Dangerous-Patch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$112

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

265

Trades

6,268

lifetime

Volume

$8.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 07-19 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 24% -$26

Sports

6% 50% +$105

Other

5% 29% +$36

Politics

0% 0% -$2

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	495	$533	653	517	+136	Down	-$1	01-30 13:14
bitcoin up or down january 30 12am et	14	$412	391	388	+3	Down	+$364	01-30 06:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:45 UTC	278	$310	573	222	+352	Down	-$19	01-30 13:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	256	$307	465	271	+194	Down	-$10	01-30 13:14
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:45 UTC	261	$299	591	212	+379	Up	+$4	01-30 13:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:45 UTC	280	$298	495	263	+232	Up	+$1	01-30 12:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:30 UTC	238	$286	381	198	+183	Down	+$8	01-30 12:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:15 UTC	238	$249	334	197	+137	Down	-$10	01-30 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 11:30 UTC	78	$222	273	152	+121	Up	-$5	01-30 11:44
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:30 UTC	187	$188	455	150	+305	Down	+$32	01-30 12:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:30 UTC	161	$186	303	94	+209	Down	+$76	01-30 12:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 06:30 UTC	145	$185	331	98	+233	Down	-$6	01-30 06:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:15 UTC	168	$182	242	135	+107	Down	-$3	01-30 13:29
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:15 UTC	137	$167	209	134	+74	Down	-$6	01-30 13:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 11:30 UTC	88	$158	165	125	+40	Up	+$5	01-30 11:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:15 UTC	2	$155	135	133	+2	Down	+$23	01-30 15:19
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:15 UTC	156	$151	169	98	+70	Down	-$11	01-30 13:30
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	119	$133	275	121	+154	Down	-$18	01-30 13:13
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:30 UTC	119	$131	253	99	+154	Down	+$2	01-30 12:44
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:45 UTC	118	$125	158	77	+82	Up	-$5	01-30 12:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:15 UTC	93	$110	140	68	+72	Down	-$6	01-30 12:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 06:15 UTC	53	$101	513	16	+496	Down	-$48	01-30 06:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:15 UTC	85	$99	118	57	+61	Down	-$1	01-30 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 14:15 UTC	231	$96	149	57	+92	Up	+$4	01-30 14:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	82	$94	112	47	+65	Down	-$11	01-30 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:15 UTC	112	$94	135	67	+68	Down	-$11	01-30 12:25
bitcoin up or down january 30 9am et	50	$86	122	33	+89	Up	-$19	01-30 15:02
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 11:30 UTC	39	$84	82	62	+21	Up	+$10	01-30 11:42
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$82	60	57	+2	Yes	+$29	04-13 16:47
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 11:30 UTC	46	$80	246	45	+202	Up	-$11	01-30 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 20:00:12	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	279	1¢	$3	0x230058…
07-05 08:38:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1d3233…
07-05 08:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x2f2f4a…
07-05 08:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xf2b556…
07-05 07:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6f46ce…
07-05 07:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x627916…
07-05 06:23:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C or below on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x99ae19…
07-05 05:53:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x722553…
07-05 05:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0cafd2…
07-04 16:24:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xea8615…
07-04 15:25:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd22be2…
07-04 14:00:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x7402cd…
07-04 13:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x3a02e2…
07-04 13:36:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x3d4c04…
07-04 13:34:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x679e94…
07-04 13:33:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x0bc484…
07-04 13:32:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5f7eda…
07-04 13:32:34	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	41	4¢	$1	0x62a25e…
07-04 13:31:29	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0xb7b68b…
07-04 13:31:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x0ec29e…
07-04 13:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x07952f…
07-04 13:27:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xfca7d1…
07-04 13:27:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x122e56…
07-04 13:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb88651…
07-04 13:26:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x5efa1d…
07-04 13:23:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x386e75…
07-04 13:22:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C or higher on July 4?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x8189e0…
07-04 13:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x870d8c…
07-04 13:21:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0xf0dc40…
07-04 13:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe6f49a…
07-04 11:41:58	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$0	0x19c038…
07-04 11:25:56	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6f3e71…
07-04 11:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0xe8e48d…
07-04 11:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xb101f9…
07-04 11:16:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x7a3835…
07-04 11:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x43cc6c…
07-04 11:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x097a49…
07-04 11:06:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x8c717b…
07-04 11:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x25edbe…
07-04 09:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 5?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x338514…
07-04 08:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x5301fb…
07-04 07:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x4da551…
07-04 02:29:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc22c9a…
07-04 02:29:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xad4aa2…
07-04 02:29:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x94cc2c…
07-04 02:22:38	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe32bf0…
07-03 16:16:23	Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	29	27¢	$8	0xa977c5…
07-03 16:15:44	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xbd0255…
07-03 16:14:10	will australia reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120748	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x27a349…
07-03 16:13:16	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x2bb78a…
07-03 08:51:47	Colombia leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x83648d…
07-03 02:25:05	Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x2add81…
07-02 16:37:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?	Yes	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0x6872d8…
07-02 02:05:26	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x25e620…
07-02 01:50:28	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x5bd63f…
07-02 01:50:10	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x33b3ce…
07-02 01:34:28	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x4c386c…
07-02 01:27:34	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xb2322b…
07-01 17:56:17	will senegal reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120768	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x6e575d…
07-01 17:55:02	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x1d7255…
07-01 17:30:07	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd541bf…
07-01 17:22:14	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3f6bef…
06-30 01:51:43	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xce1ac5…
06-28 05:15:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x56bede…
06-28 04:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2c1aba…
06-28 04:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	9	13¢	$1	0xf4d0bf…
06-28 04:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$1	0xf2d070…
06-28 04:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x5d4cbf…
06-28 04:27:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf9b800…
06-28 04:24:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x27f6f8…
06-28 04:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?	No	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x6a48a6…
06-28 04:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xef9e48…
06-28 04:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdd85ad…
06-28 04:01:38	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x789992…
06-28 03:18:35	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x797ba1…
06-28 03:17:04	fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x348d07…
06-28 01:23:11	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x004dc3…
06-28 01:21:16	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x94056d…
06-28 01:16:28	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 9pt5	Over	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x0d5553…
06-28 01:16:13	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	SELL	14	16¢	$2	0x3b3d93…
06-28 01:15:37	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	Over	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xa7ca0a…
06-28 01:15:13	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x65c2cd…
06-28 01:03:14	fifwc cdr uzb 2026 06 27 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xc3ad34…
06-28 00:51:11	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x8ab73c…
06-28 00:49:11	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xa3dfdf…
06-28 00:49:11	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 corners total 8pt5	Over	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x7014ec…
06-15 20:28:16	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x1ee9e4…
06-15 18:51:30	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0xcf8de9…
06-08 19:45:19	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0xfef049…
06-08 19:14:40	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x1d573c…
06-08 19:12:42	Netherlands leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe8df04…
06-08 18:54:09	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x0852f1…
06-08 17:14:01	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x822a7f…
06-08 17:07:00	val nrg lev1 2026 06 08	NRG	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9acc40…
06-08 05:13:36	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x0650f6…
06-08 05:13:06	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd045b0…
06-08 05:05:12	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x6e9b62…
06-08 05:04:46	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x9ee457…
06-08 05:02:12	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x24f443…
06-08 05:01:24	Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc49580…