22d398…
05-25 00:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x94b1e1…
05-25 00:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe445bb…
05-25 00:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x11a5d5…
05-24 17:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0f88be…
05-24 17:52:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	114	21¢	$24	0x810377…
05-16 20:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x002fca…
05-16 20:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x408acb…
05-16 20:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x27865f…
05-16 20:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x43068e…
05-10 01:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	85	42¢	$36	0x4b5a57…
05-10 01:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	109	33¢	$36	0x500675…
05-10 01:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	82	44¢	$36	0xf8e3d0…
05-10 01:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	161	22¢	$36	0x1ac59f…
05-10 01:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x6526b1…
05-10 01:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	38	32¢	$12	0xd00deb…
05-10 01:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x2a32c0…
05-10 01:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x19bc05…
05-10 00:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x35398d…
05-10 00:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6132b9…
05-10 00:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x8ab949…
05-10 00:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa73426…
05-10 00:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x127a2e…