Slimy-Alpaca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$401

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

771

Trades

2,771

lifetime

Volume

$10.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 06-20 19:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 70% -$247

Other

11% 91% +$41

Tech

6% 86% +$23

Politics

2% 0% -$203

Sports

1% 70% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	6	$346	263	263	+0	Yes	+$162	05-13 10:23
gpt 5pt5 released by april 23 2026 377 628 858 953 367 983 595	9	$326	429	342	+87	Yes	+$27	04-22 10:16
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$201	1,279	0	+1,279	No	-$201	05-22 20:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 01:20 UTC	1	$99	100	0	+100	Up	-$99	04-04 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 01:15 UTC	1	$98	99	0	+99	Up	+$1	04-04 01:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-04 01:10 UTC	1	$97	98	0	+98	Down	+$1	04-04 01:14
will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	8	$96	117	40	+77	Yes	+$13	06-09 16:56
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	4	$88	817	817	-0	No	-$67	05-19 17:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 20:20 UTC	40	$88	85	90	-5	Up	-$3	03-26 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	9	$75	96	0	+96	Up	+$21	04-28 00:44
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	2	$74	466	466	+0	Yes	-$15	05-19 01:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	9	$67	93	93	+0	Up	-$15	06-03 21:02
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	2	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	06-19 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 21:35 UTC	32	$63	60	65	-5	Down	-$13	03-26 21:37
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$59	33	33	+0	Yes	+$5	04-12 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:45 UTC	25	$58	66	66	+0	Down	-$4	03-18 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:45 UTC	16	$57	44	37	+7	Down	+$2	03-18 13:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 15:15 UTC	24	$57	87	25	+62	Up	-$5	03-26 15:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 14:30 UTC	27	$55	55	45	+10	Up	-$2	03-20 14:32
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$54	68	0	+68	Justin Gaethje	-$54	06-14 23:27
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$54	65	65	+0	No	-$48	05-19 17:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 10:15 UTC	22	$54	67	66	+1	Down	-$2	03-19 10:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-03 13:05 UTC	2	$52	26	26	+0	Down	+$0	04-03 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 13:45 UTC	18	$51	48	48	+0	Up	$0	03-21 13:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 08:45 UTC	22	$47	50	50	+0	Down	+$2	03-20 08:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 15:30 UTC	18	$47	36	36	+0	Up	-$1	03-20 15:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 13:00 UTC	17	$46	48	47	+1	Up	+$4	03-18 13:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-20 14:45 UTC	23	$44	50	45	+5	Down	-$2	03-20 14:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-26 15:00 UTC	17	$44	65	20	+45	Down	-$10	03-26 15:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 22:45 UTC	16	$43	56	44	+12	Up	-$5	03-18 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 19:28:32	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	Yes	BUY	65	50¢	$33	0x1594ee…
06-19 15:59:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xb8a17f…
06-18 13:51:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0x029929…
06-15 03:27:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x3b1043…
06-14 23:27:27	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xed1ed8…
06-14 23:26:45	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xc1fe5e…
06-14 23:26:31	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x95d3da…
06-14 23:25:46	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x5e316c…
06-14 23:22:12	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x15b14f…
06-14 23:21:33	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfa0175…
06-14 23:20:10	UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)	Mauricio Ruffy	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x72378a…
06-14 23:19:49	UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x7268ba…
06-14 22:54:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc2db12…
06-14 22:45:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x91e305…
06-14 22:40:43	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xad72e4…
06-13 13:17:16	UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alex Pereira	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa30923…
06-13 13:14:12	UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)	Ilia Topuria	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xc5bb77…
06-09 16:56:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x291539…
06-09 16:56:30	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x1760d7…
06-09 14:00:15	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x1acecd…
06-09 13:59:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x911b45…
06-09 13:02:40	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xcb6b8a…
06-09 09:05:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x9cf81b…
06-09 08:44:43	will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xbf7251…
06-09 08:12:34	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x5698af…
06-09 08:11:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 12 2026 762 968	Yes	BUY	15	83¢	$12	0xf90a52…
06-09 07:24:55	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0xcbb675…
06-09 06:44:12	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x4e15d2…
06-09 06:43:22	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xaa6075…
06-03 21:02:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xf8b33c…
06-03 21:02:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0xcd684f…
06-03 21:02:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xa5c78b…
06-03 21:02:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0xfdbc09…
06-03 21:02:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0x4e1795…
06-03 21:02:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	41¢	$7	0x32aea9…
06-03 21:01:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x438069…
06-03 21:01:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	23	45¢	$11	0x2a6ae7…
06-03 21:01:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	23	53¢	$12	0x264d71…
06-03 20:12:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xca66bf…
06-03 20:11:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9cb416…
06-03 20:11:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-03 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x4337e4…
06-02 11:52:59	Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Harriet Dart	Harriet Dart	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x187c0a…
06-02 10:58:44	Prostejov: Miguel Damas vs Damir Dzumhur	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd96cd4…
06-02 10:38:01	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbf4fca…
06-02 10:12:42	Birmingham: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt	Alex Bolt	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x13555a…
06-02 02:30:46	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x01ae34…
06-02 02:29:48	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Texas Rangers	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdd14f3…
06-02 01:24:44	Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Texas Rangers	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x81982d…
06-02 01:22:50	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x847a58…
06-01 23:24:06	Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Kansas City Royals	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x47d673…
06-01 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xec7322…
06-01 14:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0x3a636b…
06-01 14:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x36fac2…
06-01 14:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0x9a9110…
06-01 14:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x2e41b4…
06-01 14:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x484786…
05-31 19:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x04f500…
05-31 19:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x163a6e…
05-31 18:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x26ddfc…
05-31 17:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4dc08e…
05-30 00:42:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x00f501…
05-30 00:42:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3848b6…
05-30 00:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xab1188…
05-30 00:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6c0d4b…
05-30 00:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8ef027…
05-30 00:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x070ad5…
05-29 21:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xe1fb42…
05-29 21:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6ddcd8…
05-29 21:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x37b6df…
05-29 20:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcc3376…
05-26 15:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xd2a829…
05-26 15:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x02efb6…
05-26 14:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xf2514f…
05-26 14:31:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x04c90a…
05-26 14:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x04fc81…
05-26 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x2c6ffb…
05-22 20:57:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x11428b…
05-19 17:35:35	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	5¢	$3	0xf1d405…
05-19 17:35:32	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	817	1¢	$11	0xc44114…
05-19 16:01:24	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x30ff7a…
05-19 01:18:25	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	291	9¢	$28	0x408281…
05-19 01:17:55	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	SELL	466	6¢	$29	0x3f4f0d…
05-18 11:21:39	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	466	10¢	$45	0xf3a479…
05-18 11:21:02	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	526	10¢	$50	0x6af31e…
05-15 14:27:52	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	78¢	$51	0xa36b24…
05-15 13:58:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	279	72¢	$200	0x20f9d2…
05-13 10:23:07	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	263	97¢	$254	0x978c95…
05-04 10:16:30	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xac60fc…
05-04 10:16:08	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xf31a65…
05-04 10:16:00	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0x2648e1…
05-04 10:15:54	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	35¢	$50	0x9a613c…
05-04 10:15:42	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x4abdd4…
05-01 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x82a7b0…
04-30 10:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x94ce0b…
04-30 10:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	41¢	$1	0xfce093…
04-30 10:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x3debfd…
04-30 10:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xa6478c…
04-30 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x45811d…
04-29 23:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x29af96…
04-29 23:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x31fcb9…