Realized P&L
+$292
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
76.3%
Resolved
12
Trades
89
lifetime
Volume
$11.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$127
Open exposure
$3.50K
24 positions
First seen
2026-07-05
last 10-27 20:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
66% 100% +$111
Other
34% 56% +$180
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? No +1,742 $1,248 73¢ $1.3K +$23 10-27 09:02
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,419 $665 42¢ $590 -$76 10-27 21:33
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +594 $551 92¢ $543 -$8 10-21 15:11
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +354 $277 94¢ $335 +$58 10-23 21:43
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +963 $318 34¢ $332 +$14 10-27 21:26
Will Russia capture Vodianske by December 31? Yes +410 $211 48¢ $199 -$12 10-27 10:28
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31? Yes +173 $109 64¢ $110 +$1 10-27 11:51
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +922 $83 8¢ $78 -$5 10-27 21:27
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +870 $20 2¢ $19 -$1 10-27 21:27
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $6 1¢ $6 $0 10-27 21:30
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 10-27 21:30
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $3 0¢ $2 $0 10-27 21:30
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,008 $2 0¢ $2 $0 10-27 21:29
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-27 21:28
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-27 21:28
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-27 21:28
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-27 21:30
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 10-27 21:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? Yes +3 $1 38¢ $1 +$0 10-22 13:59
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 21:29
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 21:29
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-27 21:30
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 21:29
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-27 21:28